2010-2011 NBA Season Preview: Record Projections, Bold Predictions and More

Tyler Conway@jtylerconwayFeatured ColumnistOctober 25, 2010

2010-2011 NBA Season Preview: Record Projections, Bold Predictions and More

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    ATLANTA - OCTOBER 21:  LeBron James #6 of the Miami Heat walks up the court during the game against the Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena on October 21, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    There's an over-used cliche that aptly describes the supposed plight suffered by owners and players alike in their current labor war:  "You never know what you got until it's gone."

    Fresh off the most exciting offseason in NBA history, it is safe to say that anticipation for an NBA season has not been this high since Michael Jordan's last comeback with the Wizards in 2001. 

    The world hates LeBron and Miami Thrice while deifying Kevin Durant as the anti-LeBron.

    The Celtics are motivated to avenge their Game 7 NBA Finals loss to the Lakers while the Lakers attempt to win Phil Jackson his fourth three-peat. 

    Carmelo Anthony is pushing for a trade while Denver is doing everything short of offering Carmelo's wife (LaLa Vasquez) her own television network. 

    And yet all of these stories have a dark cloud hanging over them.  A cloud that says, "in one year, we might not be here."

    A year from now we could be inundated with daily stories from ESPN as they firmly plant Rachel Nichols' ginger ass outside the league offices like it's Brett Favre's favorite Mississippi high school. 

    A year from now terms like "CBA", "BRI" and "hard cap" are going to be more important than LeBron James, Kevin Durant and Kobe Bryant. 

    Well, I for one am appreciating the game while it's still here.  With that said, here is my 2010-11 NBA Season Preview. 

Eastern Conference

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    ORLANDO, FL - OCTOBER 10:  Dwight Howard #12 of the Orlando Magic smiles during the game against the New Orleans Hornets at Amway Arena on October 10, 2010 in Orlando, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and
    Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

    Here is my preview of the Eastern Conference:

1. Miami Heat

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    MIAMI - OCTOBER 12:  Forward LeBron James #6 and Dwyane Wade #3 of the Miami Heat prior to playing CSKA Moskow on October 12, 2010 in Miami, Florida.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph,
    Marc Serota/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  47-35

    Key Additions:  LeBron James, Chris Bosh, Mike Miller, Zydrunas Ilgauskas

    Key Subtractions:  Michael Beasley (traded to Minnesota), Jermaine O'Neal (signed with Boston)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  65-17 (+18 over '09-'10) (1st in Eastern Conference & Southeast Division)

    Bold Prediction:  On Dec. 2, in his first game back in Cleveland since taking his "talents to South Beach", LeBron James will score 70+ points.   

    My Thoughts:  Anyone who thinks Miami Thrice isn't going to dominate the regular season is a total buffoon only motivated by their hatred of how the team's conception went down.  Miami is built for regular season dominance.  On any night the team can have one of three players take over and will the team to victory. (A luxury all three sorely lacked on their respective teams last season.)

    But, most importantly, LeBron, Wade and Bosh all have a fire under their ass caused by the hatred they've endured since teaming up.  Some wonder if the three will fold under the enormous weight of carrying the NBA on its back.  I wonder whether the entire league will crumble at the Heat's feet.

    (Ha, that rhymed.)

2. Orlando Magic

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    BOSTON - MAY 28:  Dwight Howard #12 of  the Orlando Magic looks on dejected after the Magic lost 96-84 against the Boston Celtics in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals during the 2010 NBA Playoffs at TD Garden on May 28, 2010 in Boston, Massachuset
    Jim Rogash/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  59-23

    Key Additions:  Quentin Richardson, Chris Duhon

    Key Subtractions:  Matt Barnes (signed with Lakers)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  55-27 (minus-4 over '09-'10) (second in Eastern Conference and second in Southeast Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Dwight Howard wins the NBA MVP. 

    My Thoughts:  Some analysts are projecting the Magic as potential saviors away from Heat dominance.  And, on paper, it makes total sense.  Dwight Howard (my pick for MVP due to an offensive maturation) creates such a matchup advantage that the deep and playoff-tested Magic could send Miami Thrice packing meanwhile sending the entire city of Cleveland into a celebratory drunken stupor. 

    The problem here is two-fold:  One, that would involve Orlando getting past the Boston Celtics, a team who has their number and has Shaquille O'Neal whose hatred for Dwight Howard is so deep it might actually cause him to give a damn. 

    Two, when in the purple hell have we ever seen Dwight Howard dominate a series?  I realize I'm picking him for MVP this year, but that's mainly based on the fact I feel his work with Hakeem this offseason will pay huge dividends in the regular season.  I'm much more skeptical about his playoff acumen. 

    Other analysts are predicting a downward spiral, led by Vince "It's the last year of my contract, so I'm just gonna jack up shots to make my stats look better so I can get a new deal" Carter.  The problem with that theory would be implying that Vince Carter cares about anything.  Some nimrod GM is going to give him three-years/$30 million regardless.  Vince knows this.

    What both sides of the Magic argument aren't seeing is the obvious:  They're the exact same team as last year, only a year older.  Or, in the words of Jay-Z, "same s---, different toilet."

3. Boston Celtics

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    BEL AIR, CA - JULY 12:  NBA basketball player Kevin Garnett attends professional tennis player Serena Williams' Pre-ESPYs House Party held at a private residence on July 12, 2010 in Bel Air, California.  (Photo by Charley Gallay/Getty Images for SW)
    Charley Gallay/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  50-32

    Key Additions:  Shaquille O'Neal, Jermaine O'Neal, Delonte West, Avery Bradley (because I love him)

    Key Subtractions:  Tony Allen (signed with Memphis), Kendrick Perkins (because I think he's going to be out the entire season)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  51-31 (+1 over '09-10) (3rd in Eastern Conference & 1st in Atlantic Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Kevin Garnett makes the Eastern Conference All-Star team while averaging over 20 PPG and 9 RPG.   

