2012 NFL Season: Denver Broncos Over-Under Questionnaire
The Denver Broncos are coming off one of their most active and interesting offseasons in recent memory. With all the changes made and new pieces now in place, what can we expect from the revamped Broncos in 2012?
Last year they won the division with an 8-8 record behind Tim Tebow, however, with one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time behind center, eight wins isn't going to impress Denver fans or the rest of the country.
Regardless of whether or not it's reasonable, expectations are high for the Broncos this time around, and as always, the question of just what kind of numbers this team is capable of compiling is up for debate.
In the spirit of sports analysis, I'll take an over-under statistical question, answer it and then defend my position.
As always, disagreements are encouraged.
Over-Under Peyton Manning: 30 Passing Touchdowns
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Manning will fall short of the 30-touchdown marker for the simple fact the Broncos are still going to be a strong running team.
They were the No. 1 rushing attack in the league last year, and Mike McCoy will continue to build on that success even without Tim Tebow.
This isn't to discount Manning's effectiveness. He'll give McGahee and Ronnie Hillman great field position to be sure, and he should toss around 25 touchdown passes when it's all said and done.
Over-Under Willis McGahee: 1,200 Rushing Yards
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I know it seems a little counter intuitive to give McGahee more rushing yards with a Manning team than he had with a Tebow team. Consider, though, that under Manning's passing attack, Denver is likely to be playing with a lead more often, something they didn't do a lot of in 2011.
If McGahee can get to 1,199 yards on a team that played from behind most of the year, expect him to eclipse that mark by picking up some run-out-the-clock yardage.
Over-Under Eric Decker: 10 Touchdowns
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If Eric Decker eclipses the 10-touchdown mark it will likely be due to some ineffectiveness on the part of Demaryius Thomas and Jacob Tamme.
Decker was good in 2011, but it's still yet to be seen whether he'll be a "prime target" for Peyton Manning. Look for Thomas and Tamme to get more passes thrown in their direction.
Over-Under Von Miller: 12 Sacks
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If he stays healthy, this is an easy call. Even with a cast on his arm, Miller proved to be effective. He's the real deal, and with a full offseason to prepare, he should be a force to be reckoned with on most passing downs.
Again, this is assuming he plays injury free. A lot of his success will also have to do with the pass rushing of Elvis Dumervil and how well Denver's run defense holds up.
If the Broncos run defense can hold and force opponents to throw the ball, Miller should have no trouble surpassing the 11.5 sacks he totaled in his rookie season.
Over Under Denver Broncos: 10 Wins
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The Broncos have built their team to win now, and with an enviable mix of young talent and veteran leadership, they should be a lock to improve on last year's record and hit double digits in the win column.
The logic is simply that if Tebow could quarterback the Broncos to eight wins, Manning should certainly be able to get them to 10.
Though until that actually happens, it's pure speculation. It's also worth considering that the Broncos have the second-toughest schedule in the league behind the Giants.
John Elway wants to win, and he believes he's got the ingredients to do it. Considering the skill he's managed to put together in the Mile High City, no one should be surprised if the Broncos both meet and exceed expectations.
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