Speculation is that Ryan Nugent-Hopkins will be the top pick in this weekend's 2011 NHL Draft, but how accurate are those assessments?
Over the days that follow, there will be a lot more speculation about which team did best. But the draft is hardly an exact science, and the reality is one cannot know the value of a pick for years.
For instance, two of the San Jose Sharks leaders in ice time in the 2011 playoffs, Ian White (click the following link to see why the team should re-sign him) and Dan Boyle, were taken with the 191st pick and undrafted, respectively. Fellow top-four defenceman Douglas Murray was drafted in the eighth round.
But after five years, one has a pretty good assessment of who was worth what. With that in mind, we revisit the 2006 draft and assess how the first round may have gone had we known then what we know now.
CORRECTION: The Seabrook taken 52nd was Keith, not Brent. With the third-best player of this draft rated there based on that mistake, he has been dropped.
Thus, the other picks have been elevated one spot each, and the above-pictured centre Jiri Tlusty moves up to 30th. The 13th pick in the draft has played in 149 career games (21st in this draft) with 17 goals (21st), 21 assists (tied for 20th), 38 points (23rd) and a minus-11 rating (15th).