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NASCAR Ford 400: Tony Stewart Will Pull off Most Dramatic Win in NASCAR History

Richard Langford@@noontide34Correspondent INovember 20, 2011

HOMESTEAD, FL - NOVEMBER 19:  Tony Stewart, driver of the #14 Office Depot/Mobil 1 Chevrolet, sits in his car during qualifying for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Ford 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 19, 2011 in Homestead, Florida.  (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images for NASCAR)
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Tony Stewart is going to edge out Carl Edwards in the Ford 400 and give NASCAR it's most thrilling finish to a season ever.Β 

Only three points separates Stewart from Edwards in the Sprint Chase for the Cup. Stewart is currently trailing Edwards, but that means very little. Sunday, it is winner takes all.

And just like the margin between them, this race is going to be close, and it will be historically memorable.Β 

Historical Perspective

Only once has the points race been closer going into the final race. In 1979, Richard Petty trailed Darrell Waltrip by two points.

The King overtook Waltrip for the crown by finishing fifth to Waltrip's eighth.

Both Edwards and Stewart will finish in the top five today. They have been head and shoulders above all the other drivers during this Chase run, and that trend has only grown stronger as the Chase has gone on.

Homestead-Miami Speedway Resume

Both of these drivers have won twice on this track.

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However, Stewart last won here in 2000 and the track was configured differently then. Both of Edwards wins came when the track was configured as it is now.

Why Stewart Will Win

This is going to be close. However, I am giving the edge to the explosive Stewart over the consistent Edwards.Β 

Stewart and his crew are feeling confident about their car on raceday, and that bodes well for Smoke.

They have taken the checkered in four out of nine races in this Chase. When their car is strong, they are winning.

Stewart has the championship pedigree. He has been here before, and he certainly has the attitude that will give him the edge.

Here is a glimpse of Stewart's mindset entering this race.

Prediction: Stewart 2nd, Edwards 4th

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