Preakness Odds 2018: Updated Lines and Favorites After Post-Position Draw

Joe Tansey@JTansey90Featured ColumnistMay 16, 2018

Mike Smith rides Justify to victory during the 144th running of the Kentucky Derby horse race at Churchill Downs Saturday, May 5, 2018, in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
Darron Cummings/Associated Press

History suggests Justify has a great chance to win Saturday's Preakness Stakes.

With post positions drawn Wednesday, the heralded winner of the Kentucky Derby enters the eight-horse field for the competition at Pimlico Race Course as the favorite, and his trainer's track record bodes well for the opportunity to go after the Triple Crown.

All four of Bob Baffert's Kentucky Derby winners went on to take the Preakness Stakes, but just one, American Pharoah in 2015, completed the Triple Crown.

However, Justify isn't the only horse with an opportunity to cross the finish line in first place, as Good Magic poses a strong threat out of the stable of trainer Chad Brown, who visited the winner's circle at Pimlico a year ago with Cloud Computing.

    

Post Positions and Updated Lines

    

Favorites

Justify (1-2)

It's going to be hard to pick against Justify based on his track record and the lack of legitimate contenders in the field.

The unbeaten three-year-old made history when he became the first horse since 1882 to win the Kentucky Derby after not racing as a two-year-old.

In the races he's participated in, Justify's proved why he is worth so much of the hype, as he is undefeated in four starts.

Patrick Semansky/Associated Press

Before his Kentucky Derby triumph, Justify's biggest victory came at the Santa Anita Derby in April.

Justify is looking to become the fifth Kentucky Derby winner trained by Baffert to win the Preakness Stakes, while he could be the seventh overall Baffert horse to win the second leg of the Triple Crown.

The No. 7 post position shouldn't affect Justify's Preakness hopes, as he started from the same spot two weeks ago at Churchill Downs.

      

Good Magic (3-1)

The second-place finisher at the Kentucky Derby appears to be the best competition for Justify given his racing history.

Good Magic won the Blue Grass Stakes in April after taking third in March's Fountain of Youth Stakes.

By finishing in the top three in each of his last three races, Good Magic proved he is worthy of surging to the front of any field.

The same could occur Saturday, as Good Magic attempts to contend with Justify from the second the gates drop.

Good Magic starts two places to the left of Justify, which means the pair of favorites should be head-to-head from the start.

If Good Magic is feeling good, he could surge into the top spot while leaving Justify behind.

       

Quip (12-1)

The top contender from the collection of horses that didn't run the Kentucky Derby is Quip.

Quip defeated Kentucky Derby horse Flameaway in March's Tampa Bay Derby and took second behind Magnum Moon, who was one of the few favorites at Churchill Downs two weeks ago, at the Arkansas Derby.

Although none of the horses Quip ran against in his last two races performed well at the Kentucky Derby, it's still a positive for the three-year-old's team that he's performed well at a high level.

Fresh legs could help Quip Saturday, as he hasn't raced in over a month, while half of the field, including Justify and Good Magic, raced two weeks ago.

Quip should have the least amount of work to do out of the gates, as he starts from post No. 1. If Quip holds on to the inside line of the track, he could end up near the front of the pack in the final stretch of the race.

    

Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90.

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