Way-too-Early Look at Top 25 MLB Free Agents of the 2024-25 Offseason
Baseball's next free-agent class is going to have not one, but two hard acts to follow.
The 2022-23 offseason was a record-setting bonanza that resulted in $3.7 billion worth of investments in free agents. The 2023-24 offseason hasn't been that lucrative for everyone, but it has seen the first $700 million contract and the longest deal ever for a pitcher.
Yet none of the above is an excuse not to look forward to the free-agent class of 2024-25, which will be loaded.
To illustrate the point, I scanned the list of players slated to hit next winter's market and ranked the 25 best of the best. Talent mattered, but so did such things as age, injury history and positional scarcity.
The list does contain some players who have options for 2025 but who can fairly be expected to hit free agency. Note that Gerrit Cole, who has a unique player option, is not one of them. Neither is Justin Verlander, who's a fair bet to trigger a vesting option for 2025.
In any case, let's count 'em down.
Note: All WAR projections for 2024 are courtesy of ZiPS.
25. LHP Tanner Scott, Miami Marlins
1 of 25
Age: 29
2023 Stats: 74 G, 26 GF, 78.0 IP, 53 H (3 HR), 104 K, 24 BB, 2.31 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 0.9
Tanner Scott always had good stuff prior to 2023. What he too often didn't have was even an inkling of where the ball was going at any given moment.
That changed last season. Whereas the lefty averaged 5.8 walks per nine innings in his first six seasons, he averaged only 2.8 free passes in '23. In effect, he stopped beating himself and put that onus on the hitter.
They, uh, didn't do so well. Tasked with hitting Scott's 96.9 mph average fastball and wipeout slider, they batted only .191 against him. And of the 53 hits he gave up, only 14 went for extra bases.
The worry here is whether Scott's control improvement will prove to be temporary, in which case he won't even be on such a list when next winter comes. But if he does pick up where he left off in 2024, he'll go into free agency as one of the best relievers available for hire.
24. RHP Paul Sewald, Arizona Diamondbacks
2 of 25
Age: 33
2023 Stats: 65 G, 47 GF, 60.2 IP, 46 H (8 HR), 80 K, 24 BB, 3.12 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 0.4
Paul Sewald has averaged 92.4 mph on his four-seam fastball across the last three seasons. Among all qualified relievers, that's only tied for 170th.
As such, sixth among relievers in fastball value probably isn't where one would expect to find Sewald for this span. That he does rank there speaks to the power of VAA, or Vertical Approach Angle.
Of course, Sewald also chucks a sweeper that's held hitters to sub-.200 batting averages in each of the last three seasons. These two weapons have been more than enough as he's racked up a 2.95 ERA and 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings overall.
This leaves just two caveats. For one, the righty will turn 34 on May 26. And for two, he's been prone to the long ball in allowing 1.3 per nine innings since 2021. Just ask Corey Seager. He knows.
23. RHP Clay Holmes, New York Yankees
3 of 25
Age: 30
2023 Stats: 66 G, 41 GF, 63.0 IP, 51 H (2 HR), 71 K, 23 BB, 2.86 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 0.4
Clay Holmes never amounted to much as a Pirate, but the Yankees must have looked at him and thought, "Hey, that guy with the high-90s turbo-sinker could actually be good."
And good he has been in two-plus seasons in the Bronx. Holmes has made 153 appearances as a Yankee and pitched to a 2.50 ERA. His rate of 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings underscores how hard he is to hit, but it's also crucial that he's hard to hit well.
Holmes' 70.6 ground-ball percentage over the last two seasons is the lowest of any pitcher with at least 100 innings. He's also tied with Jason Foley for the lowest home run rate at 0.28 per nine innings.
The catch is that Holmes has worn down in the second half in each of the last two seasons, which only makes it easier to wonder if he's unlikely to age well. All the same, he stands to be a top option for teams in need of a closer next winter.
22. RHP Ryan Pressly, Houston Astros
4 of 25
Age: 35
2023 Stats: 65 G, 56 GF, 65.1 IP, 54 H (8 HR), 74 K 16 BB, 3.58 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 0.6
Of all the things that have ever been foreseeable, the Astros turning Ryan Pressly into a shutdown reliever is up there among the most foreseeable.
