
NBA Mock Draft 2018: 1st-Round Predictions and Elite Prospects Breakdown
Feel free to use a Sharpie to write in Deandre Ayton atop the 2018 NBA draft.
The Arizona standout has a near-universal stranglehold on the top spot in the mock-drafting world. B/R's Jonathan Wasserman, ESPN.com's Jonathan Givony and SI.com's Jeremy Woo all have Ayton occupying their No. 1 draft slot.
That's about where the consensus stops for this seemingly stacked prospect class, though. There might be a handful of names who could get called second without shocking the Association.
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We'll lay out our latest mock draft below and spotlight the top five players on our draft board.
2018 NBA Mock Draft
1. Phoenix Suns:Ā DeandreĀ Ayton, C, Arizona
2. Sacramento Kings:Ā MarvinĀ BagleyĀ III, PF/C, Duke
3. Atlanta Hawks:Ā JarenĀ Jackson Jr., C, Michigan State
4. Memphis Grizzlies:Ā LukaĀ Doncic,Ā SG, Slovenia
5. Dallas Mavericks:Ā MohamedĀ Bamba, C, Texas
6. Orlando Magic:Ā TraeĀ Young, PG, Oklahoma
7. Chicago Bulls:Ā Wendell Carter, C, Duke
8. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Nets):Ā Michael Porter Jr., SF/PF, Missouri
9. New York Knicks:Ā MikalĀ Bridges, SF, Villanova
10. Philadelphia 76ers:Ā Lonnie Walker,Ā SG, Miami
11. Charlotte Hornets:Ā Collin Sexton, PG, Alabama
12. Los Angeles Clippers (via Pistons):Ā ShaiĀ Gilgeous-Alexander, PG, Kentucky
13. Los Angeles Clippers:Ā Robert Williams, C, Texas A&M
14. Denver Nuggets:Ā Miles Bridges, SF/PF, Michigan State
15. Washington Wizards:Ā Kevin Knox, SF, Kentucky
16. Phoenix Suns (via Heat):Ā ZhaireĀ Smith, SF, Texas Tech
17. Milwaukee Bucks:Ā Aaron Holiday, PG, UCLA
18. San Antonio Spurs:Ā KevinĀ Huerter,Ā SG, Maryland
19. Atlanta Hawks (via Timberwolves): Elie Okobo, PG, France
20. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Thunder): Donte DiVincenzo, SG, Villanova
21. Utah Jazz:Ā KeitaĀ Bates-Diop, SF/PF, Ohio State
22. Chicago Bulls (via Pelicans):Ā Chandler Hutchison, SF, Boise State
23. Indiana Pacers: Troy Brown, SF, Oregon
24. Portland Trail Blazers:Ā DzananĀ Musa,Ā SG/SF, Bosnia and Herzegovina
25. Los Angeles Lakers (via Cavs):Ā Mitchell Robinson, C, USA
26. Philadelphia 76ers:Ā Jerome Robinson, SG, Boston College
27. Boston Celtics:Ā KhyriĀ Thomas,Ā SG, Creighton
28. Golden State Warriors:Ā Melvin Frazier, SF, Tulane
29. Brooklyn Nets (via Raptors):Ā Moritz Wagner, PF/C, Michigan
30. Atlanta Hawks (via Rockets):Ā Jacob Evans,Ā SG/SF, Cincinnati
Top-Five Breakdown
1. Phoenix SunsāDeandre Ayton
Ayton's elite physical gifts alone would garner consideration for the top spot. But the fact he's also this skilled at 19 years oldā20.1 points, 11.6 rebounds per game as a freshmanāis what cements his place at No. 1.
This is the best-player-available strategy, but it also fills a need for Phoenix. Despite making major investments in the center position (the fifth overall pick on Alex Len, $52 million on Tyson Chandler), the Suns have had a glaring void on the interior. With Len bound for free agency and Chandler entering his age-36 season, this is the perfect time for Phoenix to pounce on a big man.
If Ayton doesn't turn his No. 1 draft slot into a Rookie of the Year award, it won't be for a lack of opportunity.
2. Sacramento KingsāMarvin Bagley III
There are questions regarding how Bagleyāand a bunch of other prospects in this classāwill defend at the NBA level. But there's a more pressing issue in Sacramento:Ā Who's going to score?
Zach Randolph, 36 years old and never a great athlete, paced the 55-loss team with 14.5 points per game this season. If that number sounds underwhelming, that's because it is. Fifty-seven qualified players averaged at least that many points, a group that included four different players on the Nuggets and 76ers.
Bagley would immediately juice the Kings' 29th-ranked offense. He not only averaged 21 points on 61.4 percent shooting as a freshman, he was also the high scoring man on the country's third-most efficient attack.
3. Atlanta HawksāJaren Jackson Jr.
The Hawks are in an interesting position. They're new enough to the rebuilding game that they're essentially forced to take the top available talent. But since they're so devoid of young talent, they'dĀ reallyĀ like to land a frontcourt piece who fits alongside John Collins, a flashy finisher who doesn't consistently hit jumpers or block shots.
It's possible Atlanta sees Jackson as both its highest-ranked prospect at this point and the one who would work best with Collins.
Jackson's numbers can seem deceptively low if you don't know where to look. Clubs aren't typically tripping over themselves for a nightly supplier of 10.9 points and 5.8 rebounds. But the 18-year-oldā19 in Decemberāshines brightest where Atlanta would need him most. His per-40-minute marks included 5.5 blocks and two triples, he hit 39.6 percent of his long-range looks and comfortably defended in space.
4. Memphis GrizzliesāLuka Doncic
If Doncic slips past Atlanta, NBA Commissioner Adam Silver might announce two picks in a single trip. That's how quickly the Grizzlies should snatch up Doncic, who's both an opening-night contributor and potentially a long-term star.
Some will question his athleticism and whether he can create the separation needed to be a featured scorer. Memphis, on the other hand, will see the massive appeal of his advanced feel, elite passing and three-point potential.
The Grizzlies don't want to wait on player development. Marc Gasol and Mike Conley are on the wrong side of 30 and two of three players on the payroll with $24 million-plus salaries for 2018-19. Doncic's EuroLeague MVP and Final Four MVP highlight both his immediate impact and impressive upside.
5. Dallas MavericksāMohamed Bamba
Great news, Dallasāyour years-long center search is over.
As soon as Bamba becomes a Maverick, he'd literally be their big man on campus, thanks to a comically long 7'10" wingspan. He'd also be an explosive pick-and-roll partner for Dennis Smith Jr. and defensive insurance behind the aging-but-still-going Dirk Nowitzki.
Statistics used courtesy of Sports-Reference.com, NBA.com and KenPom.com. Salary information obtained via Basketball Insiders.
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