Summer Olympics 2016: Predictions for Day 11 Medal Events
Tuesday is the final day of gymnastics at the 2016 Rio Olympic Games, which means it's your last chance to see Simone Biles and Aly Raisman.
It's also the last day of track cycling, marathon swimming and weightlifting.
But it's still early in the Olympics for badminton, canoe sprint and synchronized swimming, which offer up their first medals of the Games. And we still haven't even seen triathlon, modern pentathlon and rhythmic gymnastics.
In the morning, see the best athlete you might not have heard of: triple jumper Christian Taylor. The last medal event of the day is one of the most competitive: the men's 110-meter hurdles.
Aside from Biles, Raisman and Taylor, U.S. athletes will be underdogs in most events.
Swimming
1 of 13Men's 10 Kilometers
8 a.m. ET
The USA's Jordan Wilimovsky just missed a medal in the pool, taking fourth in the 1,500-meter freestyle. Out in the open water, he's the defending world champion.
Greece's Spyridon Gianniotis is 36, but he'll be motivated after missing the podium in London by five seconds. He also took the 2011 and 2013 World Championships and was third in 2015. See his massive comeback in the 2013 race in the video above (h/t SwimSwam, which has more on his distinguished career).
Gold: Jordan Wilimovsky, United States
Silver: Spyridon Gianniotis, Greece
Bronze: Simone Ruffini, Italy
Canoe Sprint
2 of 13
Men’s C-1 1,000 Meters
8:08 a.m.
Germany's Sebastian Brendel is the reigning Olympic and world (2014 and 2015) champion, and he was fastest in the heats. Brazilian Isaquias Queiroz dos Santos won his heat and has some world titles at other distances. The Czech Republic's Martin Fuksa was the runner-up the last two years. Also watch Moldova's Serghei Tarnovschi, third in last year's World Championships, who won his heat with ease.
Gold: Sebastian Brendel, Germany
Silver: Martin Fuksa, Czech Republic
Bronze: Isaquias Quieroz dos Santos, Brazil
Women’s K-2 500 Meters
8:23 a.m.
Defending champions Franziska Weber and Tina Dietze of Germany dominated their heat, winning by more than two seconds, to advance straight to the final. Hungary's Gabriella Szabo and Danuta Kozak actually went faster to win the other heat, holding off Poland's Karolina Naja and Beata Mikolajczyk. The Polish pair breezed through the semifinal.
Szabo and Kozak won the 2015 World Championships, while the Polish duo took bronze in the 2012 Games and 2013 and 2014 World Championships.
Gold: Franziska Weber/Tina Dietze, Germany
Silver: Gabriella Szabo/Danuta Kozak, Hungary
Bronze: Karolina Naja/Beata Mikolajczyk, Poland
Women’s K-1 200 Meters
8:47 a.m.
Don't blink. This race will be over in 40 seconds. And New Zealand's Lisa Carrington will probably win again. She won Olympic gold in 2012 and followed up with three straight World Championships. She was fastest in the semifinals in Rio.
Azerbaijan's Inna Osypenko-Radomska, the 2012 silver medalist, was the only other semifinalist to break 40 seconds. Poland's Marta Walczykiewicz, fifth in London and the runner-up in six of the last seven World Championships, won her semifinal.
Maggie Hogan, the only American in any canoe sprint event, did not advance.
Gold: Lisa Carrington, New Zealand
Silver: Inna Osypenko-Radomska, Azerbaijan
Bronze: Marta Walczykiewicz, Poland
Men’s K-1 1,000 Meters
9:12 a.m.
The last three world champions—Germany's Max Hoff, the Czech Republic's Josef Dostal and Denmark's Rene Holten Poulsen—are in the final. Hoff took bronze in 2012, while Holten Poulsen just missed out in fourth.
But Holten Poulsen and Dostal both finished fourth in their semifinals, barely making the final. Australia's Murray Stewart had the fastest time between the two semis; Russia's Roman Anoshkin won the other ahead of Hoff.
Gold: Max Hoff, Germany
Silver: Murray Stewart, Australia
Bronze: Rene Holten Poulsen, Denmark
Track and Field (Morning Session)
3 of 13
Men's Triple Jump
8:50 a.m.