He arrived in Houston with an established ability to spin the heck out of the ball, and that ability has since been fully unlocked. The righty's 283 appearances as an Astro have yielded a 2.67 ERA and 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
Pressly is 35 years old, however, and last year hinted that age may be getting to him. His 3.58 ERA is his highest as an Astro, while his rate of 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings is his new low as an Astro.
Yet even if Pressly's results weren't as good last season, such things as his fastball velocity, his spin rates and especially his Stuff+ remained A-OK. As long as that remains the case in 2024, he'll have cause to reject his $14 million mutual option and enter free agency.
21. C Danny Jansen, Toronto Blue Jays
5 of 25
Age: 28
2023 Stats: 86 G, 301 PA, 17 HR, 0 SB, .228 AVG, .312 OBP, .474 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.3
Danny Jansen hasn't been the Blue Jays' primary catcher in any of the last three seasons. That job was Reese McGuire's in 2021 and Alejandro Kirk's in 2022 and 2023.
This makes it that much more impressive that he's the ninth-most valuable offensive catcher in MLB for the last three years. An overall 120 OPS+ will do that, and underneath that is a well-rounded approach consisting of enough contact, walks and batted ball quality.
Save for his blocking, "well-rounded" also describes Jansen's defense. As such, pretty much the only thing that's really held him back is the injury bug. Per Spotrac, he's missed 186 days with injuries since 2021.
Even if that pattern persists this year, Jansen is young enough that teams could be interested in bringing him on as a primary catcher next winter. Should he prove more durable, well, probably that much more so.
20. RF Alex Verdugo, New York Yankees
6 of 25
Age: 27
2023 Stats: 142 G, 602 PA, 13 HR, 5 SB, .264 AVG, .324 OBP, .421 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.0
Unfortunately for him, the negative aspects of Alex Verdugo's reputation precede him.
He'll always be the guy for whom the Boston Red Sox traded Mookie Betts, and he just never held up his end of the deal in four mostly unspectacular seasons in Beantown. And while there are two sides to every story, his clashes with Alex Cora won't be forgotten in Boston.
And yet, it really is OK that Verdugo is just an OK player. He's technically been an above average hitter to the tune of 105 OPS+, mostly by way of his upper-level bat-to-ball skill and line-drive stroke. He's also a quality defender with an arm that baserunners must beware.
Plus, Verdugo has played in 90 percent of possible games over the last three seasons. He's thus at least a viable regular, and his youth is such that any team that thinks it can get more out of him won't necessarily be kidding itself.
19. RF Teoscar Hernández, Los Angeles Dodgers
7 of 25
Age: 31
2023 Stats: 160 G, 678 PA, 26 HR, 7 SB, .258 AVG, .305 OBP, .435 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.1
Teoscar Hernández was one of MLB's more dangerous hitters between 2020 and 2022, slugging .519 with 73 home runs over 324 games.
He obviously wasn't this guy for the Seattle Mariners last year, and even his overall numbers might understate the disappointment of the experience. Save for when he caught fire in June (.949 OPS) and August (1.050 OPS), he didn't so much as salvage a .700 OPS in any of the season's other four months.
Yet Hernández's batted ball metrics remained firmly in above-average territory, including by way of a hard-hit rate in the 90th percentile. It seems entirely possible that he was victimized by T-Mobile Park, where he had a .643 OPS compared to an .830 OPS on the road.
This is likely what the Dodgers are banking on. And if they're right, the 2024 season should be Hernández's ticket to the multi-year deal he couldn't find this winter.
18. RF Max Kepler, Minnesota Twins
8 of 25
Age: 30
2023 Stats: 130 G, 491 PA, 24 HR, 1 SB, .260 AVG, .332 OBP, .484 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.3
The 2021 and 2022 seasons were rough ones for Max Kepler. He got into only 236 games and was slightly below average offensively with a 95 OPS+.
Yet just when he seemed on his way to being Just Another Guy, Kepler had...maybe his best season ever in 2023? He may not have blasted 36 home runs like he did in 2019, but even that year he didn't have a Statcast profile as full of red like the one he had last season.
We're also talking about one of the best defensive outfielders in MLB. Since 2016, his 64 Outs Above Average are sixth among all outfielders.
