FantasyDC's Waiver Wire Week 14

FantasyDCCorrespondent IDecember 9, 2009

(Check out FantasyDC's Week 14 Buy/Sell Trade Report & Thursday Night Sit/Start)

Running Backs

Leonard Weaver

Weaver, a fullback, went for 100 total yards and a score against the Falcons on Sunday, but note that he touched the ball only seven times. In fact, in the six games Brian Westbrook was inactive this season, Weaver's averaged just under seven looks a game. Seven yards per touch is nice, but you can’t expect much on fewer than 10 touches.

Advice: Should not be starting anywhere and should only be owned in the deepest of leagues.

Sammy Morris

Morris is healthy and back in the lineup, which doesn’t bode well for the stock of Laurence Maroney. Morris carried it nine times on Sunday and was targeted twice, racking up 65 total yards.

Advice: He’s not someone you want to be starting right now but should be on someone’s bench in 12-plus-team leagues.

Larry Johnson

Some people still seem to be unclear about his role, so I’m going to clarify it for you: He’s a backup running back who is not, and I repeat, not a threat to Cedric Benson (as can be seen in the week 13 box score).

Johnson is worth a bench spot in case Benson reinjures himself. In that case, Johnson could see 15 to 20 looks in an offense that loves to run. That said, even if Benson goes down, Bernard Scott will still steal some of the looks.

Advice: As mentioned, he’s worth a bench spot in all formats, but he shouldn’t be starting in any league as long as Benson is active.

Running Back Committees

Jerome Harrison / Chris Jennings

With Jamal Lewis’ season—and possibly career—over, Harrison and Jennings take over the running back duties for the remainder of the season. Most felt that Jennings would handle much of the workload with Harrison apparently in Eric Mangini’s doghouse, but it was Harrison who had 21 looks in week 13 compared to just seven for Jennings.

Harrison was ineffective in the run game (3.5 YPC) but racked up 62 yards on seven receptions and scored twice. Jennings, meanwhile, averaged over five yards per carry on five attempts.

Advice: Harrison is worth a look as a flex player in most formats, especially in PPR. Don’t expect to see 10-plus targets every week, but he should see his share with the team usually playing from behind. Jennings is only worth a bench spot in deep leagues.

Rock Cartwright / Quinton Ganther / Marcus Mason

Because Clinton Portis is now officially done for the season, the Redskins' running back mess is worth looking into if you’re in need of some help at the position. Cartwright is clearly the top dog so far with 35 looks over the last two games, including 28 of the team’s 47 carries by running backs.

That being said, Ganther was more effective on five fewer carries against the Saints on Sunday and could see an extended look during the team’s final few games. The same can be said for Marcus Mason, who despite only six carries (eight looks) over the last two games could be in line for a few extra “audition” carries.

Advice:  Cartwright has racked up 18 and 17 looks, respectively, over the last two games, so he is worth consideration at the flex spot in most formats if you need a body. Ganther is not a bad speculative add in deeper leagues, and Mason should only be owned in extremely deep leagues.

Justin Fargas / Darren McFadden / Michael Bush

Twenty-seven total carries over the last two games for Fargas is more than McFadden (15) and Bush (four) combined. Considering that he’s been effective on those carries (128 yards total), one would have to imagine that they’d continue along with him as their RB1 as long as they are competitive.

Advice:  Fargas is worth flex consideration in 12-team standard leagues. McFadden should be owned in dynasty leagues but is worth no more than a bench spot in deeper leagues at this point. Bush has no value unless one of the top two is injured.

Wide Receivers

Kenny Britt

Twenty total targets over the last two games and a receiving touchdown in three straight for the rookie. The Titans won’t continue to pass the ball 43 times a game like they did the last two weeks, but Britt should still see seven to eight targets most weeks.

Advice: Worth consideration in 16-team leagues, but you shouldn’t feel too comfortable quite yet, especially considering that this team will be running the ball more than they have been, along with the inconsistency of Britt’s looks this season.

Devin Thomas

I touched on Thomas last week in my "Things you should know" feature as a player who was seeing more looks but was unlikely to make a huge fantasy impact this season. He sure made me look silly with seven receptions on seven targets for 100 yards and two touchdowns. I’d call that fantasy relevant.

Thomas has been targeted 20 times total over the last three games and is seemingly earning the trust of Jason Campbell.

Advice: You shouldn’t feel comfortable with him as your WR3 in standard leagues quite yet, but he’s certainly worth a bench spot. He should certainly be owned in dynasty leagues considering his age and potential.

Sam Aiken

Aiken should be getting some attention after putting up 80-plus receiving yards each of the last two games. Although he was looked at a healthy 10 times versus the Saints two weeks ago, you won’t see anything close to that most weeks considering that Wes Welker and Randy Moss see double-digit targets almost every game.

On the year, Aiken is averaging only three looks a game, which is exactly what he saw in week 13. Fortunately for his owners (there’s not too many of you), his only reception of the three looks was an 81-yard touchdown.

Advice: Worth a speculative bench spot in deeper leagues and is a desperation start candidate in those same leagues just because of the Patriots’ offensive potential.

Brian Robiskie

Finally getting into the action, the rookie and preseason sleeper favorite caught four of his five targets for 69 yards on Sunday and is back on the waiver wire map. It would be surprising not to see plenty of balls thrown his way as the season winds down, but he’s still competing with and likely behind Harrison, Jennings, Josh Cribbs, Mohamed Massaquoi, and Chansi Stuckey for looks.

Advice:  Only worth a spot in dynasty leagues. If you’re in a very deep redraft league and looking for a deep sleeper for your bench, he should be a candidate.

Tight Ends

Jermichael Finley

Finley is going to be a hot commodity this week after a huge two-touchdown game on national television Monday night. I’ve been on the Finley bandwagon for quite a while, so you know I think you should put in a claim if you are shaky at tight end.

He’s quickly becoming one of Aaron Rodgers’ favorite weapons with 24 targets total over the last three games. He’s caught an impressive 17 of those passes for 158 yards and three scores. He missed some time with a leg injury earlier this year, but don’t let that scare you away from one of the game’s top young fantasy tight ends.

Advice: Finley will be a borderline top 10 tight end the rest of the way and should be treated accordingly.

Fred Davis

Sticking with the Redskins theme, next on my list is Fred Davis. I’ve talked about him previously, but only now is he officially a starter for the rest of the season after Chris Cooley was finally placed on IR.

Davis has been targeted nine times each of the last two games, which is a lot for a tight end. He has nine catches for 96 yards over those two games and scored a touchdown in both. That’s 10.3 and 11.3 fantasy points, respectively, in standard scoring leagues.

Advice: If he’s unowned and you are struggling at tight end, he is a pretty solid option considering the looks coming in. Don’t start him over a top tight end, but if you are bouncing around between John Carlson and Dustin Keller, Davis should be in your lineup going forward.

Evan Moore

Moore burst onto the scene with 11 targets, six catches, and 80 yards in his NFL debut Sunday. Robert Royal, Michael Gaines, and Greg Estandia are also tight ends on the roster, but Royal and Gaines are struggling with injuries, and Estandia was a healthy inactive in week 13.

Advice:  Not worth a look in any but the deepest of leagues. You’d have to imagine he will see more looks after a great debut, but his contributions will be limited in this, a poor but improving offense.


Garrett Hartley

This one is pretty straightforward. Hartley has replaced John Carney as the kicker of the NFL’s most potent offense.

Advice: A top five kicker in all formats as long he remains the starter.


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