The USA has quietly dominated this event in recent years. Christian Taylor and Will Claye took gold and silver in London, and they have the best jumps of 2016 so far. They were two of the only five jumpers to sail past the automatic qualifying mark of 16.95 meters on Monday.
China's Bin Dong was the second-best qualifier and has jumped 17.24 this year, but Taylor has gone 17.78 and Claye has covered 17.65.
Gold: Christian Taylor, United States
Silver: Will Claye, United States
Bronze: Bin Dong, China
Women's Discus
10:20 a.m.
Defending champion Sandra Perkovic (Croatia) made everyone nervous in qualifying, fouling on her first two attempts before sending the discus flying past the automatic qualifier mark. World champion Denia Caballero (Cuba) also had no legal throw until the end but made it easily. Fellow Cuban Yaime Perez cleared the mark with ease on her first throw.
Germany also will have two throwers in the final. Nadine Muller, fourth in London 2012 and third in last year's World Championships, beat the automatic qualifier. Julia Fischer didn't hit the automatic mark but still made the final.
No American made it.
Gold: Sandra Perkovic, Croatia
Silver: Denia Caballero, Cuba
Bronze: Nadine Muller, Germany
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Sailing
4 of 13
Two sailing finals were postponed Monday, giving us four Tuesday.
Women's Laser Radial (Dinghy)
12:05 p.m.
Dutch favorite Marit Bouwmeester, the 2012 silver medalist and 2014 world champion, leads Denmark's Anne-Marie Rindom, the 2015 world champion. Just behind them is Ireland's Annalise Murphy. Murphy's quest is big news in Ireland, where RTE has computed her medal permutations.
The USA's Paige Railey is in the medal race but has no chance of reaching the podium. Neither does reigning world champion Alison Young of Great Britain.
Gold: Marit Bouwmeester, Netherlands
Silver: Annalise Murphy, Ireland
Bronze: Anne-Marie Rindom, Denmark
Men's Laser (Dinghy)
12:50 p.m.
We have substantial gaps in the standings between Croatia's Tonci Stipanovic, Australia's Tom Burton and New Zealand's Sam Meech.
Among the pack set to take advantage if Meech falters are two-time defending world champion Nick Thompson (Great Britain) and sentimental favorite Robert Scheidt (Brazil), who won this event in 1996 and 2004 and is still going strong at age 43.
Gold: Tonci Stipanovic, Croatia
Silver: Tom Burton, Australia
Bronze: Sam Meech, New Zealand
Men's Finn (Larger Dinghy)
1:35 p.m.
Even with points doubled in the "medal race" (the last one), Great Britain's Giles Scott cannot be caught. The three-time defending world champion, who has taken over this seat from the legendary Ben Ainslie, will win gold.
But the big news for U.S. fans is that the sailing drought might be over. U.S. sailors took no medals in London and none so far in Rio. But Caleb Paine sits in fourth place. He'll need to finish a couple of places ahead of Croatia's Ivan Kljakovic Gaspic and hold off Sweden's Max Salminen to take bronze.
Gold: Giles Scott, Great Britain
Silver: Vasilij Zbogar, Slovenia
Bronze: Ivan Kljakovic Gaspic, Croatia
Nacra (Multihull, Mixed)
2:20 p.m.
Four boats (Argentina, Italy, Austria, Australia) are bunched up for gold. New Zealand and Switzerland aren't far behind. In seventh place and not mathematically eliminated is the four-time defending world champion French boat, with Billy Besson and Marie Riou.
The USA's Bora Gulari and Louisa Chafee made the medal race, but they're out of contention.
Gold: Santiago Lange/Cecilia Carranza Saroli, Argentina
Silver: Jason Waterhouse/Lisa Darmanin, Australia
Bronze: Vittorio Bissaro/Silvia Sicouri, Italy
Synchronized Swimming
5 of 13
Duet
1 p.m.
Coming into this competition, the favorites were Russia and China, with Japan and Ukraine likely to duel for bronze.
Through two rounds, the leaders are Russia and China, with Japan and Ukraine dueling for bronze.
The USA's Anita Alvarez and Mariya Koroleva stand ninth, good enough to qualify for the 12-team final round.
