NBA Draft Lottery 2018: Projected Order and Odds for Every Team Involved

Alec Nathan@@AlecBNathanFeatured ColumnistApril 12, 2018

NBA deputy commissioner Mark Tatum announces the results for the Sacramento Kings at the NBA basketball draft lottery, Tuesday, May 16, 2017, in New York. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
Frank Franklin II/Associated Press

The 2017-18 NBA regular season is officially a thing of the past.

And while 16 teams have turned their attention toward the Larry O'Brien Championship Trophy, 14 squads will now focus on May's draft lottery as they eye franchise-changing talents who could propel them back into playoff contention.

The 2018 NBA draft lottery will take place May 15 in Chicago, with the draft scheduled for June 21 at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

Here's a look at the teams that will comprise the lottery, as well as a rundown of picks that will be or are likely to be conveyed once the first-round order is set.


Projected Draft Order and Lottery Odds

  • 1. Phoenix Suns (21-61); 25.0 percent No. 1 pick; 64.2 percent top-three pick
  • 2. Memphis Grizzlies (22-60); 19.9 percent; 55.8 percent
  • 3. Dallas Mavericks (24-58); 13.8 percent; 42.6 percent
  • 3. Atlanta Hawks (24-58); 13.7 percent; 42.3 percent
  • 5. Orlando Magic (25-57); 8.8 percent; 29.1 percent
  • 6. Chicago Bulls (27-55); 5.3 percent; 18.3 percent
  • 6. Sacramento Kings (27-55); 5.3 percent; 18.3 percent
  • 8. Cleveland Cavaliers, via Brooklyn Nets (28-54); 2.8 percent; 9.9 percent
  • 9. New York Knicks (29-53); 1.7 percent; 6.1 percent
  • 10. Los Angeles Lakers (35-47); 1.1 percent; 4.0 percent
  • 11. Charlotte Hornets (36-46); 0.8 percent; 2.9 percent
  • 12. Detroit Pistons (39-43); 0.7 percent; 2.5 percent
  • 13. Los Angeles Clippers (42-40); 0.6 percent; 2.2 percent
  • 14. Denver Nuggets (46-36); 0.5 percent; 1.8 percent

Note: If neither the Kings or Bulls move into the top three, a tiebreak drawing will occur to determine who selects at No. 6 and No. 7.

Lottery odds via Tankathon.com.


Picks on the Move

The majority of the teams listed above own their first-round picks outright. However, there are a few exceptions stemming from prior trades.

Most notably, the Brooklyn Nets' lottery pick is headed to the Cleveland Cavaliers through a series of moves. That Nets initially shipped that unprotected selection to the Boston Celtics in July 2013 in the trade that brought Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett to Brooklyn.

However, the Celtics sent it to Cleveland to acquire Kyrie Irving last summer.

As a result, the Cavaliers will be sitting pretty in the lottery. They have a 2.8 percent chance of landing the No. 1 overall pick or a 9.9 percent chance of nabbing a top-three selection, which could help entice impending free agent LeBron James to stay with the franchise.

Elsewhere, the Los Angeles Lakers will be handing their lottery pick over either to the Celtics or the Philadelphia 76ers.

The Sixers will receive the Lakers' pick if it lands at No. 1 or sixth or lower. The only way it would go to the Celtics is if it falls between Nos. 2-5.

Should the Sixers hold on to the pick, as the odds indicate they will, the Celtics would receive whichever selection is more favorable out of the Sixers' 2019 first-round pick and the Sacramento Kings' 2019 first-round pick (via Philadelphia), which is top-one protected.

Finally, the Detroit Pistons are almost certain to forfeit their first-round pick based on the odds.

Following the Blake Griffin blockbuster, the Pistons owe the Clippers their 2018 first-round pick if it falls outside the top four. If the odds prove to be in Detroit's favor, the same would apply in 2019.


Draft-pick information courtesy of RealGM.


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