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Netflix's Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano - Press Conference
Ronda Rousey (left) and Gina Carano (right)Sarah Stier/Getty Images for Netflix

Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano Odds, Live Stream and KO, Judges' Scorecards Predictions

Alex BallentineMay 16, 2026

Women's MMA legends Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano are set to headline MVP MMA 1 as Jake Paul's promotion company makes its first foray into mixed martial arts.

Rousey and Carano were both pioneering figures in the early days of women's MMA. They'll serve as the main event on a card that also features Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins and Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry.

Both Rousey and Carano will be coming off long retirements. However, their name recognition and the novelty of a new promotion entering the space are sure to attract plenty of attraction.

Let's take a look at all the info you need to catch the fights as well as a preview and prediction for the headliner.

Fight Odds, Schedule and Scorecard Prediction

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Rousey vs. Carano NYC Press Conference

When: Saturday, May 16 at 9 p.m. ET (main card start time)

Where: Intuit Dome, Los Angeles, California

Live Stream: Netflix

Tickets: Vivid Seats

Odds: Rousey -590 ($590 bet to win $100); Carano +390 ($100 bet wins $390)

Prediction: Rousey via third-round submission

Odds via FanDuel

Preview

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Rousey vs. Carano NYC Press Conference
Ronda Rousey (left) and Gina Carano (right)

Rousey, 39, is the considerable favorite and that shouldn't come as a surprise. The former UFC champion would have likely been a heavy favorite had the two met in their primes and she's five years younger than the 44-year-old Carano.

Rousey hasn't fought since December 2016, when she came up short in a title fight against Amanda Nunes. After starting off a perfect 12-0 and taking the UFC by storm, she dropped back-to-back title fights and walked away.

Now, she's looking to write a new final chapter to her story.

"There was kind of like a cascade of things that led to it, but largely I wanted to rewrite my own ending in MMA," Rousey said of her reasons for coming back, per Alexander K. Lee of MMA Fighting. "It was just unfinished. I never formally retired. Dana said I retired and I hadn't fought in, like, 10 years, so I think I needed everyone to kind of give up on me coming back before I knew I was coming back just for me."

Carano's career was marked by a similar rapid ascent and even more rapid fall. She was involved in several groundbreaking fights, including the first main event on Showtime, first women's fight on live television and Nevada's first sanctioned women's MMA fight.

She racked up seven wins before fighting Cris Cyborg in the first main event on Showtime. However, Cyborg dominated their fight, winning by TKO at 4:59 in the first round.

Carano hung up the gloves after the 2009 fight and pursued acting instead.

She's excited to return back to her fighting roots.

"I get to revive and reveal the fighting side of me because a lot of people either forgot or weren't around the last time I fought," Carano told Andreas Hale of ESPN. "I've heard people say Ronda Rousey is fighting the girl from 'The Mandalorian.' No, I had a whole life that opened the doors to those movie opportunities, and it was me being a fighter, a genuine fighter who broke a lot of barriers."

Rousey's aggressive judo attack and signature armbar are weapons that most likely haven't faded with age. Those wheelhouse techniques aren't likely to be gone after years of performing in the WWE.

Carano, meanwhile, only ever had one submission in her career and never fought anyone as dangerous as Rousey, outside of Cyborg.

It's likely that we get one more highlight reel submission from Rousey.

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