Gold: Natalia Ishchenko/Svetlana Romashina, Russia
Silver: Huang Xuechen/Sun Wenyan, China
Bronze: Inui Yukiko/Risako Mitsui, Japan
Gymnastics
6 of 13
Men's Parallel Bars
1 p.m.
The standings from qualifying: Oleg Verniaiev (Ukraine) with an astounding 16.166, David Belyavskiy (Russia), Deng Shudi (China), Manrique Larduet (Cuba), You Hao (China), Danell Leyva (USA), Ryohei Kato (Japan), Andrei Vasile Muntean (Romania).
Gold: Oleg Verniaiev, Ukraine
Silver: Deng Shudi, China
Bronze: You Hao, China
Women's Floor Exercise
1:47 p.m.
The standings from qualifying: Simone Biles, Aly Raisman, Vanessa Ferrari (Italy), Giulia Steingruber (Switzerland), Wang Yan (China), Amy Tinkler (Great Britain), Mai Murakami (Japan), Erika Fasana (Italy). If not for the "two athletes per country" rule, you'd see at least one more American. Laurie Hernandez was fourth; Gabby Douglas was ninth (ahead of Fasana).
The gap between third and eighth wasn't big: 14.866 to 14.333. Raisman scored 15.275. Biles? 15.733. This isn't expected to be close.
Gold: Simone Biles, United States
Silver: Aly Raisman, United States
Bronze: Giulia Steingruber, Switzerland
Men's Horizontal Bar
2:34 p.m.
Qualifying: Fabian Hambuechen (Germany), Nile Wilson (Great Britain), Epke Zonderland (Netherlands), Danell Leyva (USA), Francisco Barreto Junior (Brazil), Sam Mikulak (USA), Oleg Verniaiev (Ukraine), Manrique Larduet (Cuba).
Gold: Nile Wilson, Great Britain
Silver: Epke Zonderland, Netherlands
Bronze: Danell Leyva, United States
Wrestling
7 of 13
Men's 66-Kilogram Greco-Roman
The morning session begins at 9 a.m., getting to the quarterfinals around 9:56 and semifinals at 10:28. They'll return at 3 p.m. for the repechage, which includes the wrestlers who lost to the eventual finalists, the bronze-medal match at 4 and gold at 4:30.
Germany's Frank Staebler is the defending world champion, beating South Korea's Ryu Han-su. Serbia's Davor Stefanek, the 2014 world champion, shared bronze last year with Russia's Artem Surkov, who isn't here.
Staebler and Stefanek are set to collide in the quarterfinals. Azerbaijan's Rasul Chunayev has to get through the qualification round.
Gold: Frank Staebler, Germany
Silver: Ryu Han-su, South Korea
Bronze: Davor Stefanek, Serbia
Bronze: Omid Norouzi, Iran
Men's 98-Kilogram Greco-Roman
The schedule is pretty much the same as the 66 kilogram except the medals will be on the line at 5 p.m.
Armenia's Artur Aleksanyan has the last two world titles. Iran's Ghasem Rezaei has been on the last two podiums.
Gold: Artur Aleksanyan, Armenia
Silver: Ghasem Rezaei, Iran
Bronze: Islam Magomedov, Russia
Bronze: Alin Alexuc-Ciurariu, Romania
Cycling
8 of 13
Women's Omnium
Time trial at 9:57 a.m.; flying lap at 3:10 p.m.; points race at 4:05 p.m.
The Laura Trott-Sarah Hammer rivalry is enduring for one more year, but we have an interloper.
Trott is a British star who beat the USA's Hammer by one point in London to take gold in 2012. She also took team pursuit gold that year and has already won that one again this year, beating Hammer and the USA.
In 2013 and 2014, Hammer came back to beat Trott at the World Championships. In 2015, Australia's Annette Edmondson broke through after three straight third-place finishes to take the world title, with Trott second and Hammer well back.
This year, Trott claimed the world title, with France's Laurie Berthon second and Hammer third.
At the halfway point of the Rio omnium, Trott has a convincing lead, taking second in the scratch race and then winning the individual pursuit and elimination race. Hammer was fourth, second and third, putting her within range. But Belgian road and track start Jolien D'hoore has pushed into second place, just ahead of Hammer.
