
Sweet 16 2017: Full Updated Bracket and Odds for NCAA Tournament
The NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament turned from chalky to chaotic in the span of a few days.
Only one team in the No. 12 through No. 16 seed range won a first-round game (No. 12 seed Middle Tennessee, which was actually favored over No. 5 seed Minnesota).
However, one No. 1 seed (defending champion Villanova), two No. 2 seeds (Louisville and Duke) and a No. 3 seed (Florida State) all went home before the Sweet 16.
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Will the favorites dominate the rest of the tournament, or will the underdogs shine once again this week?
If it's the latter, take a look at the three teams discussed below, as each of them has a decent chance to advance to the Final Four.
First, here's a look at the March Madness bracket and the latest championship odds.
Bracket
Championship Odds
| Team | Odds |
| Kansas | +475 |
| UNC | +500 |
| Arizona | +650 |
| Gonzaga | +650 |
| UCLA | +900 |
| Kentucky | +1000 |
| Florida | +1200 |
| Baylor | +1600 |
| Michigan | +1600 |
| West Virginia | +1800 |
| Oregon | +1800 |
| Wisconsin | +1800 |
| Purdue | +2000 |
| Butler | +4000 |
| South Carolina | +5000 |
| Xavier | +7500 |
Odds via OddsShark as of Monday.
Michigan
The Wolverines are 12-2 in their last 14 games, with their lone losses occurring in overtime (an 83-78 defeat at Minnesota) and on a buzzer-beating Hail Mary pass and layup at Northwestern.
Michigan has beaten Purdue (twice), Wisconsin (twice), Oklahoma State, Louisville, Michigan State and Minnesota in that aforementioned span. All those teams made the tournament (Michigan knocked out Oklahoma State and Louisville), and Purdue and Wisconsin are still in it.
Therefore, it's not like Michigan benefitted from an easy schedule to win 12 of its last 14, as it has played and beaten tough competition. OddsShark even has Michigan as a one-point favorite over No. 3 seed Oregon on Friday.
The Wolverines have also done an excellent job taking care of the basketball lately, as Brendan F. Quinn of MLive Media Group noted:
Senior point guard Derrick Walton Jr. is leading Michigan's successful late-season run. In the three games prior to Michigan's win over Louisville, Walton averaged 25.7 points, 9.0 assists and 5.3 rebounds per contest.
Walton struggled from the field against the Cardinals on Sunday, shooting 3-of-13, but he also delivered the biggest shot of the game, putting Michigan up 69-65 with 29.4 seconds remaining:
If Walton continues to play this well, a Final Four appearance is a definite possibility.
Wisconsin
The Badgers' three-headed monster of senior guard Bronson Koenig, senior forward Nigel Hayes and sophomore forward Ethan Happ has a solid chance to lead Wisconsin back to the Final Four.
Koenig is shooting lights-out right now, making 14 of his last 29 three-point attempts. Hayes led Wisconsin to a 65-62 victory over Villanova with his great post play, scoring 19 points (including the game-winning layup) and grabbing eight boards. Happ found himself in foul trouble twice in this tournament, but he's still averaging 11.5 points, 8.0 rebounds and 2.5 blocks in just 25 minutes per game.
Happ, in particular, is the X-factor for Wisconsin's success. Matt Giles of FiveThirtyEight wrote an article on Happ on March 16, and this passage stood out: "Thanks to a growth spurt in high school that boosted him from a guard to a big, Happ is a multidimensional player who leads Wisconsin in offensive (6.3) and defensive (9.5) box plus/minus, assist rate (22.9), steal rate (4.0) and block rate (4.5). He also tops all of DI in box plus/minus (15.8)."
The 6'10", 232-pound Happ is hard for any team to stop, and when he and Hayes (6'8" and 240 pounds) are on the court together, it presents a big challenge for most teams down low given their size and strength.
If Happ stays on the court, Koenig continues his hot three-point shooting and Hayes rides the momentum from his fantastic performance against Villanova, it's certainly conceivable that Wisconsin will be the first No. 8 seed to make the Final Four since Kentucky in 2014.
West Virginia
"Press Virginia" has played excellent defense this season, leading Division I in steals with 10.2 per game. Its press D has notably bothered many teams this season, and junior point guard Jevon Carter is the leader of that effort, as he averages 2.53 steals per contest.
When Carter's shot is falling, he's one of the best college basketball players in the nation. He showed why when he scored 24 points on 8-of-15 shooting (4-of-5 from three-point range) against Notre Dame on Saturday in an 83-71 win.
As good as Carter was on offense, his defensive efforts (combined with those of his teammates) were just as impressive.
Notre Dame only shot 40.7 percent from the field. If you take away Fighting Irish junior forward Bonzie Colson's big game (24 points on 10-of-15 shooting), the rest of the team only managed 47 points on 12-of-39 shooting (30.7 percent).
Brian McCracken of Scout wrote more about the Mountaineer defensive effort:
"It's safe to say that the Mountaineers were successful in bothering (Notre Dame point guard Matt Farrell) and his teammates, as they routinely harassed the Irish and rarely allowed them to get in any kind of rhythm offensively. Notre Dame was averaging slightly under 10 turnovers per game (ranking second in the country) but today it had already committed 10 of its 14 turnovers by halftime, something Carter credited to his teammates' tenacity for the better part of the afternoon.
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West Virginia is now ranked fifth in adjusted defensive efficiency, per kenpom.com. If the Mountaineers continue to hit their shots (they are shooting 47.5 percent from the field and 52 percent from three-point range in the NCAA tournament), then a championship run certainly isn't out of the question.



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