Kepler will turn 31 on February 10, and any discussion of his offense must come with the caveat that he only has a .649 OPS against left-handers. The sheer Josh Reddick energy is nonetheless strong, and that could result in a fairly lucrative multi-year deal.
17. RHP Charlie Morton, Atlanta
9 of 25
Age: 40
2023 Stats: 30 GS, 163.1 IP, 150 H (14 HR), 183 K, 83 BB, 3.64 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 2.0
Charlie Morton has dropped many hints in recent years that he's close to retiring. The latest came during a fan fest in late January, when he said his kids are "ready for me to go home and stay home."
Between this and the reality that Morton is not under contract past 2024, the odds of him choosing to keep pitching in 2025 probably aren't great. But let's just assume it's a possibility, especially if he pitches well this year.
For a guy who turned 40 in November, there are shockingly few reasons to think this won't be the case. Morton has held up well enough to make at least 30 starts in each of MLB's last five full seasons, and he's still packing mid-90s heat and that hammer curveball.
If Morton does opt for one more season in 2025, his suitors will probably be Atlanta and...well, Atlanta. But even then, he might be able to net a $20 million salary for the third straight year.
16. RHP Max Scherzer, Texas Rangers
10 of 25
Age: 39
2023 Stats: 27 GS, 152.2 IP, 126 H (28 HR), 174 K, 45 BB, 3.77 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 2.4
If Max Scherzer keeps pitching beyond 2024, it won't be because he has anything left to prove. His ticket to the Hall of Fame is as good as punched.
Plus, you could hardly blame the guy if he's aware of his own mortality these days. He'll turn 40 on July 27, and he's not the iron man who averaged 219 innings from 2013 to 2018. And after surgery to repair a herniated disk, he'll only be available for roughly half the coming season.
Yet even if Scherzer so much as lives up to his 2023 campaign, he'd figure to have interested parties on next winter's market.
Though his strikeout, walk and home runs rates and his ERA were all worse than his career norms last year, his stuff still rated as above average and he maintained a solid whiff rate in the 68th percentile. Maybe he's not a No. 1 anymore, but those are hallmarks of a guy who's still a good pitcher.
15. RHP Nathan Eovaldi, Texas Rangers
11 of 25
Age: 33
2023 Stats: 25 GS, 144.0 IP, 117 H (15 HR), 132 K, 47 BB, 3.63 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 1.8
Nathan Eovaldi is at a point in his career where he probably only has so much left to give.
He's going to turn 34 on Feb. 13, and in his history are two Tommy John surgeries and neck and forearm injuries that have limited him to 45 starts across the last two seasons. And at 95.2 mph, he posted his lowest average fastball velocity since 2012 last year.
But if you want a guy who shoves, well, this is a guy who shoves. He's been 21 percent above average just in the regular season over the last four years, and anyone who's surprised that his postseason ERA is as high as 3.05 is excused. He's one of the better big-game pitchers in recent memory.
We'll see how Eovaldi holds up, but I'm assuming he wouldn't exercise his $20 million player option for 2025 even if he meets all the requisite conditions. Even if it was only for two or three years, a raise on his $17 million average salary would be in order on the open market.
14. RHP Shane Bieber, Cleveland Guardians
12 of 25
Age: 28
2023 Stats: 21 GS, 128.0 IP, 124 H (14 HR), 107 K, 34 BB, 3.80 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 3.0
Shane Bieber was the rightful winner of the AL Cy Young Award in 2020, wherein he posted a 1.63 ERA and technically achieved the highest strikeout rate ever for a qualified pitcher.
However, seasons like that are what the term "outlier" is for. The righty has been more good than great on either side of the shortened 2020 season, and he's not exactly trending in the right direction going into 2024.
Last year was his second injury-marred season out of the last three, and it's hard to excuse such things when the shoulder and elbow are involved. Meanwhile, the quality of his stuff is devolving into average-ish territory.
Yet this is still a 28-year-old with a career 3.27 ERA, and it was only in 2022 that Bieber logged 200 innings with a sub-3.00 ERA. He'll be nothing worse than a mid-rotation type next winter, and he can even put himself back in the ace conversation if his '24 season is like his '22 season.
