Canelo Alvarez vs. Caleb Plant: Fight Odds, Live Stream, Predictions

Nate Loop@Nate_LoopFeatured ColumnistNovember 4, 2021

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - NOVEMBER 03: WBC/WBA/WBO super middleweight champion Canelo Alvarez (L) and IBF super middleweight champion Caleb Plant (R) pose during a news conference at MGM Grand Garden Arena on November 03, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The two will face off on November 6 at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. (Photo by David Becker/Getty Images)
David Becker/Getty Images

Boxing superstar Saul "Canelo" Alvarez will look to become an undisputed champion for the first time when he takes on the undefeated Caleb Plant in a highly anticipated super middleweight clash on Saturday night in Las Vegas.

Alvarez, 31, is the top pound-for-pound boxer in the world and holds the WBO, WBA and WBC super middleweight titles. He hasn't lost in eight years and has dominated opponents across four divisions in that time. He's yet to hold all four major belts in a single division, but he'll get a chance to do just that when he takes on Plant, the IBF super middleweight champion, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena. 

While there's plenty on the line in terms of legacy, this fight is also going to be a personal one. Alvarez and Plant got into a physical exchange at a press conference for this fight back in September, with the latter suffering a cut under his eye.

SHOWTIME Boxing @ShowtimeBoxing

Heated face off here before the #CaneloPlant press conference 🤯😳 Streaming live: https://t.co/mIPZRjJbFo https://t.co/7WXH6hAQu6

The surprise outburst from the typically stoic Alvarez helped set the stage for one of the biggest fights of 2021. Here's how to watch.


Alvarez vs. Plant Fight Info

When: Saturday, Nov. 6 at 9 p.m. ET (main card)

Where: Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas

Live stream: Showtime PPV ($79.99)

Odds: Alvarez -1000 (wager $1,000 to win $100), Plant (wager $100 to win $600)

Odds via DraftKings

Plant, 29, is a heavy underdog in what is far and away the toughest challenge of his career. This isn't because he's an unworthy challenger; instead, the lopsided odds have more to do with how dominant Alvarez has been in his prime years.

The Mexican superstar hasn't been in danger of losing a fight since his epic duels with Gennadiy Golovkin in 2017 and 2018. He's bounced around weight classes over the past few years, defeating the likes of Daniel Jacobs, Sergey Kovalev and, most recently, Billy Joe Saunders.

With a seemingly indestructible chin at his disposal, Alvarez has become a confident, hellacious pressure fighter. He walks down his opponents and batters them with combinations to the head and body. He has excellent timing and counters well. On the defensive end, he displays excellent head movement and footwork. And when he does take a hard punch, Alvarez is often in position to roll with the shot so it does less damage. 

Alvarez has already accomplished so much in his career, but those looking for him to finally topple off his pedestal may have to wait. He's determined to become an undisputed champion in what will be his 60th career fight.

"That's the goal, to be an all-time great," Alvarez said, per SkySports.com. "I'm so proud of trying to achieve that.

"I'm never going to stop until I try my best to be one of the all-time greats."

Plant's accomplishments pale in comparison to Alvarez, but he can start to change that on Saturday. The Tennessee native is a skilled boxer in his own right, with some key physical advantages. He's several inches taller (6'1" to 5'8"), has a longer reach (74" to 70.5") and has much less wear and tear as a professional (122 rounds to 425).

He also has incredibly fast hands for his size and a great sense of the ring, traits that served him well in his dominant win over Caleb Truax in January, a fight that saw Plant win every round on all three judges' scorecards.

It's those skills and confidence that have Plant believing he can deliver a major upset on Saturday.

"There’s only one thing that’s better than proving people right and that’s proving people wrong," Plant said, per SportingNews.com's Andreas Hale. "But I’m not just here to prove the critics wrong. I’m here to prove myself right, and that’s something that I’ve been doing my entire life."

While he's undeniably talented, Plant's fatal flaw may be his relative lack of power. He's only stopped 12 of the 21 fighters he's faced in his career. Alvarez has absorbed big swings from the likes of Kovalev and Golovkin, so there's little reason to believe that Plant is going to stun him. He'll have to rely on his speed and evasiveness, but that's going to be difficult to do for 12 rounds.

Plant has a good shot at jumping out to an early lead on the cards if he boxes smartly, but Alvarez should be able to eventually get to the body, slow Plant down and win over the judges.

Prediction: Alvarez wins by unanimous decision

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