    My Thoughts:  What do you call an extremely old team whose three main offseason additions have a combined 38 seasons of NBA experience and are spearheaded by an over-the-hill center?  Well, normally, you would call them the Dallas Mavericks. 

    But this year, you call them exponentially better than the team that came within inches of an NBA championship. 

    Couple that with the motivation that comes from the aforementioned defeat at the hands of the rival Lakers and Boston looked to be an easy favorite to repeat as Eastern Conference champions.

    Then LeBron took his talents to South Beach and things changed.  Everyone focused on the spectacle and fantasized about 70 win seasons. 

    In the meantime the veteran Celtics took their lunch pails and went to work with only one thing on their minds—an NBA championship. 

    I honestly am just looking forward to seeing the teams battle. 

4. Chicago Bulls

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    CLEVELAND - APRIL 27:  Derrick Rose #1 of the Chicago Bulls goes up for a shot against Antawn Jamison #4 and Anderson Varejao #17 of the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game Five of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2010 NBA Playoffs at Quicken Loans
    Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  41-41

    Key Additions:  Carlos Boozer, Kyle Korver, Ronnie Brewer

    Key Subtractions:  Kirk Hinrich (traded to Washington), Hakim Warrick (signed with Phoenix)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  49-33 (+8 over '09-'10) (4th in Eastern Conference & 1st in Central Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Derrick Rose finishes in the top four of the final MVP voting.  

    My Thoughts:  Carlos Boozers is an adequate consolation prize, but there is no denying that the Bulls were among the losers of the NBA off-season. 

    When early reports surfaced that Dwyane Wade was leaning toward signing with his hometown Bulls, fans envisioned their own "Big Three" with Derrick Rose, Chris Bosh and D-Wade. 

    After falling short on their "Big Three" dreams, Bulls fans began settling into being content as an upper crust Eastern Conference team.  Then Carmelo happened.  Until it didn't. 

    So after another tease the Bulls are left with a burgeoning superstar, a semi-star, a defensive stalwart and a plethora of vital role players.  Not a bad place to be following an offseason of "disappointment."

5. Atlanta Hawks

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    ATLANTA - OCTOBER 21:  Joe Johnson #2 of the Atlanta Hawks walks over to hug LeBron James #6 of the Miami Heat after the Hawks 98-89 win at Philips Arena on October 21, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  53-29

    Key Additions:  Jordan Crawford

    Key Subtractions:  None.  (Childress doesn't count.)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  46-36 (-7 over 09-10) (5th in Eastern Conference, 3rd in Southeast Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Following another Hawks playoff ouster and poor performance by Joe Johnson, I propose a column titled "120 Million Reasons Why Joe Johnson Is Not Worth $120 Million" and am quickly shot down by my editors.   

    My Thoughts:  Is there anything likable about this team whatsoever? 

    Their management gave a choking dog, faux-star, who publicly criticized Hawks fans, the biggest contract of an offseason that included three of the top seven players in the NBA, of which Hawks "superstar" guard Joe Johnson is not.  

    The team is largely comprised of the same players who phoned in an entire playoff series, resulting in the firing of the only competent Hawks coach of the past 20 years. 

    Absolutely nothing likable here whatsoever. 

6. New York Knicks

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    NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 23:  Amar'e Stoudemire of the New York Knicks throws out the first pitch prior to the game between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays on September 23, 2010 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by M
    Mike Stobe/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  29-53

    Key Additions:  Amar'e Stoudemire, Raymond Felton, Anthony Randolph, Timofey Mozgov (...as long as he doesn't suck)

    Key Subtractions:  David Lee (signed-and-traded to Golden State), Chris Duhon (signed with Magic)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  44-38 (+15 over '09-'10) (6th in Eastern Conference, 2nd in Atlantic Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Amar'e Stoudemire leads the NBA in scoring.   

    My Thoughts:  Of the teams I'm most excited to watch play this offseason, the suddenly-competent Knicks rank third, behind only the Heat and Thunder. 

    Every offseason acquisition fits perfectly in coach Mike D'Antoni's system.  Seeing Raymond Felton and Amar'e Stoudemire run in the open court this season is going to be a thing of beauty. 

    And, even though Stoudemire is not worth $100 million, he's in the process of doing the one thing Knicks fans needed more than anything—a return to relevancy. 

    With both Carmelo Anthony and Chris Paul privately opining to play in New York, future pastures could be even greener following this season. 

    The 2010-11 begins that journey. 

7. Milwaukee Bucks

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    ATLANTA - MAY 2:  Guard Brandon Jennings #3 of the Milwaukee Bucks loses the ball while guard Mike Bibby #10 of the Atlanta Hawks defends him during Game Seven of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2010 NBA Playoffs at Philips Arena on May 2,
    Mike Zarrilli/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  46-36

    Key Additions:  Corey Maggette, Drew Gooden

    Key Subtractions:  Luke Ridnour (signed with Minnesota)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  42-40 (-4 over '09-'10) (7th in Eastern Conference, 2nd in Central Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Scott Skiles either quits or is fired by the All-Star break.   

    My Thoughts:  This comes down to the fact I still don't think Brandon Jennings is that good.  Granted, I recognize he is talented.  But I don't see signs of a winning point guard anywhere in his DNA. 

    When ranking things I want most in an NBA point guard, the label "volume shooter" ranks about No. 842 on the list between No. 841. "Blind in one eye" and No. 843.  "Likes to eat Vaseline on Ustream."

    In other words, Jennings' propensity to "shoot through" his constant shooting woes doesn't magnetize me to his playing style. 

    And, knowing Bucks coach Scott Skiles, he feels the exact same way.  If you're not familiar with the work of coach Skiles, he's not exactly what you would call the best communicator.  Combine that with Jennings' "selective hearing" problem, and you have the recipe for a horrible relationship. 

    If the team's star and its coach don't get along, teams fail.  It's that simple. 

8. Indiana Pacers

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    OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 30:  Danny Granger #33 of the Indiana Pacers in action during their game against the Golden State Warriors at Oracle Arena on November 30, 2009 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by do
    Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  32-50

    Key Additions:  Darren Collison, Paul George (who, as anyone who regularly reads my work knows, is my 2010 rookie man crush)

    Key Subtractions:  Troy Murphy (traded to Nets), Earl Watson (signed with Utah)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  40-42 (plus-eight over '09-'10) (eighth in Eastern Conference, third in Central Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Darren Collison wins the NBA's Most Improved Player award.   

    My Thoughts:  The No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference, also known as the "No, you take it.  We're cool in the lottery" award gets bestowed on the Pacers, a team that made a bunch of sneaky-good off-season moves. 

    Adding Darren Collison, the former Hornet who filled in more than aptly in the absence of Chris Paul last season, gives the Pacers a solid point guard they sorely lacked last season. 

    Paul George breaks the team's policy of drafting safe prospects, instead of a "boom-or-bust" type player like George.  There is no doubt in my mind that Paul George will either be scoring 20 PPG or out of the league in four years.  The middle ground is non-existent with a prospect like this, but based on all the tape I've watched of the guy, he's going to be a star at the NBA level.  He has elite leaping ability, a sweet stroke from behind the arc and good size for his position.

    If Collison adds stability and George adds spark to a team already equipped with Danny Granger and Roy Hibbert, they should roll to the No. 8 seed in a weak conference.  

9. Charlotte Bobcats

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    NEW YORK - OCTOBER 19:  Basketball Hall of Famer Michael Jordan sits in the stands during Game Four of the ALCS during the 2010 MLB Playoffs at Yankee Stadium on October 19, 2010 in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Andrew Burton/Getty Images
    Andrew Burton/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  44-38

    Key Additions:  Kwame Brown (...only because of the irony), Matt Carroll (token white guy!)

    Key Subtractions: Raymond Felton (signed with Knicks), Tyson Chandler (traded to Mavs)


    2010-11 Record Projection:  35-47 (minus-nine over '09-'10) (ninth in Eastern Conference, fourth in Southeast Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Larry Brown-to-Team X rumors start before November 15, 2010.  Wait...that's not bold.  That's just, um, obvious.  Uhh...Stephen Jackson goes the entire season without a technical.  Bold!

    My Thoughts:  I mean, I really have none.  The team spent its offseason lowering ownership's luxury tax bill and attempting to facilitate other teams' attempts to better themselves while doing nothing to get better. 

    For someone who criticized management's unwillingness to spend at the end of his Chicago tenure, MJ is looking awfully Krausean with his off-season moves. 

    Just saying. 

10. Washington Wizards

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    NEW YORK - JUNE 24:  John Wall of Kentucky stands with NBA Commisioner David Stern after being drafted with the first pick by the Washington Wizards at Madison Square Garden on June 24, 2010 in New York City.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and
    Al Bello/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  26-56

    Key Additions:  John Wall, Gilbert Arenas (yes, he counts), Kirk Hinrich, Kevin Seraphin

    Key Subtractions:  Randy Foye (signed with Clippers), Mike Miller (signed with Miami)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  34-48 (plus-eight over '09-'10) (11th in Eastern Conference, fifth in Southeast Division)

    Bold Prediction:  The Wizards and Gilbert Arenas come to terms on a buyout of his contract by New Years Day.   

    My Thoughts:  Everyone seems to be focused on John Wall's maturity on-the-court.  I'm not worried about that whatsoever.  I have already seen enough of the kid play to know he's going to be a top-10 NBA player within three years. 

    Where I am focused on is Wall's maturity off-the-court and why in the turquoise hell Gilbert Arenas is allowed within 500 feet of Wall is just baffling to me.  The Wizards should have bought out Arenas the day they won the lottery. 

    Management seems convinced that some bumbling GM will be seduced by Gilbert's talent and be willing to take on his massive contract.  (That sound you hear are the fellow readers feverishly going to Youtube to play the famous "KHAAAAAAAN" quote from "Star Trek II:  The Wrath of Khan.")

    One problem:  Arenas has played exactly 47 games in the past three seasons and hasn't looked anywhere his former self in any of them. 

    Ownership needs to cut a check so the team can cut its losses while it still has time. 

11. Philadelphia 76ers

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    NEW YORK - JUNE 24:  Evan Turner of Ohio State stands with NBA Commisioner David Stern after being drafted second overall by  the Philadelphia 76ers at Madison Square Garden on June 24, 2010 in New York City.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and
    Al Bello/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  27-55

    Key Additions:  Evan Turner, Spencer Hawes

    Key Subtractions:  Samuel Dalembert (traded to Sacramento)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  30-52 (plus-three over '09-'10) (11th in Eastern Conference, third in Atlantic Division)

    Bold Prediction:  I was going to make a "paramedics rush to Sixers bench to check the pulse of coach Doug Collins who turns out to just be napping" joke, but considering Collins' recent health concerns, that just seems inappropriate.   

    My Thoughts:  So how many different ways do you want me to say I was wrong about Evan Turner?  Let's try French:  Je me trompais sur Evan Turner.  Not good enough?  Okay, let's try Italian:  Mi sbagliavo su Evan Turner.  Still not good enough?  Fine.  One last try:  Mimi nilikuwa na makosa kuhusu Evan Turner.

    We good now?  I knew Swahili would solve it. 