13. RHP Walker Buehler, Los Angeles Dodgers
13 of 25
Age: 29
2023 Stats: Did not pitch
2024 WAR Projection: 3.3
Truth be told, I'm unsure what to expect from Walker Buehler in 2024.
He had Tommy John surgery for the second time in Aug. 2022, and it ended up keeping him sidelined for all of 2023. And while still good, the quality of his stuff had declined quite a bit as he was posting a 4.02 ERA in the 12 starts he did make in '22.
Yet there is the possibility that Buehler will be his normal self again this season. As in, the self who was good for sub-3.00 ERAs both in the regular season and the postseason between 2018 and 2021, with an overall Stuff+ score that ranked fourth among qualified hurlers.
The Dodgers have already delayed the start of Buehler's season, and his innings are likely to be limited when he does pitch. He's nonetheless worth dreaming on as an ace-caliber pitcher, and that may still be the case next winter even if he doesn't turn back the clock this year.
12. RF Anthony Santander, Baltimore Orioles
14 of 25
Age: 29
2023 Stats: 153 G, 656 PA, 28 HR, 5 SB, .257 AVG, .325 OBP, .472 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.6
It feels like a miracle that Anthony Santander is still a member of the Orioles. The guy was basically a walking trade rumor during the club's rebuilding years.
Yet you can hardly fault Baltimore for wanting to keep Santander around, particularly during the last two seasons. He's hit 21 more home runs than any other Oriole since the start of 2022, and he's done so with a firmly above average 120 OPS+.
Apart from the frequency with which he draws walks, there's not a whole lot in Santander's offensive profile to find fault with. He's also no worse than playable in the outfield, and maybe even better than that if one reads into his 16 Defensive Runs Saved in right field.
Factoring in that Santander is a switch-hitter who hits well from both sides, he ultimately checks a lot of boxes. Maybe even enough for a nine-figure deal if he really goes out with a bang this year.
11. 1B Christian Walker, Arizona Diamondbacks
15 of 25
Age: 32
2023 Stats: 157 G, 661 PA, 33 HR, 11 SB, .258 AVG, .333 OBP, .497 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.4
There are good defensive first basemen, and then there are Christian Walkers. And there's only one of him, for the record.
The consecutive Gold Gloves he's won have been well earned. Whereas no other first baseman has more than eight Outs Above Average for the last two seasons, Walker has 26. Among the reasons for this gap is that nobody ranges to the right like he does.
Also, he homered 29 times back in 2019 and has tallied 69 more over the last two seasons. Were it not for his modest .250 average and .329 OBP, he'd match the traditional job description for a first baseman to a proverbial T.
It's therefore too bad that he'll turn 33 on March 28, and also that he stands to share next winter's market with two even better first basemen. But if a team doesn't grant him eight figures annually in a multi-year deal, it'll be an upset.
10. 2B Gleyber Torres, New York Yankees
16 of 25
Age: 27
2023 Stats: 158 G, 672 PA, 25 HR, 13 SB, .273 AVG, .347 OBP, .453 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 3.6
Gleyber Torres had us all very excited back he was breaking in back in 2018 and 2019. The 62 home runs he hit were the most ever for a middle infielder in his first two seasons.
Looking back now, perhaps it should have been a bigger red flag that 26 percent of those homers came against the worst team in MLB at the time. This is not to say anyone could have expected him to go yard only 12 times across 2020 and 2021, but still.
To his credit, Torres has turned things around in the last two seasons and is more than deserving of optimism heading into 2024. He dramatically improved his strikeout rate last season, which only helped him tally a career-high 203 hard-hit balls.
Good defense still isn't a service that Torres provides, but any middle infielder who hits like he does should have a strong market. And especially given his youth, his could be really strong if his 2024 performance is at all reminiscent of those earlier seasons.
9. SS Willy Adames, Milwaukee Brewers
17 of 25
Age: 28
2023 Stats: 149 G, 638 PA, 24 HR, 5 SB, .217 AVG, .310 OBP, .407 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 4.1
Willy Adames is currently a member of the Milwaukee Brewers, but how long that will remain the case is anyone's guess.
