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NFL Picks Week 17: Odds Every Road Team Leaves with a Win

Chris TrapassoDec 29, 2011

How about a quick rundown of the Week 17 schedule to examine the chances every road team has to leave with a win? 

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints 

Both clubs are coming off beatdowns of NFC South rivals in Week 16. Cam Newton has 34 total touchdowns this year and is the brightest young star in the league. Drew Brees can seemingly do no wrong. 

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Talk about an entertaining game. 

However, the Saints don't lose at home.

Panthers' chance at victory: 20 percent

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots 

The Bills finally snapped their seven-game losing streak last week against the Denver Broncos, and the Patriots are on a seven-game winning streak. 

With the emergence of C.J. Spiller, Buffalo's offensive attack is returning to respectability. 

Although their defense stymied Tim Tebow on Christmas Eve, they face Tom Brady this week, at home. 

Bills' chance at victory: 35 percent

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

An NFC North stink-fest to end the season. No Jay Cutler, no Matt Forte and no Adrian Peterson. Yikes. The Bears secondary is susceptible and Christian Ponder is due for a big game.

Not too many storylines in this one.

Bears' chance at victory: 45 percent

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins

The Jets are desperately clinging to faint playoff hopes and face a respectable Dolphins team to end the season.

Mark Sanchez has been the subject of harsh criticism over the last two weeks and it has been well deserved. The defense hasn't been much better, either.

No. 6 will bounce back, but won't shred the Dolphins secondary largely because Miami has legitimate pass rushers that'll fluster him on more than one occasion.

Jets' chance at victory: 50 percent

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams

Let's make this quick. The Rams average less than 12 points per game. The 49ers defense allows 13.5 points per contest.

Not going to be pretty for St. Louis.

49ers' chance at victory: 95 percent

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers 

Matthew Stafford and the rest of the Lions' starters will play the whole game against the Packers, while Aaron Rodgers won't play for the contest's entirety.

Advantage, Detroit.

Right? 

Lions' chance at victory: 60 percent

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 

The Eagles were the league's most stunning disappointment this season, but they aren't a bad team by any means. They're extremely explosive and have played much better of late.

Rex Grossman is truly a roller-coaster quarterback, and I could say the same about the Redskins' defense. 

Redskins' chance at victory: 45 percent

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars 

Watch out for those Indianapolis Colts. Peyton Manning, who? They've got Dan Orlovsky.

It'll be interesting how this game plays out—with a win, the Colts could potentially miss out on the No. 1 pick and the chance to draft Andrew Luck. 

Colts' chance at victory: 60 percent

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

The Texans are the AFC South champs, but they certainly haven't looked the part over the last two weeks. A loss to the Colts? Peyton Mann...I mean Dan Orlovsky was under center, so we can't blame them. T.J. Yates needs to step his game up, fast. 

The Titans would love to get some more production from preseason whiner Chris Johnson, but have a solid defense and receive efficient quarterback play from Matt Hasselbeck

Titans' chance at victory: 65 percent

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals 

Both clubs returned to respectability over the last two months of the season and have picked up some quality wins in the process. 

Marshawn Lynch has been the best back in football over that stretch, and John Skelton has performed admirably as Kevin Kolb's replacement. 

This game's a toss-up, really. 

Seahawks' chance at victory: 50 percent

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos 

Lots of subplots in this one. 

Kyle Orton against his former team and the guy, Tim Tebow, that took his job in Denver. 

A win, and the Broncos host a playoff game. 

A loss, and the Oakland Raiders could sneak in to the postseason. 

Orton's added a much-needed spark to the KC offense while Tebow has been exposed over the last two weeks. 

Chiefs' chance at victory: 65 percent

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons 

Despite being destroyed by the Saints in Week 16, the Falcons are still a very good team. The Buccaneers are not. They've lost a whopping nine straight games and their defense has gotten increasingly worse as the season has progressed. 

Big day for Atlanta's offense. 

Buccaneers' chance at victory: 15 percent

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals 

The Bengals finally sold out their stadium. Good for them. With a victory, the Bengals are in the playoffs. If the Ravens win, they'll lock up the AFC North title and could even move into the top seed of the AFC, giving them home-field advantage throughout the postseason. 

These teams battled earlier in the season and the Ravens snuck out of Cincinnati with a 31-24 win. Should be an extremely physical affair. 

Ravens' chance at victory: 50 percent

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns 

It doesn't matter if Ben Roethlisberger plays or if he's on the bench nursing his injured ankle. The Steelers are the far superior club that will have no issue locking down the Browns' pedestrian offense. However, Seneca Wallace does bring a little excitement to the quarterback position due to his mobility. 

Don't be shocked if Rashard Mendenhall runs wild. 

Steelers' chance at victory: 80 percent

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders 

The Raiders need to beat the Chargers and get help to win the AFC West or slide into that final wild-card spot. The Chargers are eliminated from postseason contention but certainly don't want to end the year on a sour note. 

Who does, right? 

Which Carson Palmer will we see? 

Chargers' chance at victory: 60 percent

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants 

Anyone else pumped for this one? I am. A colossal amount of pressure in MetLife Stadium over the last two weeks. Awesome. Perfect for the Big Apple.

These teams are so evenly matched it's hard to pick a winner. Eli Manning has played great, as has Tony Romo. The receiving contingents are spectacular and the defenses show flashes of dominance. 

Down the wire for the NFC East title. 

Cowboys' chance at victory: 45 percent

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