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Power Ranking Every World Football National Team

Frank Wagner
May 31, 2018

With the commencement of August, world football's offseason is coming to a close, shifting the focus from international competitions to the clubs.

It has been a busy summer for many of the world's most prestigious national teams.

Brazil's triumph over Spain in the Confederations Cup final made one wonder if there could be a shift in power come next year's World Cup.

The USA's Gold Cup victory was grand, but the story of that tournament was the complete collapse of Mexico, who twice lost to Panama and failed to reach the final for the first time since 2005.

While those two tournaments were the main attractions, many friendlies were sprinkled in as teams geared up for the final stretch of World Cup qualifying.

So where does every national team currently stand? And what can we expect to see from them with the World Cup less than a year away?

Here are the latest Wagner World Rankings for every international team.

Methodology

1 of 20

For those who haven't seen an installment of these rankings before, here is an explanation of how they are decided.

First, I compile the results of every international match on a four-year window. The reasoning behind this time frame is twofold: A longer period would not be indicative of the same team, while a shorter one would produce too small a sample size.

From there, every type of match is assigned a value. For example, a friendly is worth 100 points, while a World Cup group match is worth 360 points.

Every match is then graded and each team awardedย a score, based on four factors:

  • The result of the match
  • The venue: home, away or on a neutral site
  • The strength of opposition
  • How recently the match was played (to add a weight of form)

Factoring in each team's missed opportunities (i.e. the World Cup final if they did not make it) and re-weighting for continental tournaments finishes the process, producing a final score out of 1,000 for each team.

This list ranks the nations based on that final score.

Now, let's get to the rankings.

209-181

2 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
209ย ย Turks and Caicos Islandsย 0.16
208ย ย Bhutanย 1.22
207ย South Sudanย South Sudanย 5.43
206ย ย San Marinoย 5.76
205ย ย Djiboutiย 7.24
204ย ย Montserratย 9.36
203ย ย Anguillaย 11.55
202ย ย Somaliaย 13.83
201ย ย Eritreaย 14.36
200ย ย Cook Islandsย 14.72
199ย ย British Virgin Islandsย 14.96
198ย Mauritaniaย Mauritaniaย 16.83
197ย Bruneiย Bruneiย 17.82
196ย ย Tongaย 20.37
195ย ย Macau ย 21.18
194ย ย Seychellesย 21.60
193ย ย American Samoaย 21.75
192ย ย Papua New Guineaย 22.23
191ย ย Comorosย 26.70
190ย ย Cayman Islandsย 26.73
189ย ย Bahamasย 26.91
188ย ย Mauritiusย 27.11
187ย ย Sao Tome e Principeย 28.00
186ย ย Samoaย 28.74
185ย East Timorย Timor-Lesteย 28.86
184ย ย US Virgin Islandsย 29.11
183ย ย Madagascarย 31.15
182ย ย Mongoliaย 33.36
181ย ย Arubaย 34.27

Analysis

The bottom of the barrel has stayed fairly consistent since the last time these rankings were released in late June.

However, there were a few interesting moves.

One of the biggest climbers in the group were Mauritius, who made up seven spots from 195 to 188 thanks to a 4-0 victory against Seychelles in late July.

Despite that loss, Seychelles were still able to move up a few spots. While their points total fell, that of their nearest rivals also dropped due to inactivity and good results receding further into the past.

A team that fell a fair way in this group is Bahamas, who went down 15 spots from 174 to 189 in the past month-and-a-half.

Strangely enough, they are the only national team with a perfect record over the past four years, winning every match.

However, they have played just two matches, destroying the bottom-ranked Turks and Caicos Islands in consecutive World Cup qualifiers in 2011.

Inactivity since then has seen the effect these wins had on the rankings diminish quickly.

