
NFL Power Rankings Week 11: Updated Records, 2015-16 Super Bowl Odds
It's easy to scoff at the idea, but Las Vegas oddsmakers have just as much trouble assigning 2015-16 Super Bowl odds as fans do wagering on them.
This is especially the case going into Week 11, just a few days removed from the Green Bay Packers' losing a stranglehold on the NFC North, Washington's posting 47 points, the New England Patriots' actually taking down the New York Giants and the Denver Broncos' benching Peyton Manning.
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The chaos isn't easy on anyone, but it sure makes for an entertaining time. Below, let's look at updated records and odds for each team and shuffle the teams into power rankings based on past and projected performance.
Week 11 NFL Power Rankings and 2015-16 Super Bowl Odds
| 1 | New England Patriots (9-0) | 12-5 |
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals (8-0) | 8-1 |
| 3 | Carolina Panthers (9-0) | 8-1 |
| 4 | Arizona Cardinals (7-2) | 13-2 |
| 5 | Minnesota Vikings (7-2) | 12-1 |
| 6 | Denver Broncos (7-2) | 18-1 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) | 12-1 |
| 8 | Green Bay Packers (6-3) | 12-1 |
| 9 | Oakland Raiders (4-5) | 75-1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) | 40-1 |
| 11 | Indianapolis Colts (4-5) | 33-1 |
| 12 | Atlanta Falcons (6-3) | 50-1 |
| 13 | New York Giants (5-5) | 16-1 |
| 14 | New York Jets (5-4) | 100-1 |
| 15 | New Orleans Saints (4-6) | 250-1 |
| 16 | Seattle Seahawks (4-5) | 20-1 |
| 17 | St. Louis Rams (4-5) | 75-1 |
| 18 | Buffalo Bills (5-4) | 75-1 |
| 19 | Miami Dolphins (4-5) | 100-1 |
| 20 | Kansas City Chiefs (4-5) | 66-1 |
| 21 | Houston Texans (3-5) | 150-1 |
| 22 | Chicago Bears (4-5) | 100-1 |
| 23 | Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) | 150-1 |
| 24 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) | 500-1 |
| 25 | Washington (4-5) | 100-1 |
| 26 | Tennessee Titans (2-7) | 500-1 |
| 27 | San Diego Chargers (2-7) | 1000-1 |
| 28 | Detroit Lions (2-7) | 500-1 |
| 29 | Dallas Cowboys (2-7) | 66-1 |
| 30 | San Francisco 49ers (3-6) | 500-1 |
| 31 | Baltimore Ravens (2-7) | 1000-1 |
| 32 | Cleveland Browns (2-8) | 2000-1 |
Odds courtesy of Odds Shark.
Odds Analysis
Minnesota Vikings (12-1)
Good luck ignoring the Minnesota Vikings now.
With any luck, bettors pulled the trigger on the Vikings when the line was 20-1 in Las Vegas this time last week. Coach Mike Zimmer and Co. are winners of five in a row and sit in first place in the NFC North, watching the Packers ride a three-game losing skid.
The team's confident under Zimmer's leadership, too, as the team's Twitter account captured:
As it should be. This past weekend against playoff hopeful Oakland, the Vikings got 203 yards and a score from Adrian Peterson on the ground and a touchdown through the air from quarterback Teddy Bridgewater.
Meanwhile, the defense held the Raiders to 84 rushing yards and forced two interceptions, helping Minnesota to win the time-of-possession battle with more than 33 minutes.
The Vikings still need to deal with Green Bay twice, but a hard-nosed team on both sides of the football has the talent to take down the hobbled Packers. This line is still serviceable when it comes to payouts.
Denver Broncos (18-1)
Manning took a seat this past weekend in a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs after throwing four interceptions, a bewildering display for a legend who broke a record in the same game.
As it turns out, Manning has played on an injury that may have gotten worse during the game, as NFL Network's Ian Rapoport explained:
It sounds weird, but this line just got a little more attractive.
The Denver Broncos sit at 7-2 and first place in the AFC West, with the Chiefs and Raiders tied for second at 4-5. The Broncos can afford to sit Manning a game or two, as a trip to take on the 4-5 Chicago Bears isn't overly important, although the team would surely like to have him back in two weeks for a date with New England.
Regardless, Manning and a hobbled defense can and will get healthy. It's a matter of time, and the iffy division will give the Broncos some leeway before returning all systems go.
From there, anything is possible, especially if Manning can heal and get back to respectable form.
New York Giants (16-1)
Folks will look at the 5-5 New York Giants and move on, but those with an eye for value and upside will linger.
The Giants just lost to the Patriots, yes, but it was a 27-26 affair in which a field goal of more than 50 yards as time expired decided the contest. Considering New England had blown away most of its other competition this year, it was an eyebrow-raising finish.
Despite an obviously one-dimensional attack, Eli Manning managed to throw for 361 yards and two touchdowns, while the New York defense sacked Tom Brady three times and surrendered two passing scores but forced one interception.
Again, it was not a bad performance, and the 5-5 record isn't anything to worry about. New York still has a grip on first place in the NFC East, where Washington and Philadelphia sit tied at 4-5 and Dallas (healthy or not), resides in the cellar at 2-7.
Manning isn't getting the recognition he deserves for his play this year, but bettors on the hunt for value cannot complain. The state of the NFC East makes the Giants quite an attractive option, and such a performance—even in a loss—hints at what Manning and Co. could do in the postseason.
Stats are courtesy of NFL.com and accurate as of November 16. All advanced metrics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.

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