Denmark's Amalie Dideriksen is well back in fourth. Edmondson is seventh; Berthon is ninth.
Gold: Laura Trott, Great Britain
Silver: Sarah Hammer, United States
Bronze: Jolien D'hoore, Belgium
Women's Sprint
4:44 p.m.
Have we mentioned that Great Britain really likes events in which athletes sit? Cycling and rowing are big.
This event was long defined by the rivalry between Great Britain's Victoria Pendleton and Australia's Anna Meares. Pendleton switched to horse racing, telling Owen Gibson of the Guardian she "couldn't stay working with those people" at British Cycling. Meares is still competing, taking bronze in the keirin, but she qualified ninth and then failed to make the quarterfinals.
But it's still a big British event. Becky James set the Olympic record in qualifying, with Katy Marchant second. They're poised to face each other in the semifinals, though James has to get past Chinese favorite and current world champion Zhong Tianshi first.
The other half of the draw breaks nicely for Germany's Kristina Vogel, who already has bronze in the team sprint and has a gaggle of world championship medals.
Gold: Becky James, Great Britain
Silver: Kristina Vogel, Germany
Bronze: Katy Marchant, Great Britain
Men's Keirin
First round at 9:18 a.m.; repechage at 10:25 a.m; second round at 3:46 p.m.; final at 5:20 p.m.
If you like seeing cyclists follow a motorcycle around the track for a few laps before breaking into a sprint, this is the event for you.
Germany's Joachim Eilers is the world champion. France's Francois Pervis won the two titles before that. Great Britain's Jason Kenny, who beat teammate Callum Skinner in the sprint final, won it in 2013.
The other guys to watch are New Zealand's Ed Dawkins, who has finished second in the last two World Championships, and Germany's Maximilian Levy, who took silver in 2012 and fourth in the 2016 World Championships. And one non-European pick: Malaysia's Azizulhasni Awang, third in the 2016 World Championships.
Gold: Joachim Eilers, Germany
Silver: Jason Kenny, Great Britain
Bronze: Francois Pervis, France
Diving
9 of 13
Men's 3-Meter Springboard
Semifinal at 9 a.m.; final at 5 p.m.
The defending champion in this event is not Chinese. I repeat: He is not Chinese. He is Russian Ilya Zakharov. And it was no fluke—he was second in last year's World Championships to China's He Chao.
But He Chao won't medal. In fact, he won't finish in the top 18, having been eliminated in the first round. Zakharov barely made it through.
Fellow Russian Evgeny Kuznetsov (not the Washington Capitals forward) is also a contender, and he was fourth in the prelims. But he was a considerable distance behind the top three. Surprising American Kristian Ipsen was third, Mexican Rommel Pacheco was second, and first place went to Cao Yuan of China.
If you want another non-Chinese contender, consider Great Britain's Jack Laugher (third in 2014 World Cup and 2015 world championship).
Gold: Cao Yuan, China
Silver: Rommel Pacheco, Mexico
Bronze: Evgeny Kuznetsov, Russia
Weightlifting
10 of 13
Men's 105 Kilogram
6 p.m. (Group B, with the lifters who aren't expected to contend, lifts at 2:30 p.m.)
They save the biggest for last. Lasha Talakhadze of Georgia weighed in at 345.5 pounds before winning the European Championships with a snatch of 212 kilograms (467.38 pounds) and a clean and jerk of 251 kilograms (553.36 pounds). That's a staggering total of 463 kilograms, the best performance of the last two years. He also had the best performance last year (454 kg) in winning the World Championships in Houston.
Behdad Salimikordasiabi of Iran is the defending champion, with a total of 455 kilograms in 2012, but he's returning from knee surgery and has not yet been back at that level. Iran has won this event three of the last four times.
Armenia's Gor Minasyan was second in the European Championships at 442 kilograms.
Those three have declared an entry weight (basically, the combined snatch/clean and jerk total of the first weights they intend to attempt) of 450 kilograms. So have Hojamuhammet Toychyyev (Turkmenistan), Ruben Aleksanyan (Armenia) and Mart Seim (Estonia).