What his offensive output will be this season is likewise anyone's guess. He's mostly been an above-average hitter with a 107 OPS+ for his career, yet not consistently so. It's a particularly big red flag that his two lowest OBPs have come in the last two seasons.
Yet Adames also walked in 11.1 percent of his plate appearances in 2023, and his power was sustained by a barrel rate in the 87th percentile. This is at least face-saving stuff from an offensive perspective.
As seen in his 26 Outs Above Average since 2022, Adames is otherwise one of the best defensive shortstops going. If I'm him, I'm eyeing Trevor Story and Javier Báez money (i.e., $140 million) for when I hit free agency.
8. SS/2B Ha-Seong Kim, San Diego Padres
18 of 25
Age: 28
2023 Stats: 152 G, 626 PA, 17 HR, 38 SB, .260 AVG, .351 OBP, .398 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 3.3
Ha-Seong Kim does have an $8 million mutual option for 2025, but the odds of him exercising his end of that are closer to the "none" side of the slim-none spectrum.
Only Kim and 10 others have racked up at least 5 rWAR in each of the last two seasons, which he mostly owes to his spectacular defense around the infield. His Defensive Runs Saved tallies for shortstop, second base and third base are 13, 10 and five, respectively.
Kim is a less spectacular offensive presence, but he is a well-rounded one. His .256 average for the last two seasons is hardly embarrassing in this day and age, and he's also added 28 homers and 50 stolen bases.
Put it all together, and you get a good guy to have amid MLB's new era of bigger bases and shift-less infields. Nine figures may well be possible for Kim next winter.
7. LHP Max Fried, Atlanta
19 of 25
Age: 30
2023 Stats: 14 GS, 77.2 IP, 70 H (7 HR), 80 K, 18 BB, 2.55 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 2.8
Max Fried's first order of business for 2024 is simply staying on the mound.
He had a devil of a time doing so last year, as he landed on the injured list on three separate occasions with hamstring, forearm and finger injuries. Because Fried has already had one Tommy John surgery, that middle one was the scary one.
Yet if the lefty does stay healthy this year, there's no doubt that he's going to be one of the top starting pitchers on the open market. This is a guy with a career 3.03 ERA, and even last year he excelled at basically everything in pairing his 2.55 ERA with a 2.75 expected ERA.
A season along the lines of a 2022 campaign that resulted in a second-place finish in the NL Cy Young Award voting would put Fried in line for really big money. As such, he surely has his eye on the current markets for Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery.
6. 1B Paul Goldschmidt, St. Louis Cardinals
20 of 25
Age: 36
2023 Stats: 154 G, 687 PA, 25 HR, 11 SB, .268 AVG, .363 OBP, .447 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.8
Whether Paul Goldschmidt is Hall of Fame material should have gotten less debatable when Todd Helton was selected. The two are almost exactly even in career rWAR, and Goldschmidt obviously isn't done yet.
To be sure, his 2023 campaign wasn't as impressive as a 2022 season that saw him make a run at the Triple Crown and ultimately win the National League MVP. Not counting 2011 or 2020 (fewer than 60 games played in both), it was the second-worst offensive season of his career.
But could this have been an overcorrection in luck? Though his results were dramatically different, Goldschmidt's expected results according to such things as his walks and contact quality were exactly the same in 2023 as they were in 2022.
Though he'll be 37 by the time he reaches free agency, Goldschmidt stands to be a candidate for big salaries in a multi-year deal if the luck pendulum swings back the other way this year. If not, well, it's not like he won't find a job if he wants one.
5. RHP Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies
21 of 25
Age: 33
2023 Stats: 32 GS, 192.0 IP, 168 H (20 HR), 212 K, 39 BB, 3.61 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 4.5
Zack Wheeler's sheer potential was what got him $118 million from the Phillies back in 2019, and one wonders if even they anticipated that he would become this good.
Wheeler has been good enough to lead all hurlers in both rWAR and fWAR for the last four seasons. The only thing he wasn't above average at in 2023 was getting ground balls, but he probably could rack those up if he wanted to. Indeed, he did as recently as 2020.
Wheeler's age and past Tommy John surgery loom as points of concern, but only in the abstract. His stuff is aging reasonably well, and the 629.1 innings he's pitched since 2020 are the fourth-most of any pitcher.
