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College Football Surprises: 10 Suspected Cupcakes De-Iced

Tom BaerOct 1, 2010

In August, before the college football season kicks off, analysts from California to Florida—and states in between—do what all analysts do: prognosticate.

From conference projections to Heisman conjecture, such soothsayers make it seem like the season is complete... before it even begins.

Of course, much discussion centers on annual powerhouses like Alabama and Ohio State and BCS busters in the manner of Boise State and TCU.

But what about the schools picked near the bottom of their respective conferences? Where is their publicity?

Nowhere.

Out of nowhere, however, the occasional would-be cupcake (i.e., easy prey) rises from the oven that is college football. Unwrapped, these cupcakes reveal that they are, in fact, worthy of national recognition, preseason opinions be damned.

Grab an oven mitt for the 10 most surprising "cupcakes" through Week 4—no icing necessary.

10. Indiana

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BLOOMINGTON, IN - NOVEMBER 01:  Quarterback Ben Chappell #4 of the Indiana Hooisers passes the ball downfield during the game against the Central Michigan Chippewas at Memorial Stadium on November 1, 2008 in Bloomington, Indiana.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Get
BLOOMINGTON, IN - NOVEMBER 01: Quarterback Ben Chappell #4 of the Indiana Hooisers passes the ball downfield during the game against the Central Michigan Chippewas at Memorial Stadium on November 1, 2008 in Bloomington, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Get

Results (3-0)

  • Towson, W 51-17
  • @ Western Kentucky, W 38-21
  • Akron, W 35-20

Key Team Statistic

Indiana is 11th nationally with 304.3 passing yards per game.

Key Performer

Ben Chappell, QB: 71-98, 890 YDS, 9 TD, 0 INT, 179.04 RAT

Capsule

Indiana, a perennial Big Ten doormat, has feasted on weak opponents. Nevertheless, IU, especially the nation's fifth-ranked passer, Chappell, is on the rise. Are the Hoosiers for real? Saturday's Big Ten opener against No. 19 Michigan should provide answers.

9. Mississippi State

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Junior signal-caller Chris Relf has the Bulldogs riding high after a win over SEC foe Georgia
Junior signal-caller Chris Relf has the Bulldogs riding high after a win over SEC foe Georgia

Results (2-2, 1-2 in SEC)

  • Memphis, W 49-7
  • Auburn, L 17-14
  • @ LSU, L 29-7
  • Georgia, W 24-12

Key Team Statistic

The Bulldogs rank 28th nationally in points against (16.3).

Key Performer

Chris Relf, QB: 32-56, 396 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT, 117.61 RAT; 49 CAR, 189 YDS

Capsule

Although Mississippi State is only .500 after four weeks, the Bulldogs are no dessert. A three-point loss to an undefeated Auburn squad and a Week 4 victory against Georgia make it clear that MSU won't play its usual pushover role in the SEC. 

8. Arizona State

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MADISON, WI - SEPTEMBER 18: Steven Threet #14 of the Arizona State Sun Devils looks for a receiver against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Madison, Wisconsin. Wisconsin defeated Arizona State 20-19.  (Photo by Jonath
MADISON, WI - SEPTEMBER 18: Steven Threet #14 of the Arizona State Sun Devils looks for a receiver against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium on September 18, 2010 in Madison, Wisconsin. Wisconsin defeated Arizona State 20-19. (Photo by Jonath

Results (2-2, 0-1 in Pac-10)

  • Portland State, W 54-9
  • Northern Arizona, W 41-20
  • @ Wisconsin, L 20-19
  • Oregon, L 42-31

Key Team Statistic

Arizona ranks fifth in the country in passing yards per game (325.8).

Key Performer

Steven Threet, QB: 98-156, 1,228 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT, 136.89 RAT

Capsule

ASU is a blocked PAT and a few plays away from 4-0. Junior QB Steven Threet, who is fourth nationally in passing yards, leads the Sun Devils' impressive air attack. Picked ninth in the Pac-10, Arizona State is showing that preseason predictions mean nothing.

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7. Kansas State

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Senior RB Daniel Thomas is the nation's second-leading rusher
Senior RB Daniel Thomas is the nation's second-leading rusher

Results (4-0, 1-0 in Big 12)

  • UCLA, W 31-22
  • Missouri State, W 48-24
  • Iowa State, W 27-20
  • Central Florida, W 17-13

Key Team Statistic

KSU averages 216 rushing yards per game, good for 23rd in the nation.

Key Performer

Daniel Thomas, RB: 105 CAR, 628 YDS, 6 TD

Capsule

Undefeated Kansas State has yet to play away from their home stadium, but a 4-0 start for a team many believed would fail to win a game in the Big 12 is no small feat. If Thomas, the nation's second-leading rusher, can continue chomping up yards, the Wildcats just might pull off an upset or two. Their first chance: Oct. 7 against No. 6 Nebraska.

6. San Diego State

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SDSU's Ronnie Hillman is college football top freshman runner
SDSU's Ronnie Hillman is college football top freshman runner

Results (3-1)

  • Nicholls State, W 47-0
  • @ New Mexico State, W 41-21
  • @ Missouri, L 27-24
  • Utah State, W 41-7

Key Team Statistic

The Aztecs defense allows 13.8 points per game, good for 12th in college football. 

Key Performer

Ronnie Hillman, RB: 83 CAR, 532 YDS, 8 TD 

Capsule

Hillman, the nation's leading freshman rusher, has helped San Diego State to a 3-1 (almost 4-0) start. If the running game and defense hold true to form, ranked teams TCU and Utah might have more to worry about than each other in the MWC.

