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PALO ALTO, CA - OCTOBER 23:  Andrew Luck #12 of the Stanford Cardinal celebrates after they scored a touchdown against the Washington State Cougars at Stanford Stadium on October 23, 2010 in Palo Alto, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
PALO ALTO, CA - OCTOBER 23: Andrew Luck #12 of the Stanford Cardinal celebrates after they scored a touchdown against the Washington State Cougars at Stanford Stadium on October 23, 2010 in Palo Alto, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

College Football Week 9 Picks: 10 Best Locks to Take Against the Spread

Elliott PohnlOct 28, 2010

College Football Week 9 picks provide plenty of love for the underdogs.

Many prognosticators like USC's chances of outscoring Oregon, while Houston Nutt's history of pulling off upsets provides reason to believe there could be some drama in Oxford Saturday.

Elsewhere, Michigan State and Missouri look to stay perfect against daunting conference foes Iowa and Nebraska on the road.

Is the BCS in for yet another shakeup this weekend?

Here's a look at the 10 best locks to take against the spread in Week 9.

No. 10: Cal at Oregon State

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LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 16:  Shane Vereen #34 of the California Golden Bears is knocked back into Kevin Riley #13 for a loss by Hunter Simmons #48 of the USC Trojans during the first quarter at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on October 16, 2010 in Los An
LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 16: Shane Vereen #34 of the California Golden Bears is knocked back into Kevin Riley #13 for a loss by Hunter Simmons #48 of the USC Trojans during the first quarter at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on October 16, 2010 in Los An

Line on Betus.com

Oregon State at -3

Why Oregon State is Vulnerable

The Beavers have played a brutal schedule this season and have been inconsistent at times offensively. 

After Ryan Katz started the season slowly, he took care of the ball prior to throwing three picks last week at Washington.

With James Rodgers out for the season, the Beavers might not have enough weapons against Cal.

Why Cal Will Win

As usual, Cal's defense has been the problem this season. 

Jeff Tedford's offense hasn't been perfect either, but Shane Vereen and plenty of young, talented receivers should be able to flourish against Oregon State.

Prediction

Cal 34, Oregon State 27.

No. 9: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan

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Line on Betus.com

Northern Illinois at -8

Why Northern Illinois is Vulnerable

The Huskies' offense has taken since quarterback Chandler Harnish returned to the starting lineup. 

In the end, NIU's attack starts and ends with Chad Spann running the ball.

Why Western Michigan Will Win

After a slow start to the season, Broncos' quarterback Alex Carder has been getting better each week. 

Western Michigan keeps Spann under control and pulls off the upset at home.

Prediction

Western Michigan 30, Northern Illinois 23.

No. 8: Louisville at Pittsburgh

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LOUISVILLE, KY - OCTOBER 15:  Charlie Strong the Haed Coach of the Louisville Cardinals gives instructions to his team during the Big East Conference game against the Cincinnati Bearcats at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on October 15, 2010 in Louisville, K
LOUISVILLE, KY - OCTOBER 15: Charlie Strong the Haed Coach of the Louisville Cardinals gives instructions to his team during the Big East Conference game against the Cincinnati Bearcats at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on October 15, 2010 in Louisville, K

Line on Betus.com

Pitt at -9

Why Pitt is Vulnerable

Tino Sunseri has Pitt's offense alive again, but the Panthers could overlook a Louisville team that has shown improvement this season.

Why Louisville Will Win

The Cardinals have won three out the last four games and have looked good doing it. 

Bilal Powell has been dynamic on the ground for Charlie Strong's team and should find room to run against the Panthers.

Prediction

Louisville 26, Pittsburgh 21.

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No. 7: Texas Tech at Texas A&M

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LUBBOCK, TX - SEPTEMBER 18:  Detron Lewis #17 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders runs the ball against the Texas Longhorns at Jones AT&T Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Lubbock, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
LUBBOCK, TX - SEPTEMBER 18: Detron Lewis #17 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders runs the ball against the Texas Longhorns at Jones AT&T Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Lubbock, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Line on Betus.com

Texas A&M at -7

Why Texas A&M is Vulnerable

This might be the most surprising line of Week 9. 

As usual during Mike Sherman's reign in College Station, the Aggies haven't been able to beat a quality opponent yet this season and have struggled with turnovers.

Why Texas Tech Will Win

Tommy Tuberville inherited a veteran squad from Mike Leach, and has already posted a win over Baylor this season. 

The Red Raiders should have no problem moving the ball Saturday afternoon.

Prediction

Texas Tech 37, Texas A&M 28.

No. 6: Tulsa at Notre Dame

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 23:  Dayne Crist #10 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish passes against the Navy Midshipmen at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 23, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 23: Dayne Crist #10 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish passes against the Navy Midshipmen at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 23, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

Line on Betus.com

Notre Dame at -8 1/2

Why Notre Dame is Vulnerable

In the wake of tragedy in South Bend, the Irish look to circle the wagons against a potent Tulsa attack. 

Depending on the weather conditions Saturday, this game could be an absolute shootout with both defenses figured to be overmatched. The Golden Hurricane can match touchdowns with almost any team in the country.

Why Tulsa Will Win

G.J. Kinne and Damaris Johnson lead the way for Tulsa's offense, and all the pressure is on Notre Dame to avoid another difficult loss. 

