Final Four 2015: Odds Each Team Wins the National Championship

While Kentucky has been the favorite to win the national championship since the start of the season, all of the Final Four representatives have a chance to come away with the title.

Along with the top-seeded Wildcats, the national semifinals features two teams that have also been near the top of the polls all season long in Wisconsin and Duke. These squads have the talent and confidence necessary to give the favorites a real run for their money.

Meanwhile, Michigan State entered the NCAA tournament as a long shot to get to this point but showed over the past two weeks it has the tools necessary to beat anyone in the field.

At this point, all that matters for the teams is what they can do over their next two games. Here is a look at how each team stacks up going forward as well as odds to take home a title, via Vegas Insider.

Kentucky Wildcats (5-6)

Why They'll Win

This isn't just the most talented team in the nation, it's the most talented team we have seen in college basketball in a long time. Almost everyone in the rotation has a chance to play in the NBA and be successful when he gets there.

Despite this talent, the players are unselfish and do what it takes to win, even if it hurts their individual stats.

This is why the Wildcats are almost twice as likely to win a title as anyone left in the field, according to Ken Pomeroy:

With an elite defense that rarely takes a game off, Kentucky has a great chance to keep up the undefeated record and finish 40-0.

Why They Won't 

While it's never easy to win every game, Kentucky hasn't been challenged by elite teams too often this season. According to KenPom.com, the recent win over Notre Dame was the first matchup against a top-10 team all year, and the Wildcats were barely able to escape.

After a bunch of close calls throughout the season, it's possible one of the top teams remaining in the field will have what it takes to finish things off and pull the upset.

Wisconsin Badgers (7-2)

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Why They'll Win 

While Kentucky features one of the top defenses we have seen in years, Wisconsin can say the same about its offense. The fluid lineup of five shooters on the floor makes the group extremely difficult to defend, especially when Frank Kaminsky and Sam Dekker can score at will in the post as well.

Head coach Bo Ryan also explained why getting to the Final Four a second year in a row has changed the expectations for the group, via Kyle Tucker of The Courier-Journal:

"

You could definitely see the difference – after getting to the Sweet 16 and now getting to the Final Four – of the guys in the locker room. They are very, very excited, but they're not awestruck, you know? They were sitting in the locker room waiting for me after the Arizona game like … 'What's our next move?' 

"

Almost the entire rotation returned from last year's Final Four team, and the experience has led to plenty of confidence going into the rematch against Kentucky. With size inside and talent all over the floor, the Badgers have what it takes to beat the No. 1 team.

Why They Won't 

The Badgers lost in the national semifinals to Kentucky last season by a point, but the Wildcats have improved greatly since then.

Willie Cauley-Stein was out for that game with an injury, while freshman Karl-Anthony Towns was still in high school. This gives the squad two more low-post defenders who can help limit Kaminsky. With additional upgrades like Trey Lyles, Devin Booker and Tyler Ulis, the Wildcats are a scary bunch.

Wisconsin will have to play an almost flawless game to win, and even that won't guarantee success in this nightmare of a semifinal matchup.

Duke (7-2)

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Why They'll Win

Duke has been considered one of the nation's top teams all season with an elite offense centered around Jahlil Okafor, who is one of the best post scorers in years. Adding a skilled backcourt combo of Tyus Jones and Quinn Cook makes this group tough to stop. 

For all this praise during the year, the Blue Devils have actually been even better in the NCAA tournament thanks to an increased emphasis on defense. Seth Davis of CBS Sports noticed the difference:

Justise Winslow has keyed the improvement with his work on the perimeter as well as collecting rebounds at a high rate. All of a sudden, Duke's biggest weakness is now a strength, and the group has the skill to beat anyone in the nation.

Why They Won't

A lack of depth hasn't hurt this team so far, but it could as the grind of the tournament progresses. The Blue Devils have eight scholarship players, and only these eight see the floor, with the bench usually not making too much of an impact.

In the Elite Eight win against Gonzaga, the team finished with zero bench points.

This could be a problem in a potential finals battle against Kentucky. The deep rotation would simply wear down the Duke starters and lead to success down the stretch.

Michigan State (7-1)

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Why They'll Win

Michigan State exemplifies how to win as a team. The group works together to play great defense, rebound with efficiency and score at a high rate. According to KenPom.com, the squad also ranks seventh in the country in assists per field goal.

The Spartans succeeded against a tough Virginia defense by passing the ball and working to find open shots, and they can do the same thing against any of the three teams remaining in the field.

With Travis Trice doing his best Shabazz Napier impression during this tournament, it would be a mistake to count out the Tom Izzo-coached team.

Why They Won't

While Trice, Denzel Valentine and Branden Dawson make up a quality trio, this group is overmatched as a whole on paper. ESPN Stats and Info notes the difference in NBA talent on the rosters:

While Michigan State has had a great run to beat higher-seeded teams over the past two weeks, it hasn't faced anyone as good as the three No. 1 seeds remaining in the field. Good coaching and teamwork help a lot, but so does pure talent.

Expecting the Spartans to pull off two more massive upsets would have to be quite a leap of faith.

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