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Is the Old Adage: Defense Wins Championships Still True?

Andy LiJul 29, 2010

We have all heard it before, defense wins championships, however do the number back this up.

The main statistic I used to judge this is the use of offensive and defensive rating which is defined

Offensive Rating = (points produced / possessions) x 100 or basically how many points a team produces per 100 possessions. 

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Defensive Rating = (points allowed / possession) x 100 or basically how many points a team allows per 100 possessions. 

The reason for using these two statistic is that it help show efficiency.

For example, the Warriors were ranked #2 in offensive last year averaging 108.8 ppg however, there offensive rating is ranked 14th in the league. The reason being is that while they do score a lot of points, they also take more shots than other teams making them less efficient.

In contrast, Portland, who was ranked 21st in the league with 98.1 ppg, is ranked 7th in offensive rating making them a more efficient scoring team then the Warriors despite averaging few points.

Offensive and Defensive ratings helps ignore the fact that teams play at different paces and take different amounts of shots which makes it a more ideal statistic to use.

Below is a chart of the past champions and where they rank in off. and def. rating. 

Year

Team

Off. Rating

Off. Rank

Def. Rating

Def. Rank

2009-2010

LAL

108.8

11th

103.7

4th

2008-2009

LAL

112.8

3rd

104.7

6th

2007-2008

BOS

110.2

10th

98.9

1st

2006-2007

SA

109.2

5th

99.9

2nd

2005-2006

MIA

108.7

7th

104.5

9th

2004-2005

SA

107.5

8th

98.8

1st

2003-2004

DET

102

18th

95.4

2nd

2002-2003

SA

105.6

7th

99.7

3rd

2001-2002

LAL

109.4

2nd

101.7

7th

2000-2001

LAL

108.4

2nd

104.8

21st

1999-2000

LAL

107.3

5th

98.2

1st

1998-1999

SA

104

11th

95

1st

1997-1998

CHI

107.7

9th

99.8

3rd

1996-1997

CHI

114.4

1st

102.4

4th

1995-1996

CHI

115.2

1st

101.8

1st

1994-1995

HOU

109.7

7th

107.4

12th

1993-1994

HOU

105.9

15th

101.4

2nd

1992-1993

CHI

112.9

2nd

106.1

7th

1991-1992

CHI

115.5

1st

104.5

4th

As you can see there is slightly more variation in the off. rating of teams then there is for def. rating. In addition, aside from the 94-95 HOU and 00-01 LAL, there is no championship team that ranks outside the top 10 in defense rating while there are 5 teams ranked outside top 10 for off. rating.

However, will this trend continue?

The average team points per game for the league has been slowly going up every year, from a league average of 93.4 in 03-04 to 100.4 last season. 

While the old adage "Defense wins championships" still seems true today, will it still hold it's ground in the future? 

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