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UFC on FOX: Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos Breakdown and Prediction

Sal DeRoseNov 12, 2011

Tonight will be it. Cain Velasquez makes his first title defense of the UFC heavyweight belt that he won a year earlier against Brock Lesnar.

Now Junior dos Santos finally gets his shot coming off of a huge win over Shane Carwin at UFC 131 by unanimous decision.

Dos Santos is an enigma—a mystery, if you will. JDS is a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu under the Nogueira brothers. But the ground game of JDS has yet to be seen or really tested in the Octagon.

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His striking though is not questioned. One punch knockout power and very technical boxing. Even though he may be the nicest guy outside the ring, inside his boxing and striking in general is very tenacious.

Velasquez, on the other hand, is a top-level wrestler. There is no question what he can do on the ground. If the fight goes to the ground, he can control you with ease. Velasquez was even able to take down another top wrestler in Lesnar during their title fight.

Like JDS, there is no questioning Velasquez's striking. Unlike JDS, though, Velasquez is more diverse. Velasquez has some great kickboxing, and over the course of his seven fights inside the UFC, six have been knockouts and only two of those knockouts have come past the first round.

There are two huge questions that could decide this fight—is Velasquez truly healed from his injury and is Junior's ground game really all that good?

Now you might say that Cain has been healed for a while and he wouldn't fight at less than 100 percent, but it wouldn't be the first time a fighter hasn't fully recovered from surgery—especially rotator cuff surgery—and has gone on to fight.

I don't think the injury will play a huge factor, but all in all I think JDS can keep this fight standing and possesses more strength to knock out Cain.

JDS by second-round knockout

Be sure to stay tuned to Bleacher Report for all things UFC on FOX. B/R is your home for complete coverage of the Nov. 12 fight card, from pre-fight predictions, to in-fight coverageresults and post-fight analysis, which you can find out at our event hub page.

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