NFL Mock Draft 2016: Complete 1st-Round Projections and Latest Buzz
With the NFL draft less than five weeks away, there has been no shortage of buzz surrounding the top players in the 2016 class.
The heaviest interest resides in the fate of the draft's top two quarterbacks: California Golden Bears' Jared Goff and North Dakota State Bisons' Carson Wentz. Nearly all major mock drafts have the Cleveland Browns and San Francisco 49ers each drafting one of them.
But in the wake of the Browns' signing of Robert Griffin III, that could all change. Will Cleveland still be in the quarterback hunt with the No. 2 overall pick? Could Denver Broncos general manager John Elway engineer a shocking trade for the Broncos to move up and draft their new signal-caller?
This mock draft takes into account mock drafts from top analysts, which have been compiled by SB Nation and can be seen here. The most popular selection for each team will be noted on each slide, noted as the "analyst favorite" selection.
1. Tennessee Titans: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
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Analyst favorite: Laremy Tunsil (85.1 percent)
Ole Miss Rebels tackle Laremy Tunsil may seem like the most logical selection for the Tennessee Titans, but the debate between selecting him or Florida State Seminoles safety Jalen Ramsey has become a heated one.
TitansOnline.com reported that Titans head coach Mike Mularkey has raved over Ramsey's elite versatility and intelligence, while ESPN's Adam Schefter noted (h/t FoxSports.com) that general manager Jon Robinson has backtracked from his previous "king's ransom" comments regarding the team's desired compensation for dealing the No. 1 pick.
In the end, Tunsil's appeal as a potential franchise left tackle is simply too much for Tennessee to pass up. Regardless of whether he starts at left or right tackle next season opposite 2014 first-round pick Taylor Lewan, quarterback Marcus Mariota will have some excellent outside protection.
2. Cleveland Browns: Jared Goff, QB, California
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Analyst favorite: Carson Wentz (63.2 percent)
Even after signing Griffin III, the Browns will still draft a young quarterback. It just won't be the most popular analyst choice.
Cleveland head coach Hue Jackson attended California's pro day last Friday. Per Cleveland.com's Mary Kay Cabot, he gushed over Goff's arm and toughness, and especially his athleticism. Jackson also stated that even if the team were to bring in a veteran quarterback—this was before the Griffin signing—it would still draft a quarterback to create some offseason competition.
Goff is more experienced than Wentz, and Jackson's ties to Cal—he was the offensive coordinator there in 1996—cements this selection. The Browns will have a fantastic quarterback battle on their hands this offseason.
3. San Diego Chargers: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
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Analyst favorite: Jalen Ramsey (46 percent)
If Ramsey falls right into the San Diego Chargers' lap at No. 3, they will be ecstatic. At this point, it sure looks like he could.
Ramsey has become a strong favorite to be drafted by the Chargers, including in ESPN's Todd McShay's latest mock draft. Not a bad spot to snag arguably the best prospect in the draft.
After the departure of three-time Pro Bowler Eric Weddle, the Chargers can put together a strong safety tandem with Ramsey plugged in at free safety alongside the newly re-signed Jahleel Addae. It'll be interesting to see if the Chargers would try him out at cornerback as well, even with Brandon Flowers and Jason Verrett in the fold.
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4. Dallas Cowboys: Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
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Analyst favorite: Joey Bosa (47.1 percent)
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end Joey Bosa may believe he's the top player in the draft, but waiting until pick No. 4 to become a Dallas Cowboy may be the best scenario for him.
Provided they're both available, Dallas will most likely choose between Bosa and UCLA Bruins linebacker Myles Jack. Both would be great selections, but Bosa would thrive more in defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli's 4-3 defensive front.
Saad Yousuf of the Shreveport Times broke down Bosa's potential fit with Dallas. Though he noted the "boom-or-bust" potential of highly drafted defensive ends, Yousuf concluded that Bosa looks like a cornerstone player, and that he shouldn't disappoint with the Cowboys.
