
NBA Draft 2019: Odds and Mock Projections for 1st Round
NBA draft prospects aren't the only ones who could have a financially fortunate Thursday evening.
Gamblers also have a chance to make some coin during the Association's annual talent grab.
While the first three selections each have a prohibitive favoriteโZion Williamson is a -10000 lock at No. 1, per VegasInsiderโthe draft board opens considerably at No. 4. With oddsmakers laying -200 odds on the Anthony Davis-less New Orleans Pelicans moving the selection, the possibilities at that pick are almost endless.
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After laying out our latest mock first round, we'll take a closer look at three compelling NBA draft odds.
2019 NBA Mock Draft
1. New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson, PF/C, Duke
2. Memphis Grizzlies:ย Ja Morant, PG, Murray State
3. New York Knicks:ย RJ Barrett, SG/SF, Duke
4. New Orleans Pelicans (via Los Angeles Lakers):ย Jarrett Culver,ย SG, Texas Tech
5. Cleveland Cavaliers:ย Darius Garland, PG, Vanderbilt
6. Phoenix Suns:ย De'Andreย Hunter, SF/PF, Virginia
7. Chicago Bulls:ย Cobyย White, PG/SG, North Carolina
8. Atlanta Hawks:ย Jaxsonย Hayes, C, Texas
9.ย Washington Wizards:ย Cam Reddish,ย SG/SF, Duke
10. Atlanta Hawksย (via Dallas Mavericks):ย Kevin Porter Jr.,ย SG, USC
11. Minnesota Timberwolves:ย Sekouย Doumbouya, SF/PF, France
12. Charlotte Hornets:ย Ruiย Hachimura, PF, Gonzaga
13. Miami Heat:ย Nassirย Little, SF/PF, North Carolina
14.ย Boston Celtics (via Sacramento Kings):ย Brandon Clarke, PF/C, Gonzaga
15. Detroit Pistons:ย Romeoย Langford,ย SG, Indiana
16. Orlando Magic:ย Keldonย Johnson,ย SG/SF, Kentucky
17. Atlanta Hawks (via Brooklyn Nets):ย PJย Washington, PF/C, Kentucky
18. Indiana Pacers:ย Tylerย Herro,ย SG, Kentucky
19. San Antonio Spurs:ย Gogaย Bitadze, C, Georgia
20. Boston Celtics (via Los Angeles Clippers):ย Talen Horton-Tucker, SG/SF, Iowa State
21. Oklahoma City Thunder:ย Matisseย Thybulle, SF, Washington
22. Boston Celtics:ย Mfiondu Kabengele, PF/C, Florida State
23. Memphis Grizzlies (via Utah Jazz):ย Cameron Johnson, SF, North Carolina
24. Philadelphia 76ers:ย Bolย Bol, C, Oregon
25. Portland Trail Blazers:ย Luka Samanic, PF, Croatia
26. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Houston Rockets):ย Nickeilย Alexander-Walker,ย SG, Virginia Tech
27. Brooklyn Nets (via Denver Nuggets): Chuma Okeke, PF, Auburn
28. Golden State Warriors:ย Nicolasย Claxton, PF/C, Georgia
29. San Antonio Spurs (via Toronto Raptors):ย KZย Okpala, SF/PF, Stanford
30. Detroit Pistons (via Milwaukee Bucks): Ty Jerome, PG/SG, Virginia
Will the New Orleans Pelicans Trade the No. 4 Pick?
Yes -200
No +150
It's no surprise to see oddsmakers assessing another deal with the fourth pick as being more likely than not. The possibility was raised as soon as news of the Brow blockbuster broke, and there are reportedly no shortage of teams interested in the selection:
While our trade-free mock has Jarrett Culver landing in New Orleans at this spot, the do-it-all swingman is by no means the consensus choice as the draft's fourth-best prospect. In fact, that distinction more likely sits with our fifth overall pick, Darius Garland, an effortless shot-creator with the highly coveted ability of being able to pump in perimeter shots off the dribble.
The reason we don't have Garland going to the Big Easy is simple; between Lonzo Ball and Jrue Holiday, the Pelicans appear set in the backcourt. That's also the reason New Orleans likely moves out of this spot, most likely moving down a few picks while adding either future draft assets or perhaps an established player.
The trickier task is figuring out which team will land the pick. Luckily, that's not what wagerers need to deduce to win this bet.
Which Player Will Be Drafted 4th Overall?
Jarrett Culver +110
De'Andre Hunter +120
Darius Garland +180
RJ Barrett +700
Coby White +2500
Field +3300
No disrespect to Culver or De'Andre Hunterโwho went head-to-head in the national title game, you may recallโbut these odds feel off. If you think, like we do, that New Orleans is moving this pick, then Garland is the most logical choice.
ESPN's Jonathan Givony says the Timberwolves, Celtics and Bulls are all considering a climb up to No. 4 "with Garland in mind."
Had New Orleans already moved this selection, Garland might be the runaway favorite. Since it hasn't, that adds some extra wrinkles. Both Culver and Hunter, a potential three-and-D ace, are much more natural fits for the Pelicans than the Vanderbilt point guard would be.
But that's an awful lot of trade smoke for this not to catch fire. By the way, don't waste your hard-earned cash on Barrett here. Although the Knicks worked out Garland on Wednesday, they are "locked on" the Duke star at No. 3, per ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski.
When Will Bol Bol Be Drafted?
Over 19.5 (-125)
Under 19.5 (-115)
This. Is. Fascinating. Much like the prospect himself.
On one hand, you think how could a 7'2" center with handles and a trusty three-point stroke (13-of-25 over nine games at Oregon) ever last beyond 19 picks? On the other, you wonder how a 7-footer coming off a foot fracture and with a frail frame could go inside the top 20.
If it wasn't a cop-out, we'd dub this too close to call. Both Bleacher Report's Jonathan Wasserman and ESPN's Jonathan Giovnyย have Bol Bol slotted 20th overall to the Celtics. He's 24th on our mock, but we could easily see him going 10 spots higher.
The red flags are real, and they're potentially problematic. But the possible reward is immense. Despite what our mock says, we might take the under, as it's easy to imagine at least one executive being blinded by Bol's upside.





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