US Open 2018 Odds: Predictions for Top Contenders at Shinnecock Hills

Matt JonesFeatured ColumnistJune 12, 2018

MEMPHIS, TN - JUNE 10:  Dustin Johnson waves to the gallery after hitting his second shot for eagle on the 18th hole during the final round of the FedEx St. Jude Classic at TPC Southwind on June 10, 2018 in Memphis, Tennessee.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Dustin Johnson reinforced his status as the favourite for the 2018 U.S. Open this week with a stunning performance at the St. Jude Classic.

On Sunday the American clinched the title and moved up to No. 1 in the world with a victory. His final score of 19-under, six shots ahead of his nearest challenger, has many believing he can conjure something special at Shinnecock Hills in the coming days.

But as is the case in the current golfing world, there are many high-class players in the field ready to challenge Johnson, with a number of maiden major winners in recent years also joining the party.

The second major of the season is always an intriguing one, and 14 years on from when Shinnecock last hosted the tournament, it's poised to provide a devilish test for the world's best.


U.S. Open Odds

Dustin Johnson—11-1

Rory McIlroy—12-1

Jordan Spieth—14-1

Jason Day—14-1

Justin Thomas—14-1

Justin Rose—14-1

Rickie Fowler—16-1

Tiger Woods—20-1

Jon Rahm—20-1

Brooks Koepka—25-1


For the full figures for the entire field visit the OddsShark website.


Johnson In the Groove Ahead of U.S. Open Test

Every amateur golfer has dreamed of doing what Johnson did on Sunday at TPC Southwind.

Not only did he clinch victory in a prestigious event, the 2016 U.S. Open champion finished his final round off without having to take the cover off the top of his putter, holing his second shot from 171 yards for an eagle.

As we can see here, the moment triggered wild celebrations among the supporters watching around the 18th green:


A fans-eye-view of the electric finish from @DJohnsonPGA. #LiveUnderPar https://t.co/1GKdak9Qz2

While Johnson isn't a man to show his emotions often, confidence will be pulsing through him after such an incredible display, and that can only bode well ahead of the U.S. Open. But remarkably, no player who has won the week before the major has ever gone on to triumph in it.

"Why not be the first one to do it?" Johnson said of that particular trend, per Ali Stafford of Sky Sports. "I don't know why it hasn't happened, but the U.S. Open is a tough, tough place to go and win."

ESPN Stats & Info put the recent achievements of the new world No. 1 into some context:

ESPN Stats & Info @ESPNStatsInfo

Dustin Johnson eagled 18 at the St. Jude Classic to secure his 18th career PGA TOUR victory. His 18 wins since 2008 are tied for most on tour with Tiger Woods. https://t.co/GpRlYihspi

There's a reason there's such a buzz around the sport at the moment, though, as many players appear capable of winning the biggest tournaments.

Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion, is one, and some good performances in 2018 are reflected in him being second in the betting here. However, he's creeping up to four years without lifting one of golf's big four titles.

McIlroy last won a major in 2014.
McIlroy last won a major in 2014.Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

Another of golf's new generation, Jordan Spieth, has made his reputation on producing his best when the pressure bites in recent years. Despite being 24, he's won three major titles and was the U.S. Open champion in 2015 after a collapse on the final green from Johnson.

Justin Ray of the Golf Channel summed up just how prominent Spieth has been in the majors since bursting onto the scene:

Justin Ray @JustinRayGC

Since the beginning of 2014, Jordan Spieth has led or co-led after 16 major championship rounds - 9 more than any other player in that span.

Rickie Fowler has also been a contender in all four of the events without ever having gotten over the line. He's finished as a runner-up at the Masters, the U.S. Open and the Open, while his best finish at the USPGA Championship is third.

Fowler has come close in numerous majors.
Fowler has come close in numerous majors.Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Having lost his world No. 1 status to Johnson, Justin Thomas is another player to keep an eye on, as he seeks to recapture his form from 2017. Justin Rose, who was excellent in winning the Fort Worth Invitational recently, also knows what's needed to win this event, securing the title in 2013.

Nevertheless, if Johnson carries his recent form into the coming week, he's going to be a hard man to stop.


Prediction: 1. Johnson, 2. Spieth, 3. Fowler


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