NFL Draft 2018: Latest 1st-Round Mock Draft, Odds, Best Fits for Top Prospects

We're officially less than a week away from the NFL draft so it's time to look at a last-minute mock draft, odds and which players are the best fits for respective teams.

We've analyzed these prospects for months and months so we know how these players will fit with essentially every NFL team.

Some players fit well, others not so much.

We'll start with a first-round mock draft and look some of the latest betting odds, followed by three players and their best fits come draft night.

One mock draft coming up.

NFL Mock Draft: Round 1

1. Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB, USC

2. New York Giants: Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State

3. New York Jets (via Indianapolis Colts): Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming

4. Buffalo Bills (projected trade w/ Cleveland Browns, via Houston Texans): Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA

5. Denver Broncos: Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma

6. Indianapolis Colts (via New York Jets): Bradley Chubb, DE, NC State

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Derwin James, S, Florida State

8. Chicago Bears: Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame

9. San Francisco 49ers: Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech

10. Oakland Raiders: Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State

11. Miami Dolphins: Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia

12. Cleveland Browns (projected trade w/ Buffalo Bills, via Cincinnati Bengals): Minkah Fitzpatrick, S, Alabama

13. Washington Redskins: Vita Vea, DT, Washington

14. New England Patriots (projected trade w/ Green Bay Packers): Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville

15. Arizona Cardinals: Leighton Vander Esch, LB, Boise State

16. Baltimore Ravens: Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama

17. Los Angeles Chargers: Maurice Hurst, DT, Michigan

18. Seattle Seahawks: Isaiah Wynn, OG, Georgia

19. Dallas Cowboys: Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU

20. Detroit Lions: Harold Landry, EDGE, Boston College

21. Cincinnati Bengals (via Buffalo Bills): Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame

22. Cleveland Browns (projected trade w/ Buffalo Bills, via Kansas City Chiefs): Marcus Davenport, DE, UTSA

23. Green Bay Packers (projected trade w/ New England Patriots, via Los Angeles Rams): Josh Sweat, DE, Florida State

24. Carolina Panthers: Will Hernandez, OG, UTEP

25. Tennessee Titans: Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama

26. Atlanta Falcons: Taven Bryan, DT, Florida 

27. New Orleans Saints: Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama

28. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville

29. Jacksonville Jaguars: Equanimeous St. Brown, WR, Notre Dame 

30. Minnesota Vikings: Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA

31. Green Bay Packers (projected trade w/ New England Patriots): Carlton Davis, CB, Auburn

32. Arizona Cardinals (projected trade w/ Philadelphia Eagles): Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State

Odds

No. 1 Overall Pick

This is a subject that will cause contention right up until the first name of the 2018 NFL Draft is called.

Heck, even Browns general manager John Dorsey is keeping the pick a secret until the night before the draft, according to Chris Simms of Bleacher Report and Peter King of MMQB [h/t Simms and Lefkoe Podcast]. 

According to Odds Shark, here are the current odds for the No. 1 overall pick:

Sam Darnold (QB) -175
Josh Allen (QB) +140
Saquon Barkley (RB) +550
Josh Rosen (QB) +1000
Baker Mayfield (QB) +1000
Bradley Chubb (DE) +3300
Minkah Fitzpatrick (DB) +10000

There is reason enough to throw a bet on Allen here, but at the end of the day, all signs seem to point to Darnold.

For me, it would be Rosen, but there's actually buzz about Rosen potentially falling in the draft.

As the odds show, Darnold will more than likely the No. 1 overall pick. Should the Browns go ahead and take Allen, we could be headed for the rumored two quarterback draft, according to Kevin Clark of The Ringer.

First Offensive Lineman Drafted

According to Odds Checker, Notre Dame guard Quenton Nelson is the far and away favorite at 1/10 odds, which equates to -1000.

This is all I'll say about that: Bet the $1000 for an easy $100.

There's absolutely zero chance of a different offensive lineman going before him as he is arguably the best and safest prospect in the entire class.

First Tight End Drafted

In the mock above, you'll notice that there are zero tight ends slated to go in the first-round.