Dallas has too many question marks at defensive end—particularly concerning 2015 second-round pick Randy Gregory and his off-field issues. Putting Bosa on a defensive line with third-year riser DeMarcus Lawrence and veterans Tyrone Crawford and Cedric Thornton has to excite Cowboys fans.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
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Analyst favorite: Myles Jack (47.1 percent)
The possibility of Jack joining an increasingly talented Jacksonville Jaguars front seven has grown over the past few weeks, as experts start to fall in love with his upside under the tutelage of new defensive coordinator Todd Wash.
NFL.com's six-person mock draft panel unanimously projects Jack to land in Jacksonville, and NFL.com's Charley Casserly confidently labeled Jack a Pro Bowler with the Jaguars.
His incredible athleticism creates several opportunities for him at various linebacker positions, and placing him with speedster Telvin Smith and veteran Paul Posluszny would give Jacksonville one of the most promising linebacker corps in the league.
6. Baltimore Ravens: DeForest Buckner, DE, Oregon
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Analyst favorite: Ronnie Stanley (33.3 percent)
While Notre Dame Fighting Irish offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley would provide a nice protection upgrade for quarterback Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens general manager Ozzie Newsome should end up going with Oregon Ducks defensive end DeForest Buckner, perhaps the best pure pass-rusher in the draft.
CBSSports.com lists Buckner as its No. 6 overall prospect—Stanley is No. 9—and some mock drafts even have him over Bosa as the first defensive end selected. Overall, he's the second-most favored Ravens pick (25.6 percent).
Henry Buggy of HNGN.com believes that Baltimore shouldn't pass up on Buckner, and it's easy to see why. The Ravens have some major questions on defense, including the aging pass-rushing duo of Terrell Suggs—who is coming off a season-ending Achilles injury—and Elvis Dumervil.
Adding the massive 6'7" Buckner would infuse some fear back into the once-great Ravens defense and perhaps begin the team's new venture towards another deep playoff run.
7: San Francisco 49ers: Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
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Analyst favorite: Jared Goff (56.3 percent)
With Goff off the board, a close race ensues between Stanley and Wentz. But largely due to the murkiness of Colin Kaepernick's future with the 49ers, Wentz is the selection here.
The fact that Wentz comes from an FCS school is both good and bad. While the level of competition he'll face in the NFL is far superior to anything he's ever faced, the fact that he was absolutely dominant in college gives some promise to his potential as a Pro Bowl quarterback.
It's a big risk, but it's one the 49ers must take.
Several team representatives were on hand for Wentz's pro day on Thursday, which went very well. NFL.com's Gil Brandt even went so far as to call it one of the best pro days he's ever seen.
Drafting Wentz could also give new head coach Chip Kelly the final push he needs to trade Kaepernick and utilize the rest of the draft to beef up key positions—like getting offensive line help for Wentz.
8. Philadelphia Eagles: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
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Analyst favorite: Ezekiel Elliott (29.9 percent)
Even though Ohio State running back Ezekiel Elliott is the most popular choice for the Philadelphia Eagles, Stanley is the best choice. Veterans Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles are already in tow in the Philadelphia backfield, so the Eagles would be better off drafting a running back like Devontae Booker or Kenneth Dixon in the middle rounds.
Philadelphia could then utilize its top-10 selection on the most-heralded tackle in the draft.
Stanley is becoming an increasingly popular Eagles' selection himself, as he was in McShay's latest mock draft. He would help shore up an ailing offensive line and serve as an eventual replacement for the 34-year-old Jason Peters at left tackle.
Even if Stanley doesn't start right away—with Peters and Lane Johnson currently penciled in as the starting tackles—his potential as an elite pass blocker is simply too great to pass up at this point in the draft.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
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Analyst favorite: Vernon Hargreaves III (33.3 percent)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers sure seem like they love Florida Gators cornerback Vernon Hargreaves, and apparently the feeling is mutual.
According to Matt Baker of the Tampa Bay Times, Hargreaves feels that it "would be amazing" to join Tampa Bay, which is only a short trip from his college home in Gainesville.
Highly regarded as a top-10 prospect, the 5'10" Hargreaves has raised some minor concerns about his height, but he makes up for it with excellent coverage skills and superior tackling ability.
