NFL Week Eight Point Spread Mistakes You Should Not Make!

The Bears lost by 35 points last week and now they are favored by 13 1/2 points at home. You might be put off by the fact that they only scored 10 points last week.

Don't be. The last game is scratched from a pro player's memory quickly, and the offense will get busy against the Browns. Matt Forte will get it going in the run department and the Bears will win by about 14.

Vegas gets these very close. Take the Bears over Cleveland by 13 1/2.

Houston goes into Buffalo very motivated now at 4-3. The line should be around 8-10 points favoring the Texans. I love Houston in this game.

Dallas is at home and looks very good all of a sudden. All facets of the game are working for the Cowboys. Nine points should not be a problem.

Detroit has the Rams at home and will win their second game this season. The Rams are horrible. I imagine Detroit will be favored by 5 or more points for the first time in a long time.

Indianapolis has some injuries last week to deal with and San Francisco has a quarterback who wants desperately to prove himself. With 11 points, I like the Niners to make a game of this one, and keep it close.

Miami looked very good in the first half last week against New Orleans, then turnovers shifted the momentum away from the Dolphins and they crashed and burned.

This week they plays the Jets, who may have a false sense of security after an easy time versus the Raiders. Miami will keep this game within reach and I like the upset in New York.

I like the extra 1/2 point in this one. Jets may win by a field goal. The line is 3 1/2.

Philadelphia is at home against angry Giants. But Eagles can fly. I like the home team in a close game. Philadelphia wins a close one. Take the Giants if the line is more than five.

Baltimore is at home after a bye week. This will be a very tough game for Orton and the Broncos and the Ravens are favored by 3 1/2.

Denver finally loses a game this week, I believe. I like the Ravens to overcome the last three weeks bad luck and come out firing.

Tennessee is favored by three against Jacksonville and should win this game, and get in  the win category, finally. If not, look for a quarterback change soon. 

San Diego is favored by 16 1/2 points against the Raiders who look very, very bad. Do you dare take the points and Oakland? No, no, no, no, no, no.

The Packers are favored over Minnesota by three points and they are in Lambeau Field this time. Brett Favre's homecoming will be good for Brett and bad for the Packers. I'm thinking no way he will lose this game. You get three points too.

After seeing Carolina last week get trashed at home, and Arizona winning in New York, you kind of have to take the Cardinals at home by only eight points. Makes sense to me.

New Orleans has Atlanta at home in a big division game. Atlanta could keep this closer than nine, but after Dallas beat them, I wonder?

New Orleans has an extra day to rest up also. I have to keep taking the Saints against the spread. Never bet against a streak til it's over. The Saints keep covering.

Alright, there you have it.So far this season against the Vegas line, I am at 57-46. The next few weeks , you will see this percentage go up steadily. I am behind last seasons pace of 50 games over 500 against the spread , however.

I look for Philadelphia to cover against Washington tonight by 8-10 points. If Sherman Lewis pulls off an upset, I will be amazed at his play-calling. I think not, as I just checked and my pick from last week is solid, as Philadelphia is ahead 27-7.

Thomas[ NFL Mikee] Moreland.