Dolphins-Broncos: If Miami Contains Cutler, Then They Should Win
Jay Cutler and the Denver Broncos (4-3) have the third best passing offense in the NFL.
If Miami (3-4) wants to win in Denver, then they will have to shut Jay Cutler and his receiving corps down. The Dolphins secondary redeemed themselves last week against the Bills, and hopefully it will carry over into this week against an even better Broncos passing offense.
Cutler is a very good passer at home. His passer rating during home games is 95.4 compared to 85.8 away. He is also very, very good in the first half. His passer rating is 103.6 compared to 80.7 in the second half.
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Miami's defense, led by Joey Porter, should pressure Cutler as much as humanly possible, because a good way to stop him is to force turnovers. Cutler has thrown seven interceptions, and fumbled three times, so he definitely turns the ball over.
But, Cutler will come out big in the first half. What the Dolphins' defense needs to do is pressure him as much as possible and not get frustrated if he starts off really well, because he is almost always worse in the second half.
For Miami on offense, things should be relatively easy if everyone is having a good day. The Broncos have a 28th ranked passing defense in terms of yards and are 29th in points allowed. The Dolphins passing offense is ranked sixth, so they should be able to have success passing.
With Ted Ginn Jr. finally playing good, Miami now has a receiving threat. His success against Buffalo was the best he's had in his career so far. He hasn't been very good in the NFL, so far, despite big success when he played for Ohio State in college. Hopefully, he's playing as good as he did in college now.
I can easily see Ginn getting at least 100 yards, and a touchdown or more.
And, because Pennington is so good on the road, he should be on the top of his game. He also needs to stay consistent, and turn the ball over as little as possible like he's been doing. The less Cutler gets the ball, the less he can do.
Miami's running backs, Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams, should also be able to gain a lot of rushing yards, because Denver's rushing defense allows a 30th ranked 154.6 yards a game, and with Miami's diverse running game, Brown and Williams should be able to earn at least 200 total rushing yards.
As long as they contain Cutler and play offense like they normally have, the Dolphins should be able to win.

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