Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints Odds, Analysis, NFL Betting Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistSeptember 11, 2018

NEW ORLEANS, LA - SEPTEMBER 09: Alvin Kamara #41 of the New Orleans Saints is tackled by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense during the second half at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on September 9, 2018 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images)
Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

The New Orleans Saints (0-1) will try to bounce back from an embarrassing season-opening loss on Sunday when they host the Cleveland Browns (0-0-1) as large home favorites for the second week in a row at sportsbooks.

The Saints fell to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-40 last week as 10-point home favorites and are comparable chalk again versus the Browns, who are coming off a 21-21 tie with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

              

NFL point spread: The Saints opened as 7.5-point favorites; the total was 47.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 28.4-16.3 Saints (NFL picks on every game)

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week's top sports betting news.

                  

Why the Browns can cover the spread

Surprisingly, Cleveland has won the past three meetings in New Orleans and eight of its 10 road matchups with the Saints dating back to 1967. The Browns last played the Saints in the Superdome back in 2010 and pulled off a 30-17 upset victory as 12.5-point road underdogs, and they should have beaten the Steelers last week for just their second win in a little more than two seasons.

Instead, Cleveland should be hungrier than ever to notch its first win this year against a suspect New Orleans defense lacking confidence.

         

Why the Saints can cover the spread

The Saints should win this game easily, but they also should have beaten the Buccaneers without breaking much of a sweat. Tampa Bay embarrassed New Orleans in every facet of the game, and that alone will serve as major motivation for the home team in this potential rebound spot.

While the Browns have won the last eight times they have visited the Superdome, they have lost 21 straight on the road overall by an average of nearly 13 points, and that recent trend alone negates the historical streak.

             

Smart betting pick

Cleveland played well in its season opener but still could not manage a win, something that will be even more difficult here. The Browns will be visiting an angry Saints team that cannot afford to get off to an 0-2 start for the fifth consecutive season.

New Orleans has offensive firepower that Cleveland cannot match, so look for a strong start for the home team en route to an easy victory and cover in Week 2.

           

NFL betting trends

The total has gone over in five of the Saints' last six games at home.

The total has gone over in 13 of the Saints' last 18 games in Week 2.

The Browns are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs.

              

All NFL odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report's official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.

Related

    Jimmy G's Injury Turns 49ers' Dream Season to a Nightmare

    NFL logo
    NFL

    Jimmy G's Injury Turns 49ers' Dream Season to a Nightmare

    Brad Gagnon
    via Bleacher Report

    Report: Niners Fear ACL for Jimmy G

    NFL logo
    NFL

    Report: Niners Fear ACL for Jimmy G

    Rob Goldberg
    via Bleacher Report

    Rosen Makes NFL Debut vs. Bears

    NFL logo
    NFL

    Rosen Makes NFL Debut vs. Bears

    Scott Polacek
    via Bleacher Report

    Rosen Throws Late Game INT on 4th & 5 🎥

    NFL logo
    NFL

    Rosen Throws Late Game INT on 4th & 5 🎥

    nfl
    via Twitter