Week 7 College Football Picks Against the Spread: Favorites Due for Upsets
Vegas is going to be kicking themselves for either overvaluing some of the favorites this week or writing off underdogs prematurely. Every week in college football presents upsets, but this one in particular puts forth more suspect than usual.
There are some underdogs who are even staring double-digit spreads in the face who will emerge victorious.
Here are five underdogs who aren't just going to cover, they're going to win outright.
Note: Lines according to Bodog
Texas A&M
1 of 5Spread: Texas A&M -8.5
Baylor lost by one point in one game on the road this season. They are still one of the most dangerous teams in the country and Robert Griffin III is still right in the thick of the Heisman race. Both teams can put up points in a hurry, but in a shootout it's impossible to pick against RGIII.
Baylor routinely hovers around 50 points a game and though Kyle Field is going to be rocking, the Aggies have dropped two of their last three, both of them at home.
Michigan State
2 of 5Spread: Michigan State -2
Michigan is undefeated coming into this game. Though Michigan hasn't spent much time on the road this season, they remain unscathed and managed to take down Notre Dame, who destroyed Michigan State earlier this season 31-13.
Denard Robinson is better than he let on last season against the Spartans. He's the best player on the field and should look the part come Saturday. Michigan State has a rock-solid defense, but the next few games on their schedule will wound their 10.2 PPG average.
Florida
3 of 5Spread: Florida -2
Florida has suffered back-to-back losses at the hands of Alabama and LSU. Unfortunately, they don't have an easy road ahead of them by any means. They have to play Auburn at Auburn. Though Auburn has sustained two losses of their own, they are undefeated at home.
Florida is a solid football team, but they haven't beaten anyone worth mentioning yet. Auburn took down Mississippi State when they were ranked and more recently shut down Marcus Lattimore and South Carolina. Home-field advantage gives Auburn the edge.
Oregon
4 of 5Spread: Oregon -14.5
This is going to be a much closer game than anticipated. ASU kept it close last season while Oregon was at their best and LaMichael James was on the field. The Sun Devils are a much better team than they were last time around and Darron Thomas and DeAnothony Thomas aren't going to cruise by ASU as Vegas seems to think they will.
Vontaze Burfict and the ASU defense have given teams fits this season. While they aren't LSU and the Sun Devils do tend to look like a different team on the road, the implications of James being out are going to throw the team out of sorts more than they anticipate.
Oregon State
5 of 5Spread: Oregon State -3
Oregon State is so bad that when U of A lost to the Beavers, they fired their head coach. These are the same Oregon State Beavers who lost to Sac State in their opener. BYU is 4-2. They've knocked off teams like Utah State, who pushed Auburn to the brink of defeat, and only lost to Texas by a single point.
This is the sort of spread you have to look at time and time again to make sure it isn't a typo. Vegas has made a huge mistake. Corvallis or not, there is no way they are going to be able to steal away a victory.
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