Despite his age, another nine-figure deal could await Wheeler next winter. All he has to do between now and then is keep doing, well, basically what he's been doing.
4. 3B Alex Bregman, Houston Astros
22 of 25
Age: 29
2023 Stats: 161 G, 724 PA, 25 HR, 3 SB, .262 AVG, .363 OBP, .441 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 4.7
There are two things about Alex Bregman that worry me.
The first is how long ago his consecutive top-five finishes in the AL MVP voting back in 2018 and 2019 feel nowadays. The second is whether his swing, which is generally meant to hit balls in the air to left field, is a little too tailored to Minute Maid Park.
At the same time, it really takes effort to force concern about Bregman. He's tallied 51 more walks than strikeouts over the last six years, and even this current version has topped an .800 OPS and 20 homers in each of the last two seasons. And as a defender, he's no worse than average at the hot corner.
As of now, I'm not sold that Bregman is a candidate for a megadeal in the mold of Trea Turner or Xander Bogaerts. But with a good enough 2024 season, that may yet change.
3. 1B Pete Alonso, New York Mets
23 of 25
Age: 29
2023 Stats: 154 G, 658 PA, 46 HR, 4 SB, .217 AVG, .318 OBP, .504 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 2.8
That's a weirdly low WAR projection for Pete Alonso, but it sort of tracks. Even just among position players, he only ranks 29th in rWAR for the last five seasons.
But let's be real here. Everyone likes home runs, and Alonso provides a lot of them. His 192 long balls since 2019 are the most of any hitter, and he's the only one to top 40 homers three times in this span.
Plus, it isn't just because he's had the good fortune to bat behind quality table-setters that Alonso has averaged 100 runs batted in (yes, even despite the shortened 2020 season) for his career. As evidenced by how 101 of his homers have come with men on base, the dude is clutch.
Jon Heyman of the New York Post reported last August that it could cost $200 million for the Mets to extend Alonso. If they refuse to do that, it won't be out of the question that somebody will pay him that sum in free agency next winter.
2. RHP Corbin Burnes, Baltimore Orioles
24 of 25
Age: 29
2023 Stats: 32 GS, 193.2 IP, 141 H (22 HR), 200 K, 66 BB, 3.39 ERA
2024 WAR Projection: 4.4
The newest member of the Orioles has been as good a pitcher as anyone since he returned to starting midway through 2020. Or better than anyone, even.
The 101 starts that Corbin Burnes has made since Aug. 18, 2020, have yielded a league-best 2.85 ERA along with a 4.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He finished in the top 10 of the NL Cy Young Award for each of the last four seasons, narrowly winning it over Wheeler in 2021.
Only against a backdrop as strong as Burnes' 2020, 2021 and 2022 seasons could a campaign like the one he had last year be considered a disappointment. But lest anyone think he's losing anything, his under-the-hood metrics remained broadly excellent and he topped all qualified hurlers in Stuff+.
Burnes seems excited to hit free agency and, well, why wouldn't he be? Between Gerrit Cole and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, $300 million deals for pitchers are no longer unheard of.
1. LF Juan Soto, New York Yankees
25 of 25
Age: 25
2023 Stats: 162 G, 708 PA, 32 HR, 12 SB, .275 AVG, .410 OBP, .519 SLG
2024 WAR Projection: 5.8
Teams have a history of being enthusiastic when a bona fide superstar reaches free agency in his mid-20s. Just ask Alex Rodriguez, Bryce Harper, Manny Machado and Yamamoto.
Soon enough, Juan Soto will also be able to vouch. To be more precise, it'll be next winter after he signs a free-agent contract that could exceed $500 million.
It may sound like a lot, but is it really for a player like Soto? Say what you will about his lack of value on the bases and in the field, but we're ultimately talking about one of six hitters to ever rack up 160 homers and a .400 OBP through just his age-24 season.
While there is logic to the notion that Yankee Stadium won't help Soto, you'll have to look elsewhere for someone who buys that. The odds of him achieving his first 40-homer season seem pretty good. Suffice it to say such a thing wouldn't hurt his cause in free agency.
Stats courtesy of Baseball Reference, FanGraphs and Baseball Savant.
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