AP Top 25 and USA Today Coaches Poll: 5 Teams Likely to Drop out in Week 4

Every week teams drop in and out of the Top 25, some in upsets and some just because they added another loss to their total even though they played a good team.

Week four has some great matchups between top teams, such as No. 7 Oklahoma State at No. 8 Texas A&M and No. 2 LSU at No. 16 WVU, but those teams aren't likely to fall out of the Top 25 unless they got absolutely destroyed.

Here are the five teams most likely to drop out of the rankings. Note that it doesn't mean every team listed will lose, just that they have higher odds of dropping out of the Top 25 than other teams.

North Carolina

After absolutely obliterating lesser opponents with their triple option offense, North Carolina takes on Georgia Tech in Atlanta this weekend for one of the most unheralded games of the weekend.

The only time Yellow Jacket’s head coach Paul Johnson lost against the Tar Heels was his opening season.

Butch Davis is gone as head coach at UNC and they gave up five turnovers to Rutgers and 468 to Virginia last weekend. While Bryn Renner has silenced his critics, the rest of this team has yet to show it has enough to beat the hottest team in the country on the road.

It is important not overlook who Georgia Tech has played, but the momentum is squarely with the Jackets and this game could turn into a shootout if they continue to score as quickly as they are.

No matter which way this game goes, Georgia Tech should be considered the favorite in this game.

USC

The Trojans have all of the pieces there this season but have yet to put together a complete performance this season. Now they go on a road trip to Arizona State to face a Sun Devil team that is itching to get back into the Top 25 after losing to Illinois last weekend.

Arizona State is a wounded football team in every sense of the word, with defensive end Junior Onyeali going down last week. That is just one of a bunch of injuries this team has had to overcome.

USC should win this game on paper, but they have not played on the road yet this season and did not play particularly well away from home last season. On paper this game should go their way but the rowdy Arizona State students may have something to say about that.

Florida State

Before Seminole fans start become raving mad, let me say that Florida State is far and away the better team. Clemson’s defense has looked more like Swiss cheese than anything else this season, and rookie quarterback Tajh Boyd has yet to face a defense that is allowing under 400 yards per game.

But that hasn't stopped this series from being extremely close in recent years. Since 2001, the home team is 8-2 and the game last year came down to a field goal.

The Tigers have all the momentum and Vegas picked up on the trend of the home team winning. Florida State started as a three-point favorite but are now the two-point underdogs. Looks like I’m not the only one calling the upset in this game.

Michigan

The Wolverines finally got into the Top 25 last week but they could go out of it just as quickly.

Brady Hoke takes on his former school in the Big House and while Michigan should be favored in this matchup, you never know if one of the coaches figures out what Hoke is trying to do, particularly on defense.

There has been noticeable differences on Michigan’s defense but they still are giving up 375 yards per game, including 203 on the ground. San Diego State’s Ronnie Hillman is currently second in the country in rushing yards per game and Ryan Lindley is one of the best quarterbacks most people haven’t heard of.

If San Diego State coach Rocky Long can stop Denard Robinson, the Aztecs could come out of Ann Arbor with a win.

Oregon

Oregon’s defensive front seven only returned two starters from last year’s team.

And it shows.

The Ducks aren't getting much pressure in opponents’ backfields and are giving up just under 215 yards on the ground per game.

This plays right into Arizona’s hand because their offensive line is more inexperienced than Oregon’s defense and Nick Foles is one of the premier quarterbacks in the Pac-12. The Wildcats put up 29 points on the Ducks in Eugene last year, and Arizona will be bringing its best shot against LaMichael James and crew.

If Foles has enough time to throw, he can pick apart Oregon’s talented secondary. The Ducks should win this game but it will be much closer than the 15.5 points Vegas is giving them.