    All horrible jokes involving Google Translate aside, I was dead wrong on Turner.  As most of you know, I ranked him No. 1 on my prospect rankings before the NBA Draft, citing my "never pass on a sure thing" theory.  While normally foolproof, the theory does require that the player actually be a sure thing, something Turner has proven himself to be anything but. 

    By all accounts, the No. 2 overall pick seems to have regressed to his freshman year at Ohio State form, meaning arguing with coaches, teammates and being an overall headcase. 

    It could just be a bad preseason, but with many other rookies shining on the preseason stage, it's hard to look past Turner's ineptitude. 

    Unless he turns it around, Sixers fans could be in for another long season. 

12. Cleveland Cavaliers

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    CLEVELAND - JULY 8:  A parking attendant stands near a larger than life photograph of LeBron James July 8, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio. The two-time Most Valuable Player has the choice of remaining with the Cleveland Cavaliers or signing with a new team. (Pho
    J.D. Pooley/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  61-21

    Key Additions:  Umm...Ramon Sessions?

    Key Subtractions:  LeBron James (signed-and-traded to Miami), Shaquille O'Neal (signed with Boston), Zydrunas Ilgauskis (signed with Miami)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  28-54 (minus-33 over '09-'10) (12th in Eastern Conference, fourth in Central Division)

    Bold Prediction:  Cavs "magically" land the No. 1 pick in the 2011 NBA Draft.   

    My Thoughts:  I'm really sorry Cleveland. 

13. Detroit Pistons

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    MIAMI - OCTOBER 05:  Forward LeBron James #6 of the Miami Heat takes on giard Tracy McGrady #1of the Detroit Pistons on October 5, 2010 in Miami, Florida.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photogr
    Marc Serota/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  27-55

    Key Additions:  Tracy McGrady, Greg Monroe

    Key Subtractions:  None

    2010-11 Record Projection:  27-55 (plus/minus-0 over '09-'10) (13th in Eastern Conference, fifthth in Central Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Bleacher Report gets national coverage when Joe Dumars calls one of its writers an a**hole, Elgin Baylor style, in a press conference.   

    My Thoughts:  How does Joe Dumars have an NBA General Manager job when Kevin Pritchard doesn't?  Seriously, how the f--- does Joe Dumars have an NBA General Manager job, period? 

    Beginning with the Allen Iverson-for-Chauncey Billups trade, Dumars has systematically destroyed the Pistons that had just made five straight Eastern Conference Finals appearances.

    Just for reference, here are the Pistons transactions since Nov. 4, 2008 (the Billups trade):

    Dec. 9, 2008:  Signed Antonio McDyess for veteran's minimum (good move)

    Jun. 23, 2009:  Traded Amir Johnson for Fabricio Oberto (horrible move)

    Jul. 2, 2009:  Signed Ben Gordon to five-year/$55 million deal.  (horrible move)

    Jul. 2, 2009:  Signed Charlie Villanueva to five-year/$40 million deal.  (mind-numbingly stupid move)

    Jul. 9, 2009:  Hired John Kuester as team's new head coach (if we're judging by record compared to predecessor, horrible move)

    Jul. 13, 2009:  Traded Arron Afflalo, Walter Sharpe and cash for second-round pick (horrible move)

    Jul. 20, 2009:  Signed Chris Wilcox to two-year/$6 million deal (okay move)

    Aug. 12, 2009: Signed Ben Wallace to one-year/$1.3 million deal (good move)

    Aug. 4, 2010:  Signed Ben Wallace to two-year/$3.8 million deal (okay move)

    Aug. 16, 2010:  Signed Tracy McGrady to one-year/$1.3 million deal (good move)

    I think that speaks for itself. 

14. New Jersey Nets

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - MARCH 03:  LeBron James #23 of the Cleveland Cavaliers lays up a shot against Brook Lopez #23 of the New Jersey Nets for a basket at the Izod Center on March 3, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowl
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  12-70

    Key Additions:  Troy Murphy, Derrick Favors, Anthony Morrow, Travis Outlaw, Jordan Farmar

    Key Subtractions:  Courtney Lee (traded to Houston)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  24-58 (plus-12 over '09-'10) (14th in Eastern Conference, fourth in Atlantic Division)

    Bold Prediction:   This is the year we realize that Brook Lopez is who he is (a 20-9 guy with above-average defense and an awesome personality) and nothing else.   

    My Thoughts:  Loads of young talent with a coach who is great at squeezing every ounce of potential out of players in his first year before players eventually want to squeeze every ounce of life out of him. 

    Under Avery Johnson, Nets players are going to learn discipline, defensive awareness and how to take a man who sounds like he just sucked up the world's supply of helium seriously.  

    Derrick Favors should shine defensively in his rookie season, but Johnson's coaching staff is known to be limited offensively so Favors' offensive development could be hampered early-on. 

    As for the rest of the overpaid (minus Brook Lopez) talent on the roster, their cycle of mediocrity will continue. 

    Doubling a win total is an accomplishment even for teams that only won 12 games in the previous season. 

15. Toronto Raptors

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    DALLAS - FEBRUARY 12:  DeMar DeRozan #10 of the Toronto Raptors shoots during the slam dunk contest at held at halftime during the T-Mobile Rookie Challenge & Youth Jam part of 2010 NBA All-Star Weekend at American Airlines Center on February 12, 2010 in
    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  40-42

    Key Additions:  Leandro Barbosa, Ed Davis, Linas Kleiza

    Key Subtractions:  Chris Bosh (signed-and-traded to Miami, Hedo Turkoglu (traded to Phoenix)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  19-63 (minus-21 over '09-'10) (15th in Eastern Conference, fifth in Atlantic Division)

    Bold Prediction:   DeMar Derozan has a breakout season, becomes an All-Star the next, and flees Toronto after his rookie contract ends. 