Cornerback is not a short-term need, as free agents Brent Grimes and Josh Robinson join a solid cornerback group that also includes Alterraun Verner. But giving Hargreaves the opportunity to compete for a starting job in his rookie season will undoubtedly benefit the team in the long run.
10. New York Giants: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
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Analyst favorite: Ezekiel Elliott (19.5 percent)
Though Ole Miss wide receiver Laquon Treadwell and stud wideout Odell Beckham Jr. would be a terrifying receiver duo for the New York Giants, Elliott is the most logical choice here.
Giants.com columnist Dan Salomone compared Elliott and Clemson Tigers defensive end Shaq Lawson, another popular Giants selection. In the attached poll, over 51 percent of voters preferred Elliott as New York's selection, as of Thursday night.
Shane Vereen appears the likely third-down back, but the duo of Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams won't be able to effectively shoulder the bulk of the team's carries. After Los Angeles Rams running back Todd Gurley's sensational rookie campaign last season, there's plenty of optimism that Elliott could be successful as well.
11. Chicago Bears: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
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Analyst favorite: Tied—A'Shawn Robinson and Shaq Lawson (11.5 percent)
Mock draft analysts are torn with the Chicago Bears' selection at No. 11. Alabama Crimson Tide defensive tackle A'Shawn Robinson and Lawson are tied as the most mocked player to Chicago, but the "other" category—players who were only selected once or twice to a certain team—actually leads the way at 20.7 percent.
As good as Robinson is, Lawson is exactly what the Bears need.
Second-year defensive tackle Eddie Goldman is fully capable of playing nose tackle in the Bears' 3-4 scheme. Newly signed Akiem Hicks is quite versatile, though he should primarily play at defensive end. That leaves several options open for Lawson's fit in the defense.
The most appealing aspect of Lawson's game is his versatility. ESPN.com's Jeff Dickerson notes that Lawson feels confident playing in both a 5-technique and as a standup outside rusher and labels him "a definite fit" for defensive coordinator Vic Fangio's scheme.
Lawson likely won't be limited to one position. It would be interesting to see where Fangio lines him up in various formations.
12. New Orleans Saints: Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
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Analyst favorite: Sheldon Rankins (29.9 percent)
The New Orleans Saints are heavily favored to go defensive tackle with their Round 1 selection, as Robinson and the Louisville Cardinals' Sheldon Rankins combine to make up 54 percent of the Saints' projected selections. Between the two, Rankins seems to be the better fit.
His ability to create interior penetration is exceptional, even though his size isn't quite ideal for an NFL defensive tackle. Head coach Sean Payton noted that the team is in search of both a pass-rusher and a 3-technique defensive tackle.
Placing Rankins next to 26-year-old John Jenkins would address these issues well while allowing Rankins to fully utilize his agile skill set.
13. Miami Dolphins: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
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Analyst favorite: Vernon Hargreaves III (24.1 percent)
Even with the two most popular choices in Hargreaves and Lawson (13.8 percent) off the board, the Miami Dolphins still land Clemson's Mackensie Alexander, a talented young cornerback to pair up with trade acquisition Byron Maxwell.
Confidence certainly isn't an issue for the former Tigers star, and like Hargreaves, he makes up for less-than-ideal height (5'10") with a physical style of play and good coverage skills.
Dane Brugler and Rob Rang of CBSSports.com compared Alexander to Carolina Panthers All-Pro Josh Norman, citing their similar confidence and brash attitude. It's far too early to assume that Alexander's career will meet the level of Norman's 2015 season, but the Dolphins get the chance to find out here.
14. Oakland Raiders: Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
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Analyst favorite: Mackensie Alexander (17.2 percent)
Alexander becomes a very real possibility for the Oakland Raiders if he's available, but with him off the board, Alabama linebacker Reggie Ragland becomes the most logical choice here.
The second-most favored Oakland selection (14.9 percent), Ragland would complete an absolutely terrifying linebacker corps alongside Khalil Mack and Bruce Irvin—not to mention Malcolm Smith in certain packages.
