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Could TCU, Big 12 Cost SEC a 2nd College Football Playoff Spot?

Sean FryeNov 1, 2014

It wasn't just fans in Morgantown who had their hearts broken by Jaden Oberkrom's 37-yard game-winning field goal that sent No. 7 TCU away with a walk-off victory over No. 20 West Virginia.

The Deep South wasn't too thrilled with it, either.

The Horned Frogs' 31-30 win creates a two-team dash to the finish line of the Big 12 race between them and the Kansas State Wildcats. Bill Snyder's group, the only undefeated team left in league play, makes a trip to Fort Worth next Saturday. ESPN shared Oberkrom's game-winning field goal via Twitter: 

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You've got to think that the winner of that game is not only in control of the Big 12 race but will also steal a spot from the SEC in the College Football Playoff.

Assuming K-State upends a fledgling Oklahoma State on Saturday night, both the Wildcats and Horned Frogs will face off with just one loss (TCU to Baylor, K-State to Auburn).

If TCU wins, it'll have no games against the top half of the conference remaining, so it should coast to a playoff berth.

If K-State wins, it still has games at WVU and Baylor to get through. But already ranked No. 9 in the playoff rankings, road wins against those two teams will surely boost the Wildcats to a playoff berth. Chuck Carlton of The Dallas Morning News noted the difficulty and significance of TCU's win:

Meanwhile, the SEC still has to beat itself up. Alabama still has to play Mississippi State. Auburn plays Ole Miss on Saturday night. The Egg Bowl is still on the docket, as is the Iron Bowl and the SEC Championship Game.

With all those matchups left, it's hard to picture that any SEC team, outside of projected champion Mississippi State, will escape the SEC with fewer than two losses.

In fact, if the Bulldogs win out, that guarantees at least two losses for Ole Miss and Alabama. If Auburn falls to either Alabama or Ole Miss, that's two losses.

Simply put, there's too much left to happen in the SEC to think that it'll earn two bids to the playoffs over a one-loss Big 12 champion. 

According to Carlos A. Mendez of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, TCU head coach Gary Patterson believes his team deserves a bid:

In addition to K-State and TCU, Baylor has an outside chance at earning a bid. But TCU's victory over WVU means that the Bears' loss to the Mountaineers is an even bigger blemish on their record. With the win, Fox Sports' Stewart Mandel asserts that TCU needs to be a Top Four team:

Get ready for a barnburner in Fort Worth next week between the new-aged Horned Frogs and the old-school Wildcats.

The playoffs are on the line.

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