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Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Eric BowmanNov 25, 2011

The Buffalo Bills will look to get revenge on the New York Jets this Sunday, in a game that has huge playoff implications. 

Both teams need a win, but the Bills need it much more. Having lost three games in a row, the Bills will struggle to find success for the rest of the season should they lose to New York. 

Buffalo has ruined its great start, but a win over the Jets would give the Bills a great boost of confidence moving forward. The Jets, on the other hand, can't afford to lose anymore, or their shot at the playoffs will disappear. 

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With that said, lets dig into some specifics of this AFC East showdown. 

When: Sunday, Nov. 27 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Watch: CBS

Spread

The Jets are favored at -9, and they're going to cover. They had no problem taking care of business at Buffalo, and they'll be just fine on Sunday against a depleting Bills team. 

Over/Under 

The over/under is set at 41.5, and I like the over here. New York's offense will wake up and its defense will clamp down on the Bills, who will be without their top player. 

Mark Sanchez will make sure his team rebounds, connecting with Santonio Holmes and Plaxico Burress on a number of occasions. 

Key Injuries 

For the Bills, RB Fred Jackson (leg) is out and headed to the IR. WR's Steve Johnson (shoulder) and David Nelson (illness) are probable. Kicker Rian Lindell (shoulder) is also out.

For the Jets, RB LaDainian Tomlinson (knee) is questionable. RB Shonn Greene (rib), QB Mark Sanchez (neck) and DT Kenrick Ellis (ankle) are probable for Sunday. 

Fantasy Big Plays 

With Fred Jackson out, CJ Spiller becomes a big sleeper here. The Jets are decent against the run, and the Bills will look to Spiller to elevate his game to new heights. I think he has an okay game, but the potential for a monster game is certainly there. 

Plaxico Burress is starting to become a solid weapon for Sanchez, and since Buffalo is ranked 25th in the NFL against the pass, both he and Santonio Homes will have a solid game. 

Since Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to be on the decline, Steve Johnson needs to remain on your bench. He has a total of 24 receiving yards in his last two games, and hasn't caught a touchdown pass in his last four games.

Yes, Buffalo will be passing much more, but Johnson has become non-existent in the fantasy world, and the Jets talented corner-backs will keep him in check.  

Keys to Buffalo Win 

The Bills have to get success on the ground, or they are doomed. If there is no ground game, there will be much more pressure placed on Fitzpatrick, which won't end well. 

Fitzpatrick has only thrown for over 265 yards once this season. He's averaging 33 attempts per game, and that number is likely to be closer to 40 without Jackson, meaning he needs to be on his A-game. 

The Bills defense knows it has to step up and make big plays, but if the offense gives no support, Buffalo doesn't stand a chance. 

Keys to New York Win 

Mark Sanchez has to play mistake-free football, or the Bills will be able to hang around. Eliminating turnovers is key for New York, as well as precision passing from the Jets' star QB.

If Sanchez has an off game, the Bills will be in this game for all four quarters. New York's pass defense also has to be on their A-game because they're going to see a lot of action. 

With a weak Bills run game, the Jets know what is coming, they just have to execute. 

Prediction 

Jets 30, Bills 17 

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