    (Sorry, Toronto.  I had to after all the vitriolic e-mails I got from you last season.)

    My Thoughts: On the bright side, at least they still have an NBA team and Canadians are awesome. 

Western Conference

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    LOS ANGELES, CA - JUNE 21:  Fans cheer for the Los Angeles Lakers during their victory parade for the the NBA basketball champion team on June 21, 2010 in Los Angeles, California. The Lakers beat the Boston Celtics 87-79 in 7 games for the franchise's 16
    Noel Vasquez/Getty Images

    Here is my preview of the Western Conference:

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

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    KANSAS CITY, MO - OCTOBER 8: Kevin Durant #35 of the Oklahoma City Thunder looks to drive past LeBron James #6 of the Miami Heat before the game on October 8, 2010 at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges a
    Jamie Squire/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  50-32

    Key Additions:  Cole Aldrich, Daequan Cook, Morris Peterson

    Key Subtractions:  None.

    2010-11 Record Projection:  58-24 (plus-eight over '09-'10) (first in Eastern Conference, first in Northwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Russell Westbrook makes an All-NBA team. 

    My Thoughts:  Everything about this team is screaming "break-out regular season, only to fall short in the playoffs."

    Talent-wise, OKC is filled to the brim with young talent that is only going to get better under the wing of a top-five coach in Scott Brooks. 

    Chemistry-wise, the Thunder looks to actually be as close-knit as LeBron James' Cavaliers teams of the past two years appeared to be. 

    And Kevin Durant is simply breathtaking.  Watching his pure dominance and emergence as a leader during the World Championships only further supplanted Durant among the NBA's elite and made him an early favorite for NBA MVP.  Add that to his willingness to embrace a possible rivalry with LeBron James, and Durant is seemingly every bit the superstar young fans hear their fathers reminisce about while degrading the non-competitiveness of today's game. 

    Let's hope Durant's competitiveness is more inspirational to today's youth than the cop-out route LeBron took. 

2. Los Angeles Lakers

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    LAS VEGAS - OCTOBER 13:  Kobe Bryant #24 of the Los Angeles Lakers drives against the Sacramento Kings during their preseason game at the Thomas & Mack Center October 13, 2010 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Lakers won 98-95. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknow
    Ethan Miller/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  57-25

    Key Additions:  Steve Blake, Matt Barnes

    Key Subtractions:  Jordan Farmar (signed with Nets)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  55-27 (minus-two over '09-'10) (second in Western Conference, first in Pacific Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Kobe Bryant plays in less than 70 games this season. 

    My Thoughts:  The two-time defending NBA champions aren't getting any younger, and if you have seen Kobe Bryant play this preseason, any healthier either. 

    I have a feeling Bryant's insistence on playing (poorly, by the way) in the preseason instead of sitting out and resting his multitude of injuries is going to backfire, resulting in an extended period with Bryant out of the Lakers lineup when it matters.

    Pau Gasol is more than capable of manning the fort while the face of the franchise is healing, so there is no problem there.

    Where the Lakers true problem lies is the fact that Derek Fisher is done as an NBA starting point guard.  Watching him play this preseason reminds me of my dog Spunky.  She's 16-years-old and on her last legs.  She's deaf and semi-blind.  She's so uncoordinated that she slips and falls on a daily basis.  But my mom loves her, so we can't put her to sleep until it is absolutely necessary.

    Phil, put Fisher out his misery. 

3. Utah Jazz

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    PHOENIX - OCTOBER 12:  Al Jefferson #25 of the Utah Jazz blocks a shot from Robin Lopez #15 of the Phoenix Suns during the preseason NBA game at US Airways Center on October 12, 2010 in Phoenix, Arizona. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agree
    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  53-29

    Key Additions:  Al Jefferson, Gordon Hayward (white guy!), Raja Bell

    Key Subtractions:  Carlos Boozer (signed with Chicago), Kyle Korver (white guy!) (signed with Chicago)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  53-29 (plus/minus-0 over '09-'10) (third in Western Conference, second in Northwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Gordon Hayward (a guy who will play less than 15 MPG) sells more jerseys than 23-15 man Al Jefferson. 

    My Thoughts:  So let me get this straight.  The Jazz lose their second best player to free agency and proceed to acquire a better player at the same position for sack of magic beans, yet analysts think the team is going to be worse this season? 

    I don't get it. 

    With Al Jefferson two years off reconstructive knee surgery, Deron Williams ready to continue the growth he showed last season and Jerry Sloan once again leading the charge, any less than last season's 53 wins would be a disappointment. 

4. Dallas Mavericks

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    SAN ANTONIO - APRIL 25:  Jason Kidd #2 of the Dallas Mavericks in Game Four of the Western Conference Quarterfinals during the 2010 NBA Playoffs at AT&T Center on April 25, 2010 in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees t
    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  55-27

    Key Additions:  Tyson Chandler

    Key Subtractions:  Erick Dampier (traded to Charlotte)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  52-30 (minus-three over '09-'10) (fourth in Western Conference, first in Southwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Jason Kidd's corpse is subtly replaced by Rodrigue Beaubois during crunch time as the season progresses. 

    My Thoughts:  They're old, they spent exorbitant amounts of money on mediocre big men and have the best owner in professional sports.  Absolutely nothing new or surprising here to talk about. 

5. Houston Rockets

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    LOS ANGELES, CA - MAY 04:  Yao Ming #11 of the Houston Rockets reacts late in the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Lakers in Game One of the Western Conference Semifinals during the 2009 NBA Playoffs at Staples Center on May 4, 2009 in Los Angeles,
    Jeff Gross/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  42-40

    Key Additions:  Yao Ming (he counts), Courtney Lee, Patrick Patterson, Brad Miller

    Key Subtractions:  Trevor Ariza (traded to New Orleans)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  51-31 (plus-nine over '09-'10) (sixth in Western Conference, second in Southwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Yao Ming plays in 70-plus games this season. 

    My Thoughts:  Everybody knows that the Rockets' entire season hopes rest on the 30 percent chance that Yao Ming stays healthy throughout the entire season. 

    By strictly limiting Yao to a maximum of 24 minutes per night, the staff's desperation to keep Yao healthy is evident.  I cannot think of a time where a team limited a player's minutes without any wiggle room for an entire season. 

    And, with Yao saying he will retire if his foot does not fully heal, who can blame the team for taking extreme measures.

    Besides the surface purpose of keeping Yao healthy, their minute-limiting policy also tells you how deeply management believes this Rockets team has all the tools to be Western Conference championship contender if Yao is healthy. 

    As always, it's a wait-and-hold-your-breath game. 

6. Denver Nuggets

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    SALT LAKE CITY - APRIL 30:  Carmelo Anthony #15 of the Denver Nuggets stands on the court during their game against the Utah Jazz in Game Six of the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the 2010 NBA Playoffs at EnergySolutions Arena on April 30, 2010 in Sa
    Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  53-29

    Key Additions:  Al Harrington

    Key Subtractions:  Linas Kleiza (signed with Raptors)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  50-32 (minus-three over '09-'10) (sixth in Western Conference, in Atlantic Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Carmelo Anthony plays all 82 games in a Denver Nuggets uniform and signs an extension during the season. 

    My Thoughts:  My theory:  Carmelo Anthony is going to come out of the gate on-fire this season, fueled both by his own desire to leave Denver as well as the criticism he has received for voicing his displeasure. 

    Because of this, Denver is also going to start out the season ablaze.  And, after a long sit-down talk with George Karl, Chauncey Billups and Nuggets brass, 'Melo decides to re-up during the team's hot streak. 

    Then the Nuggets fall back into what they really are (a team full of headcases completely unable to sustain any strain of consistency) and fall out of true contention by the end of the season. 

    'Melo regrets signing his extension and spends all next off-season (assuming we have one) asking for a trade.

7. San Antonio Spurs

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    PHOENIX - MAY 05:  Tim Duncan #21 of the San Antonio Spurs shoots the ball during Game Two of the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2010 NBA Playoffs against the Phoenix Suns at US Airways Center on May 5, 2010 in Phoenix, Arizona. The team is wearing
    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  50-32

    Key Additions:  Tiago Splitter, James Anderson

    Key Subtractions:  None.

    2010-11 Record Projection:  47-35 (minus-3 over '09-'10) (7th in Western Conference, 3rd in Southwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Spurs start off poorly, leaving analysts to wonder "Is this the year the Spurs are finally done" only for the team to catch fire after the All-Star break for yet another playoff berth.

    Wait, that happens every year?  Oh, sorry. 

    My Thoughts:  I am interested to see if Splitter's game translates to the NBA level.  I think that this is the last year of the Duncan-era the Spurs make the playoffs.  I hope Gregg Popovich grows another beard. 

    The end. 

8. Los Angeles Clippers

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    NEW YORK - JUNE 25:  NBA Commissioner David Stern poses for a photograph with the first overall draft pick by the Los Angeles Clippers,  Blake Griffin during the 2009 NBA Draft at the Wamu Theatre at Madison Square Garden June 25, 2009 in New York City. N
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  29-53

    Key Additions:  Blake Griffin, Al-Farouq Aminu, Randy Foye, Eric Bledsoe

    Key Subtractions:  Steve Blake (signed with Lakers), Drew Gooden (signed with Milwaukee), Travis Outlaw (signed with Nets), Steve "Mr. Crunch Time" Novak (signed with Dallas)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  46-36 (plus-17 over '09-'10) (eighth in Western Conference, second in Pacific Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Clippers to the playoffs not bold enough?  Fine.  Blake Griffin has the best rookie season since LeBron James (averaging 20-10-2+blocks) while playing in 75-plus games.   

    My Thoughts:  I bought into Clippers preseason conjecture last season and suckered myself into picking them as the No. 7 seed in the West. 

    Needless to say that didn't work out so well for me. 

    But, just like every Clippers fan out there, I am convinced that this is the year

    My Clippers faith is exactly like my faith in "Entourage."  For the past four seasons, I've sat waiting for the series to capture the potential greatness I saw in the first season.  And by the end of every season, I would feel like the entire cast fed me an entire bowl of crap stew for the entire season. 

    Yet every year I kept coming back convinced they would finally deliver.  Then, this season it happened.  Vince became a coke-head who dates pornstar Sasha Grey.  Bob Saget and John Stamos re-unite making me wonder what ever happened to Jodie Sweetin.  Start to finish just a great season. 

    Well, for the Clippers, this season it is happening

9. Portland Trailblazers

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    PORTLAND, OR - APRIL 24:  Brandon Roy #7 of the Portland Trail Blazers in action against the Phoenix Suns during Game Four of the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the NBA Playoffs on April 24, 2010 at the Rose Garden in Portland, Oregon. The Blazers de
    Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  50-32

    Key Additions:  Wesley Matthews, Greg Oden

    Key Subtractions:  Martell Webster (traded to Minnesota)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  44-38 (minus-six over '09-'10) (ninth in Western Conference, fourth in Northwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:  My purchase of rehirekevinpritchard.com will prove very profitable by February.   

    My Thoughts:  An organization is only as strong as its foundation, and the foundation of the Blazers is in shambles. 

    After unceremoniously firing long-time and well-respected GM Kevin Pritchard, Portland splurged on Wesley Matthews (really, Wesley Matthews?) and stood pat for the rest of the offseason. 

