WHAT NUMBERS SAYS ABOUT KUBICA, MASSA, LEWIS, KOVALAINEN AND KIMI
Who will win the French Grand Prix and how well will Hamilton do? I don't have a crystal ball so i went and did some research. It is interesting to see what numbers bring up.
I used the years 2007 and 2008 to base my analysis on. 2007 was the first year when all top 4 drivers were driving in F1.
KUBICA: Has 1 win and that was from 2nd on the grid. A total of 23 races in his career so far. His race results compare qualifying : 12 higher than q/ 8 lower than q/ 3 same than Qual. Highest up from 14 to 9. He had totally 23 races compare others 24.
Seems that Kubica have very good chance for podium, even win race. He is far better driver than his car.
MASSA: Totally 5 wins. 4 of them from pole. 1 win from grid 2. race results compaire qualifying: 6 higher than qualifying/ 10 lower than Q/8 same than Q. Highest up from 16 to 6 place.
These numbers prove what many people have said. Massa is good in qualifying but in long run of the race he obviously has problems. It seems that he is able to win when he starts from pole but other grid positions bring him into problems.
If Massa start lower than 2 grid I would not put my money on him.
KIMI: Totally 8 wins. 3 from grid 1/ 3 wins from grid 2/ 2 wins from grid 3.
Race results compare to qualifying: 12 higher than q/ 4 lower than Q/ 8 same than q. Highest up from 16 to 8.
This results was one without suprise. Kimi's weakest point has always been qualifying. He has nerves enough to wait what happens in race and use his chance when ever they show up.
KOVALAINEN: Wins 0. Higher than q 13/lower than q 8/same than gualif. 3.
Kovalainen has been unrated. His car was not winning car last year but he stillhe did a great job. He is man with fighting spirit, obviously. If his car is working correctly and team don't make mistakes, i would put money on him.
LEWIS: Total 6 wins. 4 times from pole position, and once from 2nd on the grid and one time from 3rd.
Race results compared to qualifying: 8 finishes higher than qualifying. 8 lower than qualifying and 8 the same as qualifying.
Highest positions made up from qualifying in the race is from 4th too 2nd.
Statistics of Massa and Lewis shows a lot of similarity. They are very good in qualifying, but if they start lower than 4th on the grid they have problem with progressing up the field.
And that is bad news for Lewis. Looking at the French Grand Prix. Lewis highest starting position is 11th on the grid and if he follows his earlier statistics he will end up highest 9th place and that won't give him any points.
But lets see what chance he has looking at past statistics at Magny-Cours.
Since 1991 only three drivers lower than 10th on the grid have ended up on the podium. Raikkonen, Hakkinen and Barrichello. Tough company, right? i'd not put money on Hamilton to get a podium in France.
Well how about getting some points? Let see, 12 times, from 17 races a driver lower than 10th on the grid has ended up 8th place or higher. That is Hamilton's hope and aim.
But what does he need for scoring points? He needs to break his own records and take over more than 2 cars, he needs to prove that he is as good a driver as people says and he has to proof his statistics wrong. A lot to prove for the young Brit.
Looking all those numbers i have say that i will put money to Kovalainen and Raikkonen. If Massa can do good job in qualifying i am pretty sure he will win but he really has to look in his back mirror. Behind him will be 3 guys whose statistics have prooved that they will gain many places in the race compared to there qualifying positions.

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