UFC 150 Predictions: A Fan's Guide to the Entire Fight Card
UFC 150 goes down this Saturday in Denver, Colorado. The main event is a rematch between lightweight champion Benson Henderson and the last man to hold the belt, Frankie Edgar. The rematch was scheduled quickly after their meeting at UFC 144, which ended in a close decision win for Henderson.
Once the full card is in the books, it will have chewed through six or seven hours of prime Saturday evening real estate. I personally can't think of anything better to do on a Saturday night than hole up in a basement with no company besides a Twitter feed and some pretzel chips. But I do know there are a few fringe types who like human contact and fresh air and crap. They want to DVR first and ask questions later. This slideshow's for them.
This is a ranking of the entire fight card, from Facebook to finale, ordered from the most boring matchup to the most exciting. Information on where to watch and plenty of wild speculation also included.
10. Nik Lentz vs. Eiji Mitsuoka
1 of 10Featherweight bout
See it on: Facebook
Nik Lentz's wrestling should control Eiji Mitsuoka and keep the Pepsi Center decibel meter on flatline.
9. Dennis Bermudez vs. Tommy Hayden
2 of 10Featherweight bout
See it on: FX
Tommy Hayden has the skills to submit Dennis Bermudez. But he doesn't have the power. Bermudez by smother.
8. Jake Shields vs. Ed Herman
3 of 10Middleweight bout
See it on: Pay-per-view
Ed "Short Fuse" Herman has a good career and an even better nickname. He has three straight wins since returning from a major knee injury. But he still doesn't have that signature UFC win.
Herman can rectify that against Jake Shields, who with this fight is moving back to middleweight but will likely remain, in technical parlance, boring. First, he throws out a few jabs like a schoolboy batting at a snake. Then he takes you down, lies on top of you, and makes goo eyes at the clock like it's a Brazilian beach volleyball player.
Shields gets away with it thanks to a ground game par excellence. Herman can hold his own on the mats, but to win this one he'll need to stop the grind before it starts. Does his takedown defense function at this level? That's probably the key question.
Here's hoping Herman can stay upright. That would make this an exciting fight, and could mean a career-defining victory. Nevertheless, the low ranking shows my cautious pessimism about Herman's prospects.
7. Ken Stone vs. Erik Perez
4 of 10Bantamweight bout
See it on: FX
When last we saw Erik Perez, he was winning his first UFC fight by submission, despite the fact that his opponent, John Albert, didn't actually, you know, submit.
Here's my big question about that whole situation: what's the big deal? All you haters and malcontents are just a bunch of mindless bean counters. Referee Kim Winslow doesn't care for your hoops, sir. The Valkryie of the Octagon need not abide by some Nevada bureaucrat's "rules." Winslow stopped the fight when she damn well pleased. And I, for one, applaud her. Score one for The Founding Fathers, that's what I say.
A fighter named Ken Stone is also involved in this fight.
6. Dustin Pague vs. Chico Camus
5 of 10Bantamweight bout
See it on: FX
This could be an exciting fight, but there's not a whole lot at stake. It's a common challenge facing many of today's undercards, from what my sources tell me.
Chico Camus is a product of the Duke Roufus camp, which is not exactly known for coaching charges into boring fights. But this is Camus' UFC debut. Dustin Pague, probably best known for competing on The Ultimate Fighter season 14, has only gone the distance twice in his 17-fight career, and he has never won in that situation. Pague should find a way to throw a submission on the green Wisconsinite.
5. Jared Hamman vs. Michael Kuiper
6 of 10Middleweight bout
See it on: FX
Dang...this undercard is like the March of the No-Names.
Michael Kuiper has six of 11 wins by T/KO, but back in February lost to Rafael Natal in his first UFC fight. Veteran Jared Hamman (13-4, 2-3 UFC) is fairly new to middleweight. He can also grow a pretty mean mustache. X-factor? You decide.
In the meantime, unless Kuiper can get his hands going, this is a ground-and-pound decision win for Hamman.
4. Yushin Okami vs. Buddy Roberts
7 of 10Middleweight bout
See it on: Pay-per-view
Yushin Okami has to win again at some point. Right? Against Buddy Roberts, if Okami remembers to dance with the horse that brung him (takedowns, sticking, moving), he should get back on the right side of the column.
3. Justin Lawrence vs. Max Holloway
8 of 10Featherweight bout
See it on: Pay-per-view
The combined record between these two fighters is 9-1. Perhaps more noteworthy, though, is their combined age: 42. Even added together, they're still a year younger than Kazushi Sakuraba, the same age as Dan Henderson (as of August 24), and only a year older than Vladimir Matyushenko.
These are young guys, is what I'm saying. They're also pretty bright prospects who love to set off the fireworks. Both attack from all points. TUF alum Justin Lawrence will bring his hammer, Max Holloway will bring his scalpel. May the best weapon win.
I like Holloway, but he may be a bit overhyped at this juncture. Could be time for a market correction. Either way, the winner probably stands on a much faster track than he did before UFC 150. This collision could net Knockout or even Fight of the Night.
2. Donald Cerrone vs. Melvin Guillard
9 of 10Lightweight bout
See it on: Pay-per-view
There's always one fight that completely exhausts the MMA media's narrative reserves long before fight night rolls around. This time, it's Donald Cerrone and Melvin Guillard.
Two men who love to bang. Two friends and former teammates. Fighting in front of Cerrone's home crowd. The power of Melvin Guillard versus the submission defense of Melvin Guillard.
But story lines or no, this should be a great one. Keep the blinking to a minimum.
1. Benson Henderson vs. Frankie Edgar
10 of 10Lightweight bout
(for the UFC lightweight championship)
See it on: Pay-per-view
Edgar's a great fighter. He's a smart fighter. He's a gutsy fighter. His gas tank and bag of tricks both will be brimming over for this rematch Saturday night.
It's not going to matter. Plenty of folks are picking Edgar, and it's tough to root against that outcome. But Benson Henderson has that tiny little advantage known in fight circles as I'm Bigger and Stronger Than You. In the end, it might be close, but Edgar, as before, won't quite be able to dash himself against the cliffs enough times to tear them down.
If you thought that drum beat for an Edgar move to featherweight was loud before, wait until you fire up your computer Sunday morning.
Scott Harris is a featured columnist for Bleacher Report MMA and a regular contributor to the site's Caged In blog. He also has a new and reasonably entertaining Twitter feed; follow along @ScottHarrisMMA.


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