BCS Rankings 2010: Predicting the First Loss for Every Remaining Undefeated Team
Week 7 of the 2010 college football season is officially upon us, and with it comes the releasing of the first BCS Rankings on Sunday.
Through six weeks of play, it becomes very apparent that few programs are able to achieve the wondrous fully undefeated season, although it is not fully impossible.
The following is a list composed of the remaining 13 undefeated FBS teams, predicting each one's first loss of the season.
*All rankings are in reference to the AP Poll
The Missouri Tigers are sitting pretty at 5-0, No. 21 in the AP Poll, and tied for first in the Big 12 North with a 1-0 conference record.
The thing is, the toughest opponent the Tigers have faced was Illinois. Their other wins being against McNeese State, San Diego State, Miami (OH), and Colorado.
The Missouri No. 3 scoring defense should slip by Texas A&M in Week 7, but fall to the visiting No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners the following week.
First Loss: Oklahoma, Oct. 23
The AP No. 5 Nebraska Cornhuskers are on a 5-0 roll halfway through the season, and are one of the few teams with the capability to run the tables with the remaining schedule.
The Cornhuskers should roll over a struggling Texas Longhorns team in Week 7 before facing their possible toughest road game of the season against the No. 20 Oklahoma State Cowboys.
This could be the only possible loss for Nebraska, as the remainder of its schedule is very favorable.
First Loss: Oklahoma State, Oct. 23
The No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners are national title contenders in 2010, that is, if they can win the remainder of their games.
With the exception of the Sooners' win over Florida State, every game has been close, including bouts with Utah State, Air Force, Cincinnati, and Texas. But the Sooners are 5-0 nonetheless, and riding the unbeaten train.
Oklahoma will likely go unbeaten heading into the last game of the season—a rivalry match at Oklahoma State, in which anything can happen in a huge rivalry game, putting an upset loss up for debate.
First Loss: Oklahoma State, Nov. 27
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 5-0 through the first six weeks of play, enough to place them at the No. 20 spot in the AP Poll.
The Cowboys have racked in wins against Washington State, Troy, Tulsa, Texas A&M, and Louisiana-Lafayette—not the most impressive wins, but they took care of what they were given.
Oklahoma State travels to Texas Tech in Week 7 to take on a tough Red Raiders passing offense, and could face their first loss if they get caught looking ahead to their bout against No. 5 Nebraska the following week.
First Loss: Texas Tech, Oct. 16
The Spartans are making some noise in the country after upsetting Wisconsin and defeating rival Michigan the following week to gain a 6-0 record and a No. 13 AP ranking.
Michigan State should take down the visiting Illinois and Northwestern on the road before facing their a tough away game at Iowa.
If predictions hold true, the Spartans will head into the Iowa game 8-0, in which they could face their first and only loss of the season.
First Loss: Iowa, Oct. 30
The new No. 1 team in the country, the Ohio State Buckeyes, have a perfect record of 6-0 and 2-0 in Big Ten Conference play.
The Buckeyes have only faced one ranked team this season, the then No. 12 Miami Hurricanes (now un-ranked), and face their second and more difficult ranked team in Week 7—the No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers.
This is only Ohio State's second away game this season, and heading into a hostile stadium and solid Badger team in Madison could be an upset loss in the making.
First Loss: Wisconsin, Oct. 16
The TCU Horned Frogs are looking to continue their BCS buster status in 2010, and are off to a great start with a 6-0 record, and absolutely demolishing their opponents.
The No. 4 team in the country will likely gain wins over BYU, Air Force, and UNLV before heading to Salt Lake City to take on the No. 11 Utah Utes.
TCU will face their first tough road game of the season, and will likely be the Horned Frogs only loss in 2010.
First Loss: Utah, Nov. 6
The AP No. 11 Utah Utes are making a statement in the Mountain West before their departure to the Pac-10 Conference following the 2010 season.
The Utes are 5-0 and will likely continue their unbeaten streak heading into their road game against the impressive No. 23 Air Force Falcons.
Do not be surprised if the Utes slip to Air Force a week before the much anticipated home game against the TCU Horned Frogs.
First Loss: at Air Force, Oct. 30
The No. 2 Oregon Ducks are looking to play for the school's first ever National Championship game in 2010, and are on the right track with a 6-0 record and one of the most prolific offenses in the nation.
The Ducks should remain undefeated leading into the last game of the season—The Civil War.
Oregon will head to Oregon State for their yearly rivalry match, which could possibly be a 2009 rematch deciding who gets the Pac-10 Conference crown.
First Loss: Oregon State, Dec. 4
The No. 9 LSU Tigers are 6-0 in 2010 as the luck of head coach Les Miles continues after a big win over the then No. 14 Florida Gators.
The Tigers will gain another easy win in Week 7 hosting the FCS team McNeese State, but then hit the road to take on the No. 7 Auburn Tigers on hostile grounds.
Auburn will likely remain undefeated heading into this SEC match-up, in what will be the "battle of the Tigers," but LSU just might not have enough tricks to take down Auburn.
First Loss: Auburn, Oct. 23
The Auburn tigers sit nicely at the No. 7 spot in the nation with a 6-0 record, 3-0 in SEC play.
Auburn's signature win of the season was over then No. 12 South Carolina, who subsequently went on to upset No. 1 Alabama in Week 6.
The Tigers have two ranked opponents in Arkansas and LSU the next two weeks, but get to have both at home.
Auburn could go unscathed until their regular season finale at Alabama, who still has a lot of power in the SEC.
First Loss: Alabama, Nov. 26
The 6-0, AP ranked No. 19 Nevada Wolfpack is turning heads, led by breakout star quarterback Colin Kaepernick.
Nevada has some impressive wins over California and at BYU as the team looks to challenge fellow conference-mate Boise State for the conference crown.
Although Nevada has a great deal of talent, they could be taken down by the Hawaii Warriors and their No. 1 ranked passing offense in Week 7.
First Loss: Hawaii, Oct. 16
The Boise State Broncos regained their No. 3 AP ranking following Week 6, and are once against cruising through the season undefeated.
The 6-0 Broncos will likely remain undefeated until their road trip to take on the Nevada Wolfpack on November 26.
Looking at the Broncos' schedule, Nevada has the highest probability to pull off an upset and break the Boise State winning streak.
First Loss: Nevada, Nov. 26