Latest Odds and Predictions for Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder 3 Rematch

Nate Loop@Nate_LoopFeatured ColumnistSeptember 27, 2021

Tyson Fury, left and Deontay Wilder face off at a news conference in Los Angeles on Tuesday, June 15, 2021. The two are scheduled to fight in a heavyweight boxing bout July 24 in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Richard Vogel)
Richard Vogel/Associated Press

Oleksandr Usyk is the new unified heavyweight champion after a brilliant upset win over Anthony Joshua on Saturday, which means fans are now eagerly looking forward to the next big date on the heavyweight calendar: the trilogy fight between WBC heavyweight champion Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder on Oct. 9.

Fury and Wilder first fought to a draw in December 2018, a match highlighted by a dramatic 12th round in which Fury got up from the canvas after getting clobbered by an excellent one-two combination from Wilder. The pair met again in February 2020, with Fury roughing up the American in a one-sided affair that ended in a TKO loss for Wilder and a championship belt for Fury. 

With Usyk's victory fresh in the memory, many will be wondering if another upset is in the offering. That would be up to Wilder, who is a +240 underdog, according to the latest odds from DraftKings (as of Sep. 27). Fury is considered a -310 favorite, and for good reason.

We've seen Fury and Wilder battle for the better part of 19 rounds now, and Fury has won most of them. Simply put, the 33-year-old is a better all-around fighter than Wilder, or really anyone in the heavyweight class (though Usyk may have something to say about that someday).

Fury uses his 6'9" frame very well, controlling distance behind the jab and locking up his opponents with his long arms when he wants to snuff out attacks on the inside. He can throw bombs on the inside or box behind the jab by relying on his footwork and agility. He also has great defensive head movement. In the second fight against Wilder, it was mostly one-way traffic, with Fury proving to be unsolvable for the "Bronze Bomber."

Wilder, 35, is more of a one-dimensional fighter. He has a uniquely powerful right hand, and mostly looks to set it up with a probing jab from the left. His power has led to an impressive highlight reel of knockouts, but it hasn't been enough to get past Fury. 

The Boxing on BT Sport team all predict the "Gypsy King" will get another stoppage win over Wilder (it should be noted that the last prediction in the video comes from John Fury, Tyson's father):

Boxing on BT Sport 🥊 @BTSportBoxing

The @Tyson_Fury v Deontay Wilder 3 predictions are in from our panel 🔮 Catch up on the #FuryWilder3 Heavyweight Debate in full 👇

Not everyone is in Fury's corner, however. Joshua recently predicted Wilder will win the trilogy fight.

"Because you've asked the question, let's go with Wilder because he seems obsessed, like he really wants it," he said, per BBC Sport's Coral Barry, adding that the fight will end in a knockout one way or the other.

If you believe that with enough time, Wilder is bound to find the perfect opening for a knockout right hand, then that window of opportunity may well open up in the trilogy fight. He is that dangerous. However, Fury is vastly more skilled than Wilder. If he's in shape and focused, we should be in for a repeat of their second matchup.

Prediction: Fury wins by late TKO


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