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New Orleans Saints vs. St. Louis Rams: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Kyle VassaloOct 29, 2011

The New Orleans Saints face a winless team for the second week in a row. Sam Bradford is out, so while this game is in St. Louis, it's got blowout written all over it.

The Rams allowed DeMarco Murray to have a historic day against them last week, and even with Mark Ingram out, the Saints aren't going to struggle on the ground.

This has all the makings of a blowout. Let's take a closer look to see just how bad the carnage is going to be.

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Where:
Edward Jones Dome; St. Louis, MO

When: Sunday, October 30 at 1 p.m. ET

Watch: FOX 


Over/Under:
Under 47.5

Take the over. The Saints may hit it by themselves. Last week the Saints torched the Colts 62-7. They face an equally awful opponent this week. The Saints have scored 30 or more points in five games this season.

On the bright side, the Rams haven't been shut out this season. Even in the most miserable of their defeats, they've put points on the board.


Spread:
New Orleans (-14) according to Bodog

So Sam Bradford is out, the Rams have lost four games by more than a 14-point margin and the spread is somehow 14?

This is an easy call. Take the Saints. Mark Ingram is out as well, but the Rams have the worst run defense in the entire league. Darren Sproles, Pierre Thomas and Chris Ivory are going to torch their defense, and the Saints proved last week they aren't afraid to humiliate a team by blowing them away.


Injury Report for New Orleans

Mark IngramRBHeelDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Zach Strief THamstringLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
David ThomasTEConcussionLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Jonathan VilmaLBKneeDid Not Participate In PracticeProbable
Jonathan Casillas LBKneeFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Sedrick EllisDTAnkleFull Participation in PracticeProbable
John GilmoreTENeckFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Jimmy GrahamTEAnkleFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Will HerringLBHamstringFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Turk McBrideDEShoulderFull Participation in PracticeProbable


Injury Report for St. Louis

Jerious NorwoodRBIllnessFull Participation in Practice--
Rodger Saffold TIllnessFull Participation in Practice--
Sam BradfordQBAnkleDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Darell ScottDTConcussionDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Jason SmithTConcussionDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Danario AlexanderWRHamstringDid Not Participate In PracticeDoubtful
Brady Poppinga LBCalfDid Not Participate In PracticeQuestionable
Justin KingCBGroinLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
C.J. Ah YouDEWristFull Participation in PracticeProbable


Injury reports are courtesy of NFL.com.


Fantasy Big Plays

Brandon Lloyd

The Rams were horrible last week.

Brandon Lloyd was not.

With six catches for 74 yards, he proved he was a viable fantasy option regardless of who is under center. A.J. Feeley and Lloyd have to be more comfortable now that they've spent more time with each other, and the Rams are going to be forced to throw the ball to try to come from behind.

Darren Sproles

Every Saints running back is going to have a big day, but Darren Sproles has a chance to have a career day. Last week he had over 100 all-purpose yards and a touchdown on the ground and through the air. Last week, DeMarco Murray rushed for 253 yards against the Rams. Sproles is looking at huge numbers.


Keys to Victory for the Saints

Be overly aggressive on defense. Feeley doesn't have the tools to take advantage of blitzing backers, and doing so won't give Steven Jackson a chance to get rolling.

Destroy the Rams through the air. The Rams have the worst run defense in the league, but the Saints are the No. 2 passing defense. The rushing yards will come, but the Saints shouldn't alter their game plan. Torching the Rams through the air early will force the Rams to buckle before this game even really gets started, and they don't have the tools to come back.


Keys to Victory for the Rams

The Rams have to get the most out of Feeley. Feeley in a shootout with Brees is laughable, and while the Rams can't look to Feeley to win this game, the erratic nature with which he was yucking the ball around last week doesn't equate to victory. Brandon Lloyd is a force. Nobody is expecting much from Feeley, but he has to hit his receivers when they are open.

Feed Jackson the ball. The Saints give up 115.7 YPG on the ground. When the Rams get behind early, they could try to abandon the run. That's a recipe for disaster. Plugging away on the ground and keeping this game as low scoring as possible is the only way the have a shot.


Prediction

New Orleans 44, St. Louis 10

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