Several analysts have Ragland landing in Oakland, including Brugler and McShay. His tenacity and ability to get leverage on bigger blockers makes him a good fit at inside linebacker, regardless of the scheme being run.
15. Los Angeles Rams: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
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Analyst favorite: Paxton Lynch (44.8 percent)
What the Los Angeles Rams elect to do with this pick will drastically affect where some of the top quarterback prospects will end up. Treadwell is a popular selection (29.9 percent), but head coach Jeff Fisher goes with Memphis Tigers quarterback Paxton Lynch, who should fare better than holdovers Nick Foles and Case Keenum.
Mock draft analysts are starting to agree, including four of the five members of CBSSports.com's mock draft panel. Lynch combines great size (6'7", 244 pounds) and a surprising ability to throw well on the run. It would be interesting to see how much emphasis Fisher would place on a quarterback competition between Lynch and Keenum.
16. Detroit Lions: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
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Analyst favorite: Jack Conklin (27.6 percent)
By drafting Michigan State Spartans offensive tackle Jack Conklin at No. 16, the Detroit Lions fill a major need by giving quarterback Matthew Stafford some much-needed protection.
ESPN.com's Michael Rothstein considers offensive line help to be the team's biggest need, noting that the team has made the same claim numerous times. MLive.com's Kyle Meinke also likes Conklin's fit on the Lions as someone who could start at right tackle from Day 1.
Widely considered the No. 3 tackle in the class behind Tunsil and Stanley, Conklin provides great core strength and could form a nice tackle duo with 2012 first-round pick Riley Reiff.
17. Atlanta Falcons: Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
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Analyst favorite: Darron Lee (29.9 percent)
Considered the No. 12 prospect in the class by CBSSports.com, Ohio State linebacker Darron Lee fills a big need for head coach Dan Quinn's improving defense. He worked out for the Atlanta Falcons last Thursday.
Lee's versatility would be well-used in Atlanta, as his speed enables him to be a hybrid linebacker-safety combo if the Falcons elect to try him out at both positions.
In an interview with D. Orlando Ledbetter of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Lee hinted that he'd prefer to stick to linebacker but also acknowledged that his speed would open up more diverse opportunities for himself in man coverage.
Lee would provide another great piece in the Falcons' young, rising defense, and he would help boost a linebacker corps that needs good 2016 campaigns from veterans Philip Wheeler and Paul Worrilow.
18. Indianapolis Colts: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
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Analyst favorite: Taylor Decker (40.2 percent)
After turning the past three first-round picks into megabusts Bjoern Werner and Trent Richardson and perceived luxury receiver Phillip Dorsett, the Indianapolis Colts finally land a sensible target in Ohio State tackle Taylor Decker.
Five of NFL.com's six mock draft panelists have Decker going to Indianapolis, and it's easy to see why. He and Anthony Castonzo would give quarterback Andrew Luck some much-needed outside protection.
IndyStar.com's Stephen Holder reports that owner Jim Irsay believes the team is close to fixing its shaky offensive line. Decker would go a long way towards making that theory a reality.
19. Buffalo Bills: Robert Nkemdiche, DT, Ole Miss
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Analyst favorite: Robert Nkemdiche (23 percent)
Ole Miss defensive end Robert Nkemdiche continues to allow work ethic and off-field concerns to plague his incredible ability. But Buffalo Bills coach Rex Ryan rarely shies away from talented players with such issues, and his slide ends at pick No. 19.
The former Ole Miss star has vowed to "grow as a player," and if he does, this pick will end up being a major steal for the Bills. Nkemdiche isn't an elite pass rusher, but his strength makes him a force to be reckoned with, especially in the run game.
If the Bills elect to play him as a 3-technique defensive tackle as expected, he and two-time Pro Bowler Marcell Dareus could form one of the best interior defensive lines in the NFL.
20. New York Jets: Leonard Floyd, OLB, Georgia
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Analyst favorite: Leonard Floyd (29.9 percent)
NFL.com ranks Leonard Floyd as its No. 13 overall player in the draft class. The 6'6" former Georgia Bulldogs star would make a great outside linebacker for the New York Jets.