That's 26 kilograms higher than Seim completed at the European Championships in April, and it's 12 kilograms more than the 438 kilograms Seim lifted to edge Minasyan (437) for second place at last year's World Championships. In the same competition, Aleksanyan lifted 433; Toychyyev lifted 428.
Technically, they can lower their entry totals by 20 kilograms after they weigh in. (And the weigh-in is important because if there's a tie, the man who weighs less wins.) But are some of these guys attempting more than they can lift? Tune in and see.
Gold: Lasha Talakhadze, Georgia
Silver: Gor Minasyan, Armenia
Bronze: Mart Seim, Estonia
Boxing
11 of 13
Men's Lightweight
Brazil's Robson Conceicao faces France's Sofiane Oumiha for gold at 6:15 p.m. The crowd might have a favorite.
Each fighter had a technical knockout earlier in the competition, which is rare in amateur boxing. Conceicao was on the podium in the last two World Championships, and he upset two-time defending world champion Lazaro Alvarez in the semifinals.
Gold: Robson Conceicao, Brazil
Silver: Sofiane Oumiha, France
Bronze: Lazaro Alvarez, Cuba
Bronze: Otgondalai Dorjnyambuu, Mongolia
Table Tennis
12 of 13
Women's Team
Gold-medal match is at 6:30 p.m. Bronze is much earlier (10 a.m.).
Germany has made it through the rounds with a closer result each time: 3-0 over the United States, 3-1 over Hong Kong, 3-2 over Japan. Now they'll face...China? Good luck with that.
China breezed through its first two rounds with three three-set sweeps, with 11-8 the closest score in any of them. Singapore finally took one set off China's Ding Ning, but that may have just made Ding mad. She won the last set 11-2.
Japan takes on Singapore for bronze.
Gold: China
Silver: Germany
Bronze: Japan
Track and Field (Evening Session)
13 of 13
Men's High Jump
7:30 p.m.
We have a diverse group of 15 finalists: two from Ukraine, two from Cyprus and two from the Bahamas. Syria and Puerto Rico are also represented.
But it will likely boil down to the age-old rivalry between the USA and Canada. And Britain. And Qatar. And Ukraine.
We actually have four returning medalists in this final, thanks to a three-way tie for bronze in 2012. The USA's Erik Kynard took silver, followed by Qatar's Mutaz Essa Barshim, Canada's Derek Drouin and Great Britain's Robert Grabarz. Drouin is also the reigning world champion, dethroning Ukraine's Bohdan Bondarenko.
Gold: Mutaz Essa Barshim, Qatar
Silver: Bohdan Bondarenko, Ukraine
Bronze: Derek Drouin, Canada
Women's 1,500 Meters
9:30 p.m.
When you see names like Dibaba and Kipyegon, you can usually assume they're among the favorites. But the U.S. duo of Jennifer Simpson and Shannon Rowbury has the experience and speed needed to compete.
Genzebe Dibaba (Ethiopia) and Faith Chepngetich Kipyegon (Kenya) were first and second in last year's World Championships, with the Netherlands' Sifan Hassan third. Simpson was the 2011 world champion and second in 2013. Rowbury was fifth in the 2012 Olympics. Kipyegon is the fastest in the world this year, followed by Great Britain's Laura Muir.
Gold: Genzebe Dibaba, Ethiopia
Silver: Faith Chepngetich Kipyegon, Kenya
Bronze: Dawit Seyaum, Ethiopia
Men's 110-Meter Hurdles
Semifinals at 7:40 p.m.; final at 9:45 p.m.
The big names in the sport didn't make it to Rio. The U.S. trials knocked out 2012 Olympic champion and world-record holder Aries Merritt, 2012 silver medalist Jason Richardson and 2013 world champion David Oliver. Jamaica's Hansle Parchment is injured, and 2015 world champion Sergey Shubenkov is part of the banned Russian team.
That leaves a wide-open, deep field in this unforgiving event. Jamaica's Omar McLeod is the only runner to break 13 seconds this year, with Oregon wide receiver Devon Allen and Spain's Orlando Ortega close behind.
Gold: Omar McLeod, Jamaica
Silver: Devon Allen, United States
Bronze: Orlando Ortega, Spain
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