Can the Orlando Magic Win a Championship Without Major Changes?
Can the Magic win a title without making any major moves?
Could the Magic could return to the Finals next year, and possibly beat the Lakers?
I believe they could.
The logic behind this lies in a few major facts:
Boston will not be the same next year; either they'll be a year older, or they are going to blow it up and start rebuilding around Rondo and Perkins.
Cleveland, sans LeBron, is probably a lottery team. And Orlando has proved they have the ability to deal with the current Cleveland team, so the only point of focus should be where LeBron ends up, which will likely end up being the biggest threat to the Magic.
Atlanta, while good against most of the league, presents no problem for the Magic.
I do think getting rid of Vince would be a good start. He had a 45-point eruption against New Orleans, but other than that was hardly the Vince Carter we saw for his years in Toronto and New Jersey. I don't think it is all his age decline either; I think a lot of it is purely mental (as he showed us by flipping the switch after his horrible January and then going into kill mode).
That said, it doesn't really matter. If Vince is traded, however, Orlando will need a new go-to guy down the stretch of games, when isolation plays become more prominent.
Therein lies the problem. Without Carter, who would isolate? Jameer? No one else is even viable, and I don't think Orlando wants their last shots in a game being taken by someone who is probably closer to 5'10" than his listed 6'. It's just too easy to shut down with a larger defender.
Bringing back Turkoglu might not be a bad idea. He was a match made in heaven for Orlando's system, and I do believe despite a horrid year that he is still capable of the same caliber of play as '08-'09 when he averaged 19 ppg and five apg. A player doesn't simply decline the way he did without major explanations, those being a lack of motivation playing for a poor team and an offense that did not play to Hedo's strengths.
One proposed trade is trading Carter for Foye/Hinrich/Thornton, but I don't think that is a good idea. This trade would add depth, but depth isn't the problem to begin with. As mentioned, it is a matter of finding that one guy who can be counted on to hit clutch shots in the waning moments of a game.
I don't think Joe Johnson, a free agent this summer, is really the answer. In a perfect world, Wade would push for a sign and trade and join Dwight for a possible dynasty, but that is a bit of a pipe dream, even for the most ingenious of GMs.
So, I don't envy Otis in his position. He has a huge problem to solve. He first has to determine whether or not he thinks the team as-is is capable of winning a championship. Relative to the rest of the Eastern Conference, it might be. It could be viewed that the Boston series was simply a mental meltdown, especially in light of the fact that the Magic were clearly the better team for games four and five.
I would tend to agree with TNT analyst and NBA legend Charles Barkley, who feels that the entirety of Orlando's destiny rides on the shoulders of Dwight Howard. His points per game took a slight dip from '08-'09 to '09-'10 (20.6 to 18.3), but he did improve his field goal percentage by four percent, so his efficiency was slightly better.
His post game did also look a little more refined. He showed an ability to hit hook shots coming across the lane with his right hand well, while his left hand hooks tended to be a bit too flat.
He lacks the great footwork necessary to be a dominant post player at this point, and it became painfully clear that Ewing was not going to be much of a help as a teacher, so Dwight enlisted the help of Hakeem Olajuwon this summer, whose footwork is among the greatest to ever play the game.
Orlando, despite failing to reach the Finals as they did in '08-'09, did not truly take any steps backwards by bringing in Carter. They moved laterally. The team was equally as good, but simply ran up against a Boston team that may have been making its swan call, as Garnett continues to decline, and Paul Pierce and Ray Allen age with him.
The bottom line is that with Dwight improving, Orlando could get better by simply making no moves at all and letting the current team continue to improve its chemistry and cohesion.
It's all up to Otis.