180-151

3 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
180ย Swaziland37.89
179ย Dominica38.94
178ย Guinea-Bissau39.33
177ย Vanuatu40.71
176ย Guam41.72
175ย Fiji41.93
174ย Chad45.56
173ย Barbados45.58
172ย St Lucia47.74
171ย Cambodia47.88
170ย Gambia50.27
169ย Kyrgyzstan52.70
168ย ย Sri Lanka54.07
167ย Bermuda61.26
166ย Pakistan62.26
165ย Curacao65.59
164ย Lesotho67.36
163ย Afghanistan68.45
162ย Laos69.39
161ย Nicaragua73.36
160ย Chinese Taipei73.49
159ย Central African Republic74.74
158ย Grenada78.59
157ย Burundi79.17
156ย Suriname79.80
155ย St Kitts and Nevis82.54
154ย Nepal83.09
153ย Bangladesh83.39
152ย St Vincent and the Grenadines85.28
151ย Puerto Rico85.48

Analysis

There were not many interesting developments in this group over the past month-and-a-half.

One of the more intriguing points is Nicaragua remaining at 161 following their record of losing every match at the 2009ย Gold Cup with a failed attempt to qualify for the 2013 tournament.ย 

Meanwhile, the Central African Republic moved up 10 spots to 159.

Their ranking has been lower than one might expect due to the fact that they didn't play a match between 2007 and 2010.

Over the next year, CAR will surely rise as they continue to fill a four-year window.

150-121

4 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
150ย Equatorial Guinea85.70
149ย Solomon Islands88.23
148ย Benin89.01
147ย Maldives89.72
146ย Liberia90.18
145ย Myanmar90.88
144ย Yemen92.37
143ย Sierra Leone92.46
142ย Hong Kong92.83
141ย Namibia98.03
140ย Turkmenistan98.23
139ย Belize99.91
138ย Rwanda102.28
137ย Cuba109.11
136ย Tajikistan110.28
135ย Dominican Republic110.37
134ย Faroe Islands112.10
133ย Zimbabwe112.88
132ย Niger114.08
131ย India115.17
130ย Guyana116.17
129ย Indonesia117.95
128ย Vietnam118.88
127ย Palestine122.18
126ย Malaysia122.24
125ย Mozambique122.98
124ย Kenya123.72
123ย Haiti125.61
122ย Guinea125.75
121ย Andorra126.60

Analysis

A trio of teams are quickly rising in this group.

Thanks to victories over Malawi and Lesotho, Zimbabwe have moved up 13 spots to 133 despite losing to a very good Zambia team.

Haiti's nine-spot climb to 123 was well-deserved and long overdue.

Theย Haitians broke a seven-match winless streak with a 2-0 victory over Trinidad and Tobago in the Gold Cup.ย That losing run, it should be noted, consisted of tough matches against the likes of Italy and Spain.

However, Haiti's rise was kept in check thanks to losses to Honduras and El Salvador throughout the rest of their Gold Cup campaign.

Finally, Cuba's ascent of 13 places to 137 came despite drubbings at the hands of USA and Panama at the Gold Cup.

The Cubans' 4-0 victory over Belize was enough to assure them of a fine rise through the table.

120-91

5 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
120ย Botswana128.84
119ย Antigua and Barbuda130.46
118ย Singapore135.91
117ย Sudan138.84
116ย Togo142.39
115ย Syria145.37
114ย Trinidad and Tobago148.24
113ย Philippines150.18
112ย Congo DR154.16
111ย Tanzania155.14
110ย Thailand158.49
109ย Lebanon162.01
108Tahiti164.40
107ย Angola166.43
106ย Congo168.40
105ย El Salvador178.95
104ย Canada179.96
103ย Guatemala185.28
102ย Saudi Arabia188.77
101ย United Arab Emirates191.52
100ย North Korea197.76
99ย Bahrain198.04
98ย Scotland203.44
97ย China205.86
96ย Qatar206.41
95ย Liechtenstein207.72
94ย Kuwait208.60
93ย Oman211.55
92ย Luxembourg216.41
91ย Malta218.47

Analysis

The movement in this group was influenced mostly by the unpredictable nature of the 2013 Gold Cup.