    Injuries are a huge concern because Portland lacks depth to cover for the injuries.  Last season they miraculously survived (in one hell of a coaching job by Nate McMillan) to make the playoffs.

    If the injury bug catches them again this season, I see now way they survive a second season of plugging in washed up veterans. 

10. Phoenix Suns

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    PHOENIX - OCTOBER 19:  Steve Nash #13 of the Phoenix Suns drives the ball past Monta Ellis #8 of the Golden State Warriors during the preseason NBA game at US Airways Center on October 19, 2010 in Phoenix, Arizona. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledge
    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  54-28

    Key Additions:  Josh Childress, Hedo Turkoglu, Hakim Warrick

    Key Subtractions:  Louis Amundson (signed with Golden State), Amare Stoudemire (signed-and-traded to Knicks), Leandro Barbosa (traded to Toronto)

    2010-11 Record Projection:  43-39 (minus-11 over '09-'10) (10th in Western Conference, third in Pacific Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Hedo Turkoglu returns to his Orlando form. And the team scores the most points in the NBA while also giving up the most.   

    My Thoughts:  Reasons the Suns won't make the playoffs:  No defensive stopper, no individual explosive scorer, 45 small forwards, the Western Conference, Hedo Turkoglu karma, Steve Kerr karma, Robert Sarver karma.

    Reasons the Suns will make the playoffs—Steve Nash.

    They'll be fun to watch, but there's no way this Suns team makes the playoffs. 

11. Memphis Grizzlies

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    NEW ORLEANS - MARCH 03:  O.J. Mayo #32 and Marc Gasol #33 hold back Rudy Gay #22 of the Memphis Grizzlies after drawing a technical foul for arguing with a referee during the game against the New Orleans Hornets at the New Orleans Arena on March 3, 2010 i
    Chris Graythen/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  40-42

    Key Additions:  Xavier Henry, Tony Allen

    Key Subtractions:  Ronnie Brewer

    2010-11 Record Projection:  38-44 (minus-two over '09-'10) (11th in Western Conference, fourth in Southwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   No less than five misdemeanor charges for this team during the season. 

    My Thoughts:  On paper, the Grizzlies look ready to ascend to upper crust of the Western Conference.  With talent on every position on the floor, great bench depth, and a surprising 40-42 finish last season, you would think more analysts would be picking them as a sleeper playoff team.

    Then you remember that Zach Randolph is a supposed drug kingpin, Mike Conley isn't an NBA point guard, and the team lacks a crunch-time scorer.  It's also a team built by Chris Wallace.  A Chris Wallace-built team just can't make the playoffs. 

    Karma for the Gasol pilfering hasn't hit Memphis yet, but I have a feeling it's coming this season. 

12. New Orleans Hornets

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    NEW ORLEANS - OCTOBER 13:  Chris Paul #3 of the New Orleans Hornets in action during the game against the Miami Heat at the New Orleans Arena on October 13, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by dow
    Chris Graythen/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  37-45

    Key Additions:  Trevor Ariza

    Key Subtractions:  Darren Collison, Morris Peterson

    2010-11 Record Projection:  32-50 (minus-five over '09-'10) (12th in Western Conference, fifth in Southwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Chris Paul is not wearing a Hornets uniform at the end of the 2010-11 season. 

    My Thoughts:  My theory:  Chris Paul takes one look at his teammates, realizes he was wholly just in asking for a trade during the off-season, and quietly asks for a trade early-on. 

    The team tells Paul to wait it out, see if the team gets better, and, if not, they will try to accommodate his wishes.  Things don't get better.

    After shopping Paul quietly around the league, the Hornets find a suitor in the Houston Rockets.

    Trade goes something like this:

    Houston gets Paul

    New Orleans gets Aaron Brooks, Shane Battier (expiring), Jared Jeffries (expiring), the Knicks 2012 pick, and cash.

    Who says no to that deal if Paul really wants out? 

    And, if he does get out, well, it's not going to get better any time soon in New Orleans. 

13. Golden State Warriors

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    PHOENIX - OCTOBER 19:  Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors drives to the basket during the preseason NBA game against the Phoenix Suns at US Airways Center on October 19, 2010 in Phoenix, Arizona. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and a
    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  26-56

    Key Additions:  David Lee, Louis Amundson

    Key Subtractions:  Anthony Randolph, Ronny Turiaf, Corey Maggette

    2010-11 Record Projection:  30-52 (plus-four over '09-'10) (13th in Western Conference, fourth in Pacific Division)

    Bold Prediction:   Stephen Curry averages more than 23 PPG and 8 APG. 

    My Thoughts:  Call me a curmudgeon, but I'm a stickler for not giving nonathletic, horrible defender, product of the system guys $80 million.  Considering David Lee is an all-around good guy, an above-average rebounder and scorer, I would give him half of that willingly.

    Overpayments to overrated players aside, the Warriors are going to be about as fun as watching J-Woww on TNA Wrestling on a nightly basis. 

    In fact, if I wasn't a poor college student working for minimum wage at a convenience store, I would buy NBA Season Ticket and watch them every night. 

    And with both Don Nelson and Chris Cohan out of the picture, greener pastures are certainly ahead for the Warriors.  I just don't think it quite translates to winning this season. 

14. Sacramento Kings

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    DALLAS - FEBRUARY 12:  Tyreke Evans #13 of the Rookie team shoots against the Sophomore team during the second half of the T-Mobile Rookie Challenge & Youth Jam part of 2010 NBA All-Star Weekend at American Airlines Center on February 12, 2010 in Dallas,
    Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  25-57

    Key Additions:  DeMarcus Cousins, Samuel Dalembert

    Key Subtractions:  Spencer Hawes

    2010-11 Record Projection:  29-53 (plus-four over '09-'10) (14th in Western Conference, fifth in Pacific Division)

    Bold Prediction:   The NBA announces the Kings franchise's intentions to move to Seattle (or Kansas City) by the end of the season. 

