Los Angeles Dodgers: The Odds on Each of Their 25 Players Returning Next Year

Despite being one of the biggest spenders in the National League every season, the Dodgers haven't been able to find the right formula for success.

They've created several okay, but not really good, and definitely not great teams since their 1988 World Series winning team.

They won 82 games last year, which kept them over .500 and actually increased their win total from the year before.

The Dodgers have a solid nucleus with Clayton Kershaw, Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier, but management is going to need to make some changes in the offseason if they want to compete with the surging Arizona Diamondbacks, always tough San Francisco Giants and unpredictable Colorado Rockies.

They have several free agents-to-be on their roster, so let's take a look at who may stay and who may go.

Hiroki Kuroda: 40 Percent

My guess is that Kuroda actually returns home to finish out his career in Japan.

However, it sounds like the Dodgers really want and need him back so they might give him an offer he can't refuse.

Andre Ethier: 90 Percent

Tough to see Ethier going anywhere, but with a couple of subpar seasons it wouldn't be unheard of to see him packaged as part of a large blockbuster deal with a struggling team.

Ted Lilly: 90 Percent

Lilly is owed two years and $23 million over the next two seasons so I don't envision many scenarios that don't have him coming back to Los Angeles in 2012.

Jonathan Broxton: 15 Percent

If Broxton can prove that he's healed from his 2011 injuries then he might be in line for a big contract with someone. This report makes me think it's not going to be the Dodgers.

Matt Kemp: 99 Percent

Kemp had possibly the best offensive performance of anyone in baseball last year.  He should be back and ready to lead to the Dodgers back to the playoffs in 2012—his contract year.

Chad Billingsley: 80 Percent

Billingsley is signed through 2014 so barring any sort of trade he should be back.  He hasn't developed into the pitcher the Dodgers hoped he would, so there is a possibility for a change-of-scenery type trade.

Casey Blake: 45 Percent

Blake has a team option for 2012 that I can't imagine the Dodgers would exercise.  He could come back with them for a reduced salary though.

Juan Rivera: 30 Percent

Rivera had an okay half season with the Dodgers, but I wouldn't expect him back in 2012 unless the Dodgers are unable to find good bench help in free agency.

Jon Garland: 10 Percent

The Dodgers have an $8 million dollar club option for 2012 that almost certainly won't be picked up.  Garland could still re-sign, but I bet he gets a better offer from a small market team desperate for a reclamation project.

Juan Uribe: 75 Percent

Uribe was just terrible in 2011, but he's under contract for two more years and the Dodgers are unlikely to find a team to take him in a trade.

James Loney: 70 Percent

Loney has never developed into the players the Dodgers envisioned, but I expect them to tender him a contract in the offseason. He showed signs of progress after a bad start to 2011, and he's coming into his prime years now.

Rod Barajas: 51 Percent

The Dodgers would be wise to hit the free agent market for catching in the offseason.  Catcher is currently their weakest position.

Hong-Chih Kuo: 60 Percent

Kuo followed up a dominant 2010 with a terrible 2011.  He was so bad that I could conceivably see the Dodgers non-tendering him.

Matt Guerrier: 90 Percent

Guerrier signed a three year contract in the offseason and is very likely to be back in 2012.

Vincente Padilla: 10 Percent

Padilla was injured in a middle relief role last year and I think it's unlikely they'll bring him back for 2012.

Tony Gwynn Jr.: 75 Percent

Gwynn Jr. is unlikely to get as many bats next season, but he's arbitration eligible and I expect him to platoon or come off of the bench for Los Angeles.

Dana Eveland: 70 Percent

Eveland had a very solid 2011 season and I expect the Dodgers to tender him an offer in the offseason.

Clayton Kershaw: 99 Percent

I will refund your money for this article if Clayton Kershaw isn't with the Los Angeles Dodgers next season...

Mike MacDougal: 55 Percent

MacDougal is a free agent and he's coming off one of the better seasons of his career.  He's going to have a few offers so there is a chance he won't be back.

Aaron Miles: 30 Percent

I'm guessing Miles will be joining his fourth team in four years in 2012.

Blake Hawksworth: 90 Percent

Hawksworth is arbitration eligible and should certainly be back after a very good 2011 season.

A.J. Ellis: 51 Percent

Ellis will likely be back with the Dodgers, but possibly not in the Majors.

Jerry Sands: 90 Percent

The 23-year-old Sands should certainly be back in 2012 in some role.

Dee Gordon: 90 Percent

Gordon held his own in 233 plate appearances for the Dodgers in 2011 and I fully expect him back and starting at shortstop on opening day.

Jamey Carroll: 30 Percent

The Dodgers will almost certainly be looking for a second baseman in free agency.  Carroll was the epitome of mediocre in 2011 and they Dodgers need an upgrade if they expect to compete in the NL West.

Javy Guerra: 90 Percent

Guerra had a very solid rookie campaign in the closer role and should certainly be back in 2011.