Trinidad and Tobago got a slight boost thanks to their relatively strong campaign, which saw them push Mexico to the limit in the quarterfinals.

El Salvador took a small hit due to a relatively weak campaign in which they barely beat a weaker Haiti side and drew with Trinidad and Tobago.

Canada dropped 11 spots after going winless through the group.

Scotland is not a country you would expect to see this low down. Their terrible World Cup qualifying campaign has them dropping through the rankings quickly, with a current status of 98.

At the other end of the spectrum, Congo gained an incredible 25 spots up to 106 thanks to the continued success of their own qualifying campaign.

90-61

6 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
90ย Libya224.84
89ย Malawi225.83
88ย Senegal226.04
87ย Mali228.91
86ย Kazakhstan229.26
85ย Iraq230.32
84ย Gabon231.07
83ย Cyprus242.54
82ย New Caledonia243.99
81ย Ethiopia260.10
80ย Cape Verde Islands260.16
79ย Cameroon261.60
78ย Uganda262.83
77ย Northern Ireland268.80
76ย Moldova278.85
75ย Lithuania279.38
74ย Egypt291.79
73ย Azerbaijan292.59
72ย Latvia294.68
71ย Iceland297.83
70ย Wales299.18
69ย Jamaica302.00
68ย Macedonia303.04
67ย Morocco308.52
66ย Georgia312.05
65ย New Zealand312.41
64ย Bolivia315.94
63ย Tunisia316.55
62ย Algeria319.84
61ย Estonia323.31

Analysis

The most intriguing story in this assortment of teams is Cape Verde Islands.

The Africans rose an incredible 37 spots in the rankingsโ€”without playing a match.

The world football governing body, FIFA, awarded Cape Verde with two 3-0 victories over Equatorial Guinea in World Cup qualifying matches as their opponents were found to have fielded an ineligible player in both.

The original matches had ended as a 4-3 Equatorial Guinea victory and a 2-1 Cape Verde victory, respectively, results which eliminated Cape Verde from contention for the World Cup.

The wins, allied to remaining alive in World Cup contention, allowed the team to fly up the rankings this month.

Meanwhile, New Zealand and New Caledonia both fell substantially, as they are still reeling from losses at the OFC Nations Cup. Egypt gained seven places due to their unbeaten World Cup qualifying campaign.

60-31

7 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
60ย South Africa324.62
59ย Albania337.25
58ย Belarus340.57
57ย Armenia342.26
56ย Bulgaria343.28
55ย Finland362.73
54ย  Burkina Faso 364.15
53ย Honduras365.42
52ย Slovakia373.85
51ย Austria376.73
50ย Israel377.06
49ย Montenegro377.09
48ย Zambia378.74
47Costa Ricaย Costa Rica379.21
46ย Jordan380.82
45ย Serbia381.24
44ย Turkey383.72
43ย Slovenia385.30
42ย Poland386.64
41ย Hungary389.04
40ย Panama397.53
39ย Norway398.03
38ย Romania399.87
37ย Venezuela403.34
36ย Peru411.08
35ย Uzbekistan413.65
34ย Ukraine418.79
33ย Paraguay427.55
32ย Denmark430.35
31ย Nigeria431.32

Analysis

South Africa's rise through the rankings is similar to that of Cape Verde.

The South Africans were beneficiaries of an Ethiopia mistake, as an ineligible player forced FIFA to reverse a World Cup qualifying result that had eliminated South Africa from contention and now sees them rise 30 places.

Another interesting change is Panama's 12-place climb to 40 after their victory over Mexico to earn a berth in the Gold Cup final.

Meanwhile, Montenegro and Israel's meteoric rises through the rankings were brought down to Earth, each of them standing still thanks to inactivity and less-than-ideal results in World Cup qualifying.

Nigeria also saw some momentum quashed, as they fell one spot out of the top 30 after a tough Confederations Cup campaign.