Though the Jets boast one of the best defensive lines in football, their linebackers are far from that level. Floyd is incredibly athletic, and if he gets a good offseason in an NFL weight room, he could quickly emerge as one of the best young pass-rushers in the league.
21. Washington Redskins: A'Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama
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Analyst favorite: Jarran Reed (20.7 percent)
Though Alabama teammate Jarran Reed is the most favored prospect to end up with the Washington Redskins, A'Shawn Robinson is the one heading to Washington, D.C., here. Listed as the No. 9 overall prospect by NFL.com, he's a steal for a team that could use a strong interior presence on the defensive line.
Liz Clarke of the Washington Post notes that Washington and Detroit are the two teams that have expressed the most interest in Robinson. With veterans Jason Hatcher and Terrance Knighton both likely gone, Robinson becomes an even more logical selection.
Robinson would provide an immediate upgrade over Kedric Golston at nose tackle in defensive coordinator Joe Barry's 3-4 scheme.
22. Houston Texans: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
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Analyst favorite: Corey Coleman (31 percent)
Baylor Bears wideout Corey Coleman is the favorite to land with the Houston Texans, mostly because Ole Miss' Laquon Treadwell is off the board by No. 22 in most mock drafts. But here, the Texans get to pair the No. 1 receiver in the draft with emerging star DeAndre Hopkins.
Not a bad welcoming gift for new quarterback Brock Osweiler.
At 6'2" and 221 pounds, Treadwell isn't very fast, but he does just about everything else well. He has drawn rave reviews as a result: Brugler compares him to Dez Bryant, while NFL.com's Lance Zierlein compares him to Hopkins.
Suddenly, the Texans could become one of the league's best offenses.
23. Minnesota Vikings: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
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Analyst favorite: Josh Doctson (33.3 percent)
With Treadwell off the board, the Minnesota Vikings still land a quality receiver in Coleman. The 5'11" Baylor product brings blazing speed and quick hands, which would pair nicely alongside 2015 draft steal Stefon Diggs and tight end Kyle Rudolph.
There are still some questions concerning whether Coleman can ever develop into a No. 1 receiver at the NFL level. But his big-play ability will convince the Vikings to give him a shot, especially since they were on hand for Coleman's stellar pro day.
24. Cincinnati Bengals: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
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Analyst favorite: Corey Coleman (17.2 percent)
It took 22 picks for the first wide receiver to be selected, and now TCU Horned Frogs receiver Josh Doctson becomes the third one in a row to find his new NFL home. He'll get an immediate chance to contribute with the Cincinnati Bengals.
Having lost both Mohamed Sanu and Marvin Jones to free agency, Doctson can step in and become the No. 2 receiver behind stalwart A.J. Green. At 6'2", his big-play ability has to excite quarterback Andy Dalton, who has hooked up with Green on many long touchdown passes.
According to NFL.com's Rand Getlin, the Bengals are set to meet with Doctson in the near future. If the meeting goes well—and the draft board falls in the Bengals' favor—he could be catching passes from Dalton very shortly.
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
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Analyst favorite: Eli Apple (24.1 percent)
Ohio State cornerback Eli Apple has a fair amount of red flags attached to his upside, but the cornerback-desperate Pittsburgh Steelers will be happy to take a chance on him here at No. 25.
Apple has excellent measurables with great size (6'1", 199 pounds) and speed (4.40 40-yard dash at the combine). He does a great job deflecting passes and is aggressive in coverage, but he'll need to change some things in the NFL.
Even in college, Apple had a tendency to get beat on deep throws—mostly because he had difficulty trying to find the ball. He also drew many pass interference and holding calls, and smart receivers in the NFL will take advantage of that.
ESPN.com's Jeremy Fowler believes that the Steelers will simply take the best cornerback available, which is Apple in this scenario. With departed corner Brandon Boykin still a free agent, Apple would likely step right in with William Gay as a starting cornerback from Day 1.
