Super Bowl 2022: Initial Vegas Odds Following Week 18

Joe Tansey@JTansey90Featured ColumnistJanuary 10, 2022

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers scrambles during the first half of an NFL football game against the Detroit Lions, Sunday, Jan. 9, 2022, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Lon Horwedel)
Lon Horwedel/Associated Press

The Green Bay Packers enter the NFL postseason in the same position they were a year ago. 

The Packers hold the top seed and home-field advantage in the NFC, and they own the lone first-round bye in their conference thanks to the expanded playoff format. 

Aaron Rodgers and Co. also come into the playoffs as the odds-on favorite to win the Super Bowl

Before the Packers can focus on that, though, they need to win two games and potentially avenge the loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers from last year's NFC Championship Game. 

Tom Brady and the Bucs carry the second-best odds of any NFC team to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy. The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills sit between the Packers and the Bucs. 

That is significant because neither the Chiefs nor Bills have home-field advantage in the AFC. The Tennessee Titans won that honor, but the oddsmakers believe they have less of a chance to win the title than their two biggest conference rivals. 


Super Bowl Odds

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Green Bay (+380; bet $100 to win $380)

Kansas City (+450)

Buffalo (+750)

Tampa Bay (+800)

Tennessee (+850)

Los Angeles Rams (+1000)

Dallas (+1200)

Cincinnati (+1600)

New England (+2000)

San Francisco (+2000)

Arizona (+2500)

Las Vegas (+4000)

Philadelphia (+6000)

Pittsburgh (+6000) 

Green Bay comes into the postseason with the likely Most Valuable Player and the most ideal situation to advance to the Super Bowl.

However, those beneficial factors did not help the Packers last season, as they fell to Brady and Co. in the NFC Championship Game. 

The Packers finished this year with five wins in their final six regular-season games. The lone loss came against the Detroit Lions on Sunday, when Jordan Love took over for Rodgers in the second half. 

Green Bay did not face off with the Bucs in the regular season, and that could be the NFC Championship Game matchup once again.

Brady and Tampa Bay landed on the opposite side of the NFC bracket as the Packers after the San Francisco 49ers beat the Los Angeles Rams. 

The Bucs will play their first two playoff games at home, where they were 7-1 for the year. The lone loss fcame against the New Orleans Saints when Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Leonard Fournette were all injured. 

Brady still has Evans and Rob Gronkowski at his disposal, and he had a few weeks to work some young wide receivers into the system. That should provide some comfort in a Buccaneers futures bet. 

Arizona, Dallas and the Rams all have the potential to make deep runs, but it is hard to bet against Rodgers or Brady at this juncture of the season. 

A Super Bowl futures bet on any other NFC team is dependent on whether you believe any of those teams can beat both the Bucs and Packers. 

The AFC picture is dependent on Derrick Henry's status for the divisional round. Tennessee has a week of practice to get him back to a solid level of fitness after a fractured foot. 

The prospect of the 28-year-old wreaking havoc on opposing defenses makes the Titans an intriguing futures bet as the fifth favorite on the board. 

Kansas City is the most trustworthy AFC option since Patrick Mahomes has played in the last two Super Bowls.

Buffalo is an intriguing prospect, but as the No. 3 seed, it might have to go through both the Chiefs and Titans just to reach the Feb. 13 showpiece. 

It is worth noting that five of the last six Super Bowl participants were either the No. 1 or No. 2 seed. The lone exception was the Buccaneers last season. 

That could play a role in deciding which teams you want to back before the postseason gets underway on Saturday. 


If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or call or text the TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789 (TN).

21+. NJ/PA/WV/IN/IA/CO/IL/TN only. In partnership with Meadows Racetrack & Casino. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.