30-21

8 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
30Ireland431.40
29Iran438.22
28Czech Republic441.11
27Switzerland443.67
26Belgium444.90
25Ecuador446.82
24Chile452.12
23Bosnia and Herzegovina452.28
22Greece454.33
21South Korea458.32

Analysis

Now we are getting to the more interesting teams as we head toward the World Cup.

Ireland's past successes seem to be wearing off as their poor performances at Euro 2012 and their fourth-place standing in World Cup qualifying have them back to 30.

Iran's qualification for Brazil still has them flying high, even if they fell a spot.

Czech Republic are creeping back into contention in their World Cup qualifying group, but they have also fallen a spot.

Switzerland's two-place drop reflects their inability to close what looks to be the easiest qualifying group in Europe.

Belgium have fallen a bit due to other teams' ascensions up the table, but they are surely a team to watch in the coming months.

Poor results of old seem to be washing away for Ecuador as they move up four spots.

Chile gained two places thanks to two big World Cup wins that have them in the South American qualifying zone.

Bosnia and Herzegovina are yet to pass Greece in the rankings, but their seemingly inevitable qualification for the World Cup at their expense should take care of that.

South Korea are the only team to fall out of the top 20 this month, as their run of four winless matches has them down four spots to 21.

20-11

9 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
20Ghana458.38
19Ivory Coast471.72
18USA472.41
17Australia472.42
16Mexico473.55
15Japan474.64
14France474.77
13Colombia475.02
12Sweden478.38
11Russia484.72

Analysis

The middle eight of this group of 10 is so incredibly close that each one could easily climb to No. 12 by next month.

Ghana and Russia are the only real outliers, with Ghana barely remaining in the top 20 because of their tough World Cup qualifying group with Zambia and Russia suffering a qualifying loss to Portugal.

Ivory Coast have fallen slightly after a loss to Ghana, while Australia's losses to Japan and China set them back.

Japan, on the other hand, flew nine spotsย up the rankings thanks to two big wins over Australia and South Korea.

USA understandably gained the most, as their Gold Cup triumph pushed them up 14 spots to 18.

Mexico have been so out of form recently that the weakening of their Gold Cup squad barely saved them from falling below their North American rivalsโ€”though they are just over 0.1 percent higher than USA.

Finally, Colombia's rise up the table is getting into high gear, while France and Sweden remain in lofty spots despite tough World Cup qualifying groups.

10. Croatia

10 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
10CroatiaCroatia487.54

Analysis

Croatia have been hanging around this position for quite some time, but they could be in store for a drop very soon.

The Croatians lost consecutive matches in June, one a big World Cup qualifier to Scotland that could gift the group to Belgium and push Croatia into a playoff.

After the disappointment of the 2010 World Cup, one should not take Croatia's qualification for granted despite this sides talent.

9. Uruguay

11 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
9Uruguay510.99

Analysis

Uruguay's run in the 2013 Confederations Cup showed again how inconsistent they are over time.

The South Americans are riding some great results in major tournaments over the past four years, as they won the 2011 Copa America and finished fourth at both the 2010 World Cup and 2013 Confederations Cup.

However, Uruguay's poor form in World Cup qualifying has them facing elimination heading into the final few matches of the CONMEBOL group.

Uruguay could definitely be a dangerous team in Brazil next summer.ย This threat is contingent on them qualifying first, though.

8. England

12 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
8England516.50

Analysis

This England side seem to catch quite a bit of flakโ€”especially from their own mediaโ€”for a perceived lack of ability.

No, this is not the most stylish team in the world, and it probably isn't made to win a major tournament.

However, it is one of the more consistent teams in the world.

In 44 matches over the past four years, England have lost just seven, of which only three were to teams ranked lower than them: a meaningless World Cup qualifier with a dangerous Ukraine, a friendly with France and in a Zlatan Ibrahimovic masterclass against Sweden.

England's ability to beat the teams they are supposed to beat has guided them through major tournaments and to where they are in these rankings.