While there are a select few prospects in particular that come equipped with a worth of talent, there are better prospects that should be taken ahead of them.

To me, there isn't a clear-cut top tight end in this class, but I'm a fan of Mike Gesicki out of Penn State.

With no tight ends going in the first-round, we could see a couple going in the second-round for teams in need of the position or teams looking to add pass-catching weapons.

Here are the odds for the first tight end drafted, according to Odds Checker:

Hayden Hurst: 1/1 (+100)

Dallas Goedert: 9/4 (+225)

Mike Gesicki: 7/2 (+350)

Mark Andrew: 9/1 (+900)

I'd lay the $100 and take a chance on Gesicki for a chance to win the $350.

What makes me fond of Gesicki is that, although he may not be the best tight end option for a team that would want to use him for blocking, he's like a wide receiver, but in a tight end's body.

He ran a 4.54 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine, weighing nearly 250 pounds and standing at 6'5".

If any tight end were to be a first-round pick, Gesicki makes sense for the Saints at No. 27 overall, but looking at the second-round, Gesicki could land with the Colts at No. 37 to try to bolster an anemic offense.

Perhaps at No. 41 overall to give the Jaguars and quarterback Blake Bortles another weapon with the loss of wide receivers Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns and no real tight end offensive threats.

Roll the dice on Gesicki at +350.

Best Fits

Bradley Chubb to Colts

The Indianapolis Colts have perhaps the most anemic pass-rushing defense in the entire NFL.

So what should they do? Go out and draft the best defensive end in the draft, Bradley Chubb.

Adding Chubb to the Colts defense should add an immediate double-digit sack total to the Colts stat sheet.

Putting Chubb on the other end of the defensive line, opposite Jabaal Sheard, would be an underrated duo in an AFC South division with the AFC contending Jacksonville Jaguars and two teams in the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans with mobile quarterbacks—Marcus Mariota and DeShaun Watson, respectively.

At nearly 270 pounds, Chubb still managed to a run a 40-yard dash of 4.65—that's incredible.

On the field, Chubb is a killer—he doesn't stop. He has a never-ending motor and doesn't quit until the play is complete.

The Colts have missed on the last few first-round picks—time to get it right and improve their pass-rush.

Tremaine Edmunds to the 49ers

Picking at No. 9 the 49ers will improve their defense mightily with arguably the best linebacker prospect in the draft with Tremaine Edmunds.

Edmunds reminds a little bit of Khalil Mack in terms of that he's a freakish athlete and, although he's coming out of a more prominent school in Virginia Tech than the University at Buffalo, Edmunds will bolster the 49ers defense.

The 49ers current linebacker corps consists of Malcolm Smith, Eli Harold and Rueben Foster.

Foster is currently going through some legal issues and his future will depend on what is found throughout the legal process.

Should the 49ers send Foster out the door, Edmunds would be about as good a replacement as any.

Should Foster stay on board, a duo of he and Edmunds would be electric.

But of course, the legal issues take precedence in this scenario.

Edmunds has a rare combination of size and speed—unlike any other linebacker prospect I can recall.

Defensive coordinator Robert Saleh will have a fantastic new toy to play with should they take in Edmunds.

Lamar Jackson to Patriots

It may be your first instinct to question this, but hear me out.

Of course, Lamar Jackson and Tom Brady have a world of differences in terms of how they play the quarterback position, but remember—this is the Patriots.

What I mean by that is the Patriots can adapt and change their system for a quarterback at the drop of a hat.

Heck, Jacoby Brissett beat the Houston Texans on a short week in his rookie season.

Jackson played with Bobby Petrino at Louisville who instilled a pro-style offense for Jackson to work within.

If you couple Jackson's Michael Vick-like ability with the mind of offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, the Patriots have a chance to be a dynasty for another decade or more.

And hey, sitting behind Brady and absorbing what he can will no doubt help.

Jackson has the greatest path to success with the Patriots as it's hard to trust a lot of other teams to use him properly.

The Patriots can and will.

They'll trade up to get their man in Jackson.

All odds courtesy of Odds Shark and Odds Checker.