NBA Draft Lottery 2013: Complete Odds for Every Team Involved

Alex KayCorrespondent IApril 18, 2013

LEXINGTON, KY - DECEMBER 04:  Nerlens Noel #3 of the Kentucky Wildcats dunks the ball during the game against the Samford Bulldogs at Rupp Arena on December 4, 2012 in Lexington, Kentucky.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

With the 2012-13 NBA regular season in the books and the playoffs about to begin, fans of nearly half the teams in the league have nothing to look forward to besides the upcoming draft.

Unfortunately, these supporters won’t know when their favorite team picks until the draft lottery takes place on Tuesday, May 21.

However, we do know the chances that each of these 14 clubs has to land the top overall pick and can start projecting which prospects will land where based on these percentages.

Let’s take a look at the complete odds for the 2013 NBA draft lottery, highlight some players that will be the prizes for the lucky teams at the top, see the lottery mock draft and more.

Lottery Odds

*Odds and trade notes courtesy of USA Today.


2012-13 Record

Chance of No. 1 pick

Orlando Magic


25 percent

Charlotte Bobcats


19.9 percent

Cleveland Cavaliers


15.6 percent

Phoenix Suns


11.9 percent

New Orleans Hornets


8.8 percent

Sacramento Kings


6.3 percent

Detroit Pistons


4.3 percent

Washington Wizards


2.8 percent

Minnesota Timberwolves


1.7 percent

Portland Trail Blazers*


1.1 percent

Philadelphia 76ers


0.8 percent

Toronto Raptors**


0.7 percent

Dallas Mavericks


0.6 percent

Utah Jazz


0.5 percent

*If Portland's pick falls outside of the top 12, it will be sent to Charlotte.

**If Toronto's pick falls outside of the top three, it will be sent to the Oklahoma City Thunder via the Houston Rockets.

Top Draft Prospects

Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky

Despite the devastating ACL injury this stud prospect suffered during his one-and-done season with the Wildcats, he is still a consensus top pick in the draft. Depending on which team wins the lottery, there is a solid chance Noel comes off the board at No. 1 overall.

The big man possesses a rare motor and work ethic on both ends of the court and is a fearsome shot-blocker who averaged 4.4 rejections over 24 games. Standing at 6’10” and 228 pounds, he has the size and athleticism to bang for boards and slam down ferocious dunks.

Much like Anthony Davis, the No. 1 pick out of Kentucky in 2012, Noel's offensive game is a bit raw. However, because of his outstanding work ethic on the court willingness to improve in practice, most teams will overlook that and hope to develop his low-post game over time.


Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas

McLemore has the look of a franchise scorer, meaning a club at the top of this draft should be quite happy to land him within the top-five picks.

The Jayhawks product has range well beyond the NBA three-point line, plus the athleticism and agility to knife to the hoop and finish.

He has to work on his consistency, though, as McLemore tended to disappear late in the 2012-13 season and didn’t show up in the NCAA tournament until the Sweet 16 contest against Michigan. Despite his 20-point effort (8-of-15 from the field, 4-of-8 from deep), KU fell short in overtime against Trey Burke and the Wolverines.

Regardless, because of this young man’s raw scoring talents, he’s worth a shot early on and could become one of the best scorers in the class once he becomes more reliable.


Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown

Porter is an interesting prospect, as the top-ranked 3 in 2013 isn’t much of an elite scorer.

While he’s dependable and efficient at generating buckets, he’s not going to be able to carry a team as the top option. However, because of all the other things he does well, he’s a cant-miss draft pick.

The Hoyas leaned on Porter to defend the best players out on the perimeter, clean the glass on both ends of the floor, facilitate the offense and do all the little things required to pick up wins.

He’s a perfect third or fourth guy on a contending team, which is why many experts and analysts believe he will wind up in Cleveland playing next to Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters.


Lottery Mock Draft

1. Orlando Magic: Trey Burke, PG, Michigan

2. Charlotte Bobcats: Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky

3. Cleveland Cavaliers: Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown

4. Phoenix Suns: Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas

5. New Orleans Hornets: Anthony Bennett, PF, UNLV

6. Sacramento Kings: Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana

7. Detroit Pistons: Shabazz Muhammad, SF, UCLA

8. Washington Wizards: Giannis Adetokunbo, SF, Greece

9. Minnesota Timberwolves: Gary Harris, SG, Michigan State

10. Portland Trail Blazers: Alex Len, C, Maryland

11. Philadelphia 76ers: Cody Zeller, C, Indiana

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Toronto): Mitch McGary, PF, Michigan

13. Dallas Mavericks: Glenn Robinson III, SF, Michigan

14. Utah Jazz: Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse