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BALTIMORE, MD - MAY 19: Justify #7 ridden by jockey Mike Smith wins the 143rd running of the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course on May 19, 2018 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
BALTIMORE, MD - MAY 19: Justify #7 ridden by jockey Mike Smith wins the 143rd running of the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course on May 19, 2018 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Preakness 2018: What Video Replay Shows for Justify's Belmont Odds

Christopher SimpsonMay 20, 2018

Justify kept his Triple Crown hopes alive on Saturday, as he followed up his Kentucky Derby win with victory at the Preakness Stakes.

The colt once again had to deal with wet and muddy conditions but was able to finish half a length in front of Bravazo at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore.

On top of the rain-soaked track, it was so foggy that, at times, the horses weren't visible as they ran the nine ½-furlong course.

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Nevertheless, you can see how the race unfolded via NBC Sport's full replay:

Following the win, Justify is the 5-4 favourite to win the Belmont Stakes on June 9, per OddsShark:

It's hardly surprising. The three-year-old is unbeaten in five career starts and maintained trainer Bob Baffert's 100 per cent record of victory in the Preakness with his Kentucky winners.

Justify held off some serious competition from Good Magic and Bravazo, and his ability to stick it out is a testament to his talent—he's an exceptional horse.

However, a look at the replay also indicates a major area of concern for him heading into Belmont: fatigue.

Justify visibly appeared to lag in the final furlong, and if the race were a full 10—like the Derby—he may not have even finished with a podium place, such was the ground Bravazo and others were making up.

Per Jay Privman of the Daily Racing Form, Justify was not at his usual pace on Saturday:

While the conditions won't have made it easy, aside from the fog, they were comparable to those at Churchill Downs, where he won far more comfortably.

Having not raced as a two-year-old, all of Justify's five races have come since his February 18 debut, and that intense schedule may well take its toll at Belmont Park.

BloodHorse's Jeremy Balan believes Justify's competitors will feel more confident heading into Belmont:

Plenty of horses have won the first two legs of the Triple Crown only to fail at the final hurdle, most recently California Chrome in 2014.

To make matters more difficult, Belmont is the longest of the three races at 12 furlongs, so it will be the toughest test of all for Justify, who will face competition from fresh horses who skipped the Preakness.

He's an incredible competitor, but Belmont should be a far more open affair.

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