An improved running game allows the visitors to steal a win in South Bend.

Prediction

Tulsa 38, Notre Dame 34.

No. 5: Florida vs. Georgia (in Jacksonville)

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 31:  The Florida Gators defense tackles A.J. Green #8 of the Georgia Bulldogs at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on October 31, 2009 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 31: The Florida Gators defense tackles A.J. Green #8 of the Georgia Bulldogs at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on October 31, 2009 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Line on Betus.com

Georgia at -3

Why Georgia is Vulnerable

The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party doesn't quite have the usual fanfare this year.

Georgia has started to put things together since A.J. Green has returned, but the 'Dawgs are far from a perfect team.

Why Florida Will Win

Florida had a week to think about things after losing to Mississippi State at home. 

Georgia's defense hasn't been as good as advertised this season, and the Gators should find a way to move the ball. Don't expect Washaun Ealey to rack up five touchdowns this week.

Prediction

Florida 20, Georgia 17.

No. 4: Oklahoma State at Kansas State

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LAWRENCE, KS - OCTOBER 14:  Daniel Thomas #8 of the Kansas State Wildcats carries the ball as Olaitan Oguntodu #44 of the Kansas Jayhawks defends during the game on October 14, 2010 at Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Im
LAWRENCE, KS - OCTOBER 14: Daniel Thomas #8 of the Kansas State Wildcats carries the ball as Olaitan Oguntodu #44 of the Kansas Jayhawks defends during the game on October 14, 2010 at Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Im

Line on Betus.com

Oklahoma State at -5

Why Oklahoma State is Vulnerable

Besides being without stud receiver Justin Blackmon, the Cowboys have plenty of concerns heading into Saturday's game in the Little Apple. 

After being gashed by Nebraska last week, the 'Pokes defense could be in for another long day.

Why Kansas State Will Win

Kansas State has actually found just enough balance on offense that Daniel Thomas doesn't have to carry the rock every play. 

Look for Thomas to outshine Oklahoma State's Kendall Hunter and lead his team to victory.

Prediction

Kansas State 44, Oklahoma State 34.

No. 3: Michigan at Penn State

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ANN ARBOR, MI - OCTOBER 24:  Evan Royster #22 of the Penn State Nittany Lions carries the ball during the game against the Michigan Wolverines on October 24, 2009 at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by  Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
ANN ARBOR, MI - OCTOBER 24: Evan Royster #22 of the Penn State Nittany Lions carries the ball during the game against the Michigan Wolverines on October 24, 2009 at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Line on Betus.com

Michigan at -3

Why Michigan is Vulnerable

After being horrible on offense for much of the season, Penn State went crazy last week against Minnesota. 

Michigan's defense isn't much better than the Gophers' weak unit. Even with Denard Robinson ready to go, Rich Rod could be in for another tough conference loss.

Why Penn State Will Win

The lack of depth on Michigan's defense simply cannot be understated. 

Rob Bolden has passed his concussion tests and is expected to play. This could be the week Evan Royster, Silas Redd and Stephfon Green explode in the running game.

Prediction

Penn State 30, Michigan 24.

No. 2: Stanford at Washington

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TUCSON, AZ - OCTOBER 23:  Quarterback Jake Locker #10 of the Washington Huskies scrambles to pass during the college football game against the Arizona Wildcats at Arizona Stadium on October 23, 2010 in Tucson, Arizona.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty
TUCSON, AZ - OCTOBER 23: Quarterback Jake Locker #10 of the Washington Huskies scrambles to pass during the college football game against the Arizona Wildcats at Arizona Stadium on October 23, 2010 in Tucson, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty

Line on Betus.com

Stanford at -7

Why Stanford is Vulnerable

Stanford's offense is dominant, but the defense is among the Pac-10's worst. 

It's starting to look like Jim Harbaugh's team will need to score at least 30 points in every game to have a chance to win.

Why Washington Will Win

Jake Locker needs all the help he can get to improve his declining NFL draft stock. 

Playing against Stanford's defense should give him a great chance to succeed while helping Steve Sarkisian pull off his second upset of the season.

Prediction

Washington 41, Stanford 37.

No. 1: Florida State at North Carolina State

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CHESTNUT HILL, MA - OCTOBER 17:  Russell Wilson #16 of the North Carolina State Wolf Pack  scrambles as Austin Giles #52 of the Boston College Eagles defends on October 17, 2009 at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Imag
CHESTNUT HILL, MA - OCTOBER 17: Russell Wilson #16 of the North Carolina State Wolf Pack scrambles as Austin Giles #52 of the Boston College Eagles defends on October 17, 2009 at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Imag

Line on Betus.com

Florida State at -3 1/2

Why Florida State is Vulnerable

The Seminoles have the win over Miami on the resume this season. But other than that, Jimbo Fisher's team is still lacking a big win. 

If the game becomes a shootout, Russell Wilson and N.C. State have the edge.

If FSU wins Thursday, don't expect another loss this season until potentially in the ACC Championship game.

Why North Carolina State Will Win

Wilson arguably has the best group of receivers around him in the ACC. 

When N.C. State takes care of the ball, they are very difficult to beat. Tom O'Brien gets a much-needed statement win in conference play.

Prediction

North Carolina State 37, Florida State 27.

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