26. Seattle Seahawks: Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama
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Analyst favorite: Taylor Decker (10.3 percent)
Mock draft analysts are all over the place when projecting the Seattle Seahawks' pick; after all, there are plenty of variations to consider up to pick No. 26. In this case, the Seahawks land a bright, young piece to add to their defensive line with Reed.
Reed excels in stuffing the run, but his pass-rushing abilities are well below average. Still, the 6'3", 307-pound monster will have the benefit of playing with veterans Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril, which could lead to some favorable matchups on the interior.
27. Green Bay Packers: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
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Analyst favorite: Andrew Billings (18.4 percent)
It's never easy to project a pick in the late-20s, but Baylor defensive tackle Andrew Billings and the Green Bay Packers appear to be a near-perfect match.
McShay is one of several analysts who have the 311-pound defensive tackle landing in Green Bay. Billings is perhaps the most powerful defensive tackle in the class, and he plays both the run and pass well.
He would be a great fit in the Packers' 3-4 defense, especially with retired tackle B.J. Raji gone for the foreseeable future. This selection would help the Packers solve their issues in stopping the run.
28. Kansas City Chiefs: William Jackson III, CB, Houston
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Analyst favorite: William Jackson III (19.5 percent)
After hitting a home run by drafting cornerback Marcus Peters in Round 1 last year, the Kansas City Chiefs will hope to repeat the success with Houston Cougars cornerback William Jackson this year. He would be somewhat of a reach here, but then again, Peters was considered a reach last season.
Jackson has been praised for his good size (6'0", 189 pounds) and has good instincts. His speed isn't a question, but there is some concern as to whether he'll be able to press some of the league's bigger wide receivers.
After losing 6'3'' veteran Sean Smith, the Chiefs land a younger, more promising replacement in Jackson. He and Peters would look to form a talented young corner duo, with the privilege of being backed up by All-Pro safety Eric Berry.
29. Arizona Cardinals: Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama
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Analyst favorite: Ryan Kelly (12.6 percent)
Prior to trading for Pro Bowl defensive end Chandler Jones, the Arizona Cardinals would've been a great landing spot for pass-rushers Noah Spence or Emmanuel Ogbah. Now that the pass-rush issue has been addressed, Alabama center Ryan Kelly becomes the selection to solidify the offensive line.
Easily the most heralded pivot in the class, Kelly comes battle-tested from a dominant Crimson Tide offensive line. He uses his good technique in pass protection as well and should be able to handle any interior pass rush the NFC West can throw at him.
Center is the lone offensive line position that needs a serious upgrade in Arizona, especially since head coach Bruce Arians strongly suggested that A.Q. Shipley would not retain the starting center role in the long run. Kelly would become an immediate starter.
30. Carolina Panthers: Noah Spence, DE, Eastern Kentucky
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Analyst favorite: Tied—Emmanuel Ogbah and Kevin Dodd (14.9 percent)
With the retirement of Jared Allen and the aging Charles Johnson nearing the end of his career, defensive end has become a prevalent concern for the Carolina Panthers. Here, the Panthers take a chance on Eastern Kentucky Colonels end Noah Spence, who could end up being the best pass-rusher in the draft.
Much like Nkemdiche, Spence is highly talented but has some off-field issues. On the field though, he uses his 6'2", 251-pound frame to get around offensive tackles after a quick burst off the line.
At the bottom of Round 1, the Panthers can absolutely afford to take this chance. Putting Spence on a defensive line with Johnson and young defensive tackles Star Lotulelei and Kawann Short would cement a dominant Panthers front seven.
31. Denver Broncos: Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State
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Analyst favorite: Paxton Lynch (14.9 percent)
The Broncos have been linked to many different position groups, including defensive end and guard. But the most important need for Denver is quarterback—trade acquisition Mark Sanchez won't cut it. Michigan State quarterback Connor Cook won't be a great starter in his rookie season, but he's good enough to lead a very talented Broncos squad.
Cameron Wolfe of the Denver Post has Cook going to Denver in his latest mock draft, noting that his athleticism makes him a great fit for head coach Gary Kubiak's offense.
The AFC West will be a very tough division next season, and Cook gives the Broncos the best opportunity to defend their division title.
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