    My Thoughts:  The Kings are another team that had a fantastic offseason.  Instead of strapping themselves down with an expensive free agent, the team traded for center Samuel Dalembert and his expiring contract to allow future cap flexibility. 

    In addition, the Kings took another plunge into the "questionable character" pool and drafted former Kentucky star DeMarcus Cousins with the No. 5 pick in June's draft.  Many wonder whether Kings management is quickly compiling a roster of knuckleheads that will eventually morph into a Jailblazers 2.0-type team. 

    I personally don't see any reason to worry.  It's not like the Kings owners are heavily involved in the Las Vegas nightlife and can provide perks for the players that no other owners can.

    Oh, they are? My bad.

    But, until the personality flaws rear their ugly head, the Kings came away with two of the four most talented players in the last two drafts without having a pick in the top three in either draft.  And that's a great place to build your future. 

15. Minnesota Timberwolves

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    DALLAS - FEBRUARY 12:  Kevin Love #42 of the Sophomore team goes up for a shot against the Rookie team during the first half of the T-Mobile Rookie Challenge & Youth Jam part of 2010 NBA All-Star Weekend at American Airlines Center on February 12, 2010 in
    Getty Images/Getty Images

    2009-2010 Record:  15-67

    Key Additions:  Michael Beasley and 17 other small forwards.

    Key Subtractions:  Al Jefferson, Ramon Sessions

    2010-11 Record Projection:  13-69 (minus-two over '09-'10) (15th in Western Conference, fifth in Northwest Division)

    Bold Prediction:   The magic beans David Kahn traded Al Jefferson turn out to grow three brain cells which Kahn inserts into his mind, leaving him with, well, three brain cells.  

    My Thoughts:  What can you really say about a team with no direction, no star player, a bad coach, a historically inept GM?  I feel horrible for my 2008 Draft man crush Kevin Love, but there is no light at the end of this tunnel. 

Regular Season Awards

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    BOSTON - MAY 28:  Dwight Howard #12 of the Orlando Magic dunks against the Boston Celtics in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals during the 2010 NBA Playoffs at TD Garden on May 28, 2010 in Boston, Massachusetts.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknow
    Pool/Getty Images

    MVP:  Dwight Howard, C, Orlando Magic (second: Kevin Durant, third: LeBron James, fourth: Derrick Rose, fifth: Amare Stoudemire)

    Defensive Player of the Year:  Rajon Rondo, PG, Boston Celtics (second: Dwight Howard, third: LeBron James, fourth: Kevin Garnett, fifth: John Wall)

    Rookie of the Year:  Blake Griffin, PF, Los Angeles Clippers (second: John Wall, third: DeMarcus Cousins, fourth: Paul George, fifth: Jordan Crawford)

    Sixth Man of the Year:  Manu Ginobili, SG, San Antonio Spurs (too difficult to guess one to five here)

    Coach of the Year:  Mike D'Antoni, Knicks (second: Vinny Del Negro, third: Jim O'Brien, fourth: Scott Brooks, fifth: Rick Adelman)

    Most Improved Player:  Stephen Curry, PG, Golden State Warriors

Eastern Conference Playoff Results

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    SAN ANTONIO - OCTOBER 09:  LeBron James #6 and Chris Bosh #1 of the Miami Heat talk during a timeout during the game against the San Antonio Spurs at the AT&T Center on October 9, 2010 in San Antonio, Texas.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and
    Chris Graythen/Getty Images

    First Round

    Miami Heat (1) over Indiana Pacers (8) in four games.

    Chicago Bulls (4) over Atlanta Hawks (5) in five games.

    Boston Celtics (3) over New York Knicks (6) in six games.

    Orlando Magic (2) over Milwaukee Bucks (7) in six games.

    Second Round:

    Miami Heat (1) over Chicago Bulls (4) in five games

    Boston Celtics (3) over Orlando Magic (2) in seven games. 

    Conference Championship:

    Miami Heat (1) over Boston Celtics in seven games. 

Western Conference Playoff Results

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    BARCELONA, SPAIN - OCTOBER 07:  Kobe Bryant #24 of the Los Angeles Lakers smiles during the NBA Europe Live match between Los Angeles Lakers and Regal FC Barcelona at the at Palau Blaugrana on October 7, 2010 in Barcelona, Spain.  (Photo by David Ramos/Ge
    David Ramos/Getty Images

    First Round

    Oklahoma City Thunder (1) over Los Angeles Clippers (8) in five games.

    Houston Rockets (5) over Dallas Mavericks (4) in seven games.

    Utah Jazz (3) over Denver Nuggets (6) in five games

    Los Angeles Lakers (2) over San Antonio Spurs (7) in six games.

    Conference Semi-Finals:

    Houston Rockets (5) over Oklahoma City Thunder in seven games.

    Los Angeles Lakers (2) over Utah Jazz in six games.

    Conference Finals:

    Los Angeles Lakers (2) over Houston Rockets (5) in five games. 

NBA Finals Results

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    EL SEGUNDO, CA - SEPTEMBER 25:  NBA Finals Larry O'Brien Championship Trophy is covered with a protective cloth as it rest on a stand during the Los Angeles Lakers Media Day at the Toyota Center on September 25, 2010 in El Segundo, California. NOTE TO USE
    Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images

    Game 1:  Heat over Lakers

    Game 2:  Lakers over Heat

    Game 3:  Lakers over Heat

    Game 4:  Heat over Lakers

    Game 5:  Lakers over Heat

    Game 6:  Heat over Lakers

    Game 7:  Heat over Lakers

    NBA Champions:  Miami Heat

    Finals MVP:  LeBron James.

    The lesson is, as always, the good guys never win. 

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