Week 15 NFL Picks: Gauging the Least Likely Upset Scenarios

Upset season hasn't entirely wound down—though the regular season is—but as we get into the latter part of the year, a big upset is harder and harder to come by.

Teams that are good are really, really good and the dregs of the league just don't have what it takes to topple them after being ground down for so many weeks. Here are three heavily outmatched teams that won't pull the upset victory in Week 15.

Kansas City Chiefs (vs. Green Bay Packers)

The Kansas City Chiefs are in bad shape. Head coach Todd Haley was fired earlier this week. Interim head coach and defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel is going to start either Kyle Orton or Ricky Stanzi in place of the terrible Tyler Palko.

Now they have the league's only undefeated team, the Green Bay Packers, coming to town this Sunday.

In their last six games, the Chiefs have been outscored 142 to 37 and have lost all but one of those games. In that same span, the Packers have put up 241 points of their own. There's no way the Chiefs can pull off an upset this week; it would take an unheard of collapse by the Packers for that to happen, and the odds of that aren't so good either.

St. Louis Rams (vs. Cincinnati Bengals)

While both the St. Louis Rams and Cincinnati Bengals are on losing streaks—St. Louis dropped their last four; the Bengals their last two—it doesn't indicate that the Bengals are in danger of being on the losing end of an upset this Sunday.

The Bengals are in the middle of the pack when it comes to offensive rushing and passing yardage, but the Rams are managing less than 300 yards of total offense per game. No matter which quarterback is under center, the team is simply unable to get anything going in the air.

The team's best asset is running back Steven Jackson, but even his usually-prodigious production has been held down simply because defenses know who to stop.

With the St. Louis defense giving up an average of 365.6 yards per game—nearly 157 of those on the ground—and only managing a single 30-point game this season, it shouldn't be hard for the far superior Bengals to best them this week.

Chicago Bears (vs. Seattle Seahawks)

Though the 6-7 Seattle Seahawks are hardly world-beaters, the Chicago Bears are in a bad state of affairs. Without quarterback Jay Cutler and running back Matt Forte, the Bears have lost their last three games in a row.

They have scored just 33 points in that time and are averaging under 300 yards per game.

Thanks primarily to an excellent effort by running back Marshawn Lynch, the Seahawks have won two games in a row and four of their last five, including a 22-17 victory over the Baltimore Ravens, who boast a stronger defense than the Bears.

The Seahawks managed that win by taking advantage of mistakes made by Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco. Look for them to capitalize similarly when they face the Bears' sinking Caleb Hanie, sealing them the win and staving off the upset.