However, that doesn't equate to victory on the biggest stages.

7. Portugal

13 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
7PortugalPortugal529.13

Analysis

Portugal may be leading their World Cup qualifying group, but they are not favorites to win it and qualify automaticallyย for Brazil.

The side's poor form in the early stages of qualifying has them just two points clear of Russia with two extra matches played, giving the Russians two chances to pass them.

Furthermore, Israel are just three points behind them with a match in hand.

Portugal might be facing an uphill battle to qualify for next summer's World Cup, but this side should be used to it.

They have barely qualified for each of the past two major tournaments, the 2010 World Cup and Euro 2012, before advancing through the group stage of both.

Don't look too far into Portugal's qualifying struggles if they can find a way to get to Brazil.

6. Argentina

14 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
6ArgentinaArgentina537.31

Analysis

On paper, Argentina are one heck of a team.

Combining the likes of Sergio Aguero, Gonzalo Higuain and Angel di Maria with Lionel Messi should lead to good things.

That has been the case of late, with them racing to a comfortable lead in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying group.

However, the Argentines were a bit of a work in progress before then, as evidenced by their 4-0 loss to Germany in the 2010 World Cup quarterfinals and elimination from the 2011 Copa America at home.

Given their recent form, though, Argentina should be a huge threat in Brazil.

5. Italy

15 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
5ItalyItaly548.61

Analysis

Italy look to be a quiet threat ahead of the World Cup.

The Azzurri's incredible performance in the Confederations Cup semifinals against Spain showed the type of Euro 2012 final we could have seen if injuries hadn't reared their ugly head.

However, Italy's poor performances at the 2010 World Cup are holding them back from pushing into the top few spots on this list.

This Italian side might be getting a little bit older, but they certainly possess the skill to push any team to the limit.

4. Netherlands

16 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
4NetherlandsNetherlands556.40

Analysis

The Netherlands' past four years have been marred by just a few months of results.

The Dutch side powered to the World Cup final in 2010 and came so close to defeating Spain.ย Furthermore, they have been dominant in qualifying campaigns, dropping just three points (in a meaningless match, no less) in the past three campaigns combined.

However, they absolutely folded at Euro 2012, losing every match in the tournament in a stretch of winning just three matches in 11.

They have righted the ship since then, though, and could well be on their way to a strong showing in Brazil.

3. Brazil

17 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
3Brazil570.17

Analysis

Brazil's incredible run to the Confederations Cup title led many to imagine what could be in store for them next summer.

The Brazilians certainly have the talent and the potential, but are they ready to shine on the biggest stage? Can they handle the pressure of playing in front of their home fans?

If the Confederations Cup is any indication, Brazil is in for one heck of a party on July 13, 2014.

2. Germany

18 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
2Germany590.02

Analysis

After falling in the semifinals of both the 2010 World Cup and Euro 2012, Germany enter the 2014 World Cup hoping to finally get back to winning those final two matches.

The Germans certainly have the talent to pull this off, a fact that is made abundantly clear by their incredible record in recent qualifying campaigns, where they haven't lost since 2007.

It really is a championship-or-bust prospect for Germany entering Brazil.

1. Spain

19 of 20
Rankingย CountryPoints out of 1,000
1SpainSpain651.08

Analysis

There's no questioning who the top team in the world is at this point.

Spain are the reigning World Cup and Euro champions, a feat that has established them as one of the finest national teams in history.

Their lopsided defeat to Brazil in the Confederations Cup final may have slightly lessened their hold on the top spot, but the Spaniards are still far and away the best team in the world.

Conclusion

20 of 20

I hope you enjoyed the list.

I tried to get around to mentioning as many of the teams as possible and giving a reason for their placement, but I obviously couldn't get to all of them.

If you have any questions or thoughts, or just have a general suggestion for the rankings, please comment on the article and/or contact me on Twitter at the link below.

Until next time, stay updated by following me and the rankings on Twitter at the links posted below.