ChanceBot Simulations: Week 13 NFL Playoff Index

Index values represent each team's chance of making the playoffs. A value of 100 indicates that the team is a "lock"—even if they haven't technically clinched yet.

	Playoff Index
Team	Week 13	Week 12	Change
New England	100.00	100.00	0.00
Green Bay	100.00	99.97	+0.03
Dallas	100.00	99.98	+0.02
Indianapolis	99.95	99.85	+0.10
Tampa Bay	98.54	95.69	+2.85
Pittsburgh	97.42	96.06	+1.36
Jacksonville	95.00	89.13	+5.87
Seattle	92.01	75.84	+16.17
San Diego	85.34	72.95	+12.39
Cleveland	81.68	55.93	+25.75
NY Giants	69.84	85.05	-15.21
Minnesota	28.46	6.12	+22.34
Philadelphia	28.37	22.96	+5.41
Washington	25.17	33.89	-8.73
Arizona	22.74	51.57	-28.84
Tennessee	16.68	38.24	-21.56
Detroit	14.18	17.05	-2.87
New Orleans	10.84	3.26	+7.58
Chicago	9.25	3.32	+5.93
Denver	8.75	14.32	-5.57
Kansas City	8.35	19.18	-10.83
Houston	4.62	11.51	-6.89
Cincinnati	1.78	1.02	+0.77
Carolina	0.50	5.04	-4.54
Buffalo	0.38	1.76	-1.38
Atlanta	0.09	0.26	-0.17
Oakland	0.04	0.02	+0.02
San Francisco	0.03	0.00	+0.03
Baltimore	0.01	0.04	-0.03
St. Louis	0.00	0.00	0.00
Miami	0.00	0.00	0.00
NY Jets	0.00	0.00	0.00

(Note that for some teams the change value doesn't equal the difference between the first two columns. This is due to rounding in the first two columns.)

Largest Gains: Cleveland (+25.75), Minnesota (+22.34), Seattle (+16.17)

Largest Drops: Arizona (-28.84), Tennessee (-21.56), New York Giants (-15.21)


Points of Interest

For the second week in a row, Cleveland has made the largest gain.

With both the Titans and the Bills dropping two straight games, Cleveland's prospects have risen by over 43 percent in the last two weeks.

The Giants posted the third-largest gain last week...but they followed it up with the third-largest drop—giving back last week's gain and then some.

Minnesota capitalized on a flattening race for the last NFC Wild Card spot.

A month ago, Washington and Detroit were both in a position to take an inside track on the final berth spot. Now it appears to be completely up for grabs.

The Lions, who actually hold the lead at the moment, face dimming prospects due to a tough schedule down the stretch.

Mark Myers is the founder and primary developer at ChanceBot.com, a sports simulation and analysis website. He can be reached at [e-mail]