5. UCLA

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PASADENA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18:  Running back Johnathan Franklin #23 of the UCLA Bruins carries the ball against the Houston Cougars in the second quarter at the Rose Bowl on September 18, 2010 in Pasadena, California.  UCLA won 31-13.  (Photo by Stephen Dun
PASADENA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18: Running back Johnathan Franklin #23 of the UCLA Bruins carries the ball against the Houston Cougars in the second quarter at the Rose Bowl on September 18, 2010 in Pasadena, California. UCLA won 31-13. (Photo by Stephen Dun

Results (2-2, 0-1 in Pac-10)

  •  @ Kansas State, L 31-22
  • Stanford, L 35-0
  • Houston, W 31-13
  • @ Texas, W 34-12 

Key Team Statistic

The Bruins rank 20th in rushing yards per game (218.8).

Key Performer

Johnathan Franklin, RB: 69 CAR, 409 YDS, 4 TD 

Capsule

After an 0-2 start, the Bruins were indeed cupcakes. But since a 35-0 home loss to Stanford, UCLA has turned its season around with wins over Houston and Texas. The latter, a 34-12 drubbing in Austin, has UCLA back in the Pac-10 spotlight.

4. Air Force

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Air Force and QB Tim Jefferson are a field goal away from being undefeated
Air Force and QB Tim Jefferson are a field goal away from being undefeated

Results (3-1, 2-0 in Mountain West)

  • Northwestern State, W 65-21
  • BYU, W 35-14
  • @ Oklahoma, L 27-24
  • @ Wyoming, W 20-14

Key Team Statistic

The Academy leads the nation in rushing offense (394.0 yards per game).

Key Performer

Tim Jefferson, QB: 25-51, 420 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT, 129.76 RAT; 44 CAR, 287 YDS, 5 TD 

Capsule

If not for a narrow loss at Oklahoma, the Falcons would be in the Top 25. Ranking or not, Air Force is another surprise (along with San Diego State) in the MWC. With the nation's leading rushing attack, don't expect Air Force to run away from stiff conference competition.

3. North Carolina State

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RALEIGH, NC - SEPTEMBER 16:  Russell Wilson #16 of the North Carolina State Wolfpack runs with the ball against the Cincinnati Bearcats during their game at Carter-Finley Stadium on September 16, 2010 in Raleigh, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/
RALEIGH, NC - SEPTEMBER 16: Russell Wilson #16 of the North Carolina State Wolfpack runs with the ball against the Cincinnati Bearcats during their game at Carter-Finley Stadium on September 16, 2010 in Raleigh, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/

Results (4-0, 1-0 in ACC)

  • Western Carolina, W 48-7
  • @ Central Florida, W 28-21
  • Cincinnati, W 30-19
  • @ Georgia Tech, W 45-28 

Key Team Statistic

NC State averages 37.8 points (19th in nation).

Key Performer

Russell Wilson, QB: 85-142, 1,112 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT, 149.79 RAT

Capsule

With Wilson, perhaps the ACC's best quarterback, putting up huge passing numbers, the Wolfpack are on the cusp of the Top 25. Projected near the bottom of the Atlantic Division, NC State is now set to challenge Florida State and Clemson for a spot in the ACC Championship Game in December. 

2. Michigan

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SOUTH BEND, IN - SEPTEMBER 11: Denard Robinson #16 of the Michigan Wolverines pushes off a tackle attempt by Manti Te'o #5 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the final minute at Notre Dame Stadium on September 11, 2010 in South Bend, Indiana. Michigan de
SOUTH BEND, IN - SEPTEMBER 11: Denard Robinson #16 of the Michigan Wolverines pushes off a tackle attempt by Manti Te'o #5 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the final minute at Notre Dame Stadium on September 11, 2010 in South Bend, Indiana. Michigan de

Results (4-0, No. 19)

  • Connecticut, W 30-10
  • @ Notre Dame, W 28-24
  • Massachusetts, W 42-37
  • Bowling Green, W 65-21

Key Team Statistic

The Wolverines average 331.3 yards per game rushing, which is 2nd nationally (behind Air Force).

Key Performer

Denard Robinson, QB: 57-80, 731 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT, 162.01 RAT; 79 CAR, 688 YDS, 6 TD

Capsule

While perhaps not a "cupcake," expectations were low in Ann Arbor after a 5-7 campaign in 2009. Enter Denard Robinson, the nation's leading rusher, and the Wolverines are again relevant not only in the Big Ten, but nationally as well. And maybe, just maybe, the regular season-ending matchup with Ohio State could decide the Big Ten. Who would have guessed that coming into the season?

1. Nevada

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Dual-threat QB Colin Kaepernick has Nevada ranked and ready for a November showdown with Boise State
Dual-threat QB Colin Kaepernick has Nevada ranked and ready for a November showdown with Boise State

Results (4-0, No. 25)

  • Eastern Washington, W 49-24
  • Colorado State, W 51-6
  • California, W 52-31
  • @ BYU, W 27-13

Key Team Statistic

Nevada's offense ranks fifth in the country in points (44.8).

Key Performer

Colin Kaepernick, QB: 73-106, 924 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT, 158.88 RAT; 56 CAR, 451 YDS, 8 TD

Capsule

Nevada, dominant in four games, has ridden the feet and arm of dual-threat QB Kaepernick. If the senior piles up similar numbers in the next two months, the Nov. 26 meeting with Boise State could decide the WAC... and whether or not the Broncos play for a national title.

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