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Summer Olympics 2016: Predictions for Day 16 Medal Events

Beau DureAug 20, 2016

Thank you, Rio de Janeiro.

The views have been spectacular, the atmosphere at many events has been lively and the action has been a lot of fun to watch.

And if you’re burned out from multitasking for two weeks and change, you’ll be happy to know that by 3 p.m. ET, you’ll have just one event to watch.

Here's a look at the predicted medal winners for the final day in Rio.

Track and Field

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No, we can't believe Eliud Kipchoge is that fast, either.
No, we can't believe Eliud Kipchoge is that fast, either.

Men’s Marathon (8:30 a.m. ET)

Kenya’s Eliud Kipchoge has won three major marathons in the past two years, taking back-to-back titles in London and winning the 2015 Berlin Marathon. His time of 2:03:05 in London this year is the second-fastest ever recorded. Fellow Kenyan Stanley Kipleting Biwott ran a personal-best 2:03:51 in London in April.

Defending Olympic champion Stephen Kiprotich (Uganda) won the 2013 world championship. Ghirmay Ghebreslassie (Eritrea) took the 2015 title.

The U.S. contingent includes Jared Ward, the ever-present Galen Rupp and 2004 silver medalist Meb Keflezighi, still going at age 41. However, the Kenyans will rule the day.

Gold: Eliud Kipchoge, Kenya

Silver: Stanley Kipleting Biwott, Kenya

Bronze: Stephen Kiprotich, Uganda

Rhythmic Gymnastics

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They just LOOK unbeatable, don't they?
They just LOOK unbeatable, don't they?

Group All-Around Final (10 a.m. ET)

Russia has won gold in this event in the last four Olympics. Belarus has medaled in three of the last four, and it upset Russia to win the 2013 world title.

But Spain, which took third in last year’s world championships, posted the highest score in qualifying, so it has a shot at the upset. However, expect more of the same from the Russians.

Gold: Russia

Silver: Spain

Bronze: Belarus

Cycling

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This course is a little lumpier than the velodrome.
This course is a little lumpier than the velodrome.

Men’s Mountain Bike (11:30 a.m. ET)

The USA has never medaled in this event, which is appearing in the Olympics for the sixth time.

Two-time Olympic champion Julien Absalon (France) is still around, 12 years after winning his first Olympic title in Athens. Tire problems derailed his chances in 2012, but he won the 2014 world title and finished on the podium the next two years.

The 2012 champion, Jaroslav Kulhavy (Czech Republic), was second in this year’s world championships.

But the favorite is Nino Schurter (Switzerland), who took silver in 2012 and has won four of the last five world titles. (In 2014, he was second to Absalon.)

Gold: Nino Schurter, Switzerland

Silver: Jaroslav Kulhavy, Czech Republic

Bronze: Julien Absalon, France

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Volleyball

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David Lee and the U.S. men go for bronze on Sunday.
David Lee and the U.S. men go for bronze on Sunday.

Men’s Team

  • Bronze-medal match, USA vs. Russia, 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Gold-medal game, Italy vs. Brazil, 12:15 p.m. ET

The U.S. men had a sluggish start in Rio, rallied with some big wins, then dropped a heartbreaker to Italy in the semifinals. Italy’s reward will be to face Brazil in front of what’s sure to be an energetic crowd. Brazil is out to turn around a succession of runner-up finishes, including three of the last four World Leagues and the 2014 world championships.

All three medalists from 2012 are still alive. Russia took gold over Brazil, while Italy took bronze.

The USA’s only medal of the millennium was gold in 2008. But the Americans won the World League in 2014 and had a good campaign this year—until taking fifth in the finals.

Gold: Brazil

Silver: Italy

Bronze: United States

Handball

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Daniel Narcisse puts away Germany.
Daniel Narcisse puts away Germany.

Men’s Team

  • Bronze-medal match, Poland vs. Germany, 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Gold-medal match, Denmark vs. France, 1 p.m. ET

Both semifinals went down to the wire. Two-time defending champion and current world champion France scored a last-second goal to beat Germany, 29-28. Denmark needed extra time to beat Poland.

Denmark’s run is a surprise, though it did take second in the 2013 world championships. It was third in its group behind Croatia and France.

Poland took third in the 2015 world championships, but Germany turned the tables and won the European title earlier this year.

Gold: France

Silver: Denmark

Bronze: Germany

Wrestling

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World championship? Check. NCAA championship? Check. Kyle Snyder is going for a unique 12-month trifecta.
World championship? Check. NCAA championship? Check. Kyle Snyder is going for a unique 12-month trifecta.

Men’s 65-Kilogram Freestyle

  • Early rounds start at 7:30 a.m. ET
  • Bronze-medal bouts, 12:45 p.m. ET
  • Gold-medal bout, 1:15 p.m. ET

World-champion Frank Marquez Chamizo, born in Cuba but now representing Italy, will likely face 2012 gold medalist (60-kilogram) Toghrul Asgarov of Azerbaijan in the semifinals. American Frank Molinaro starts with Poland's Magomedmurad Gadzhiev and will likely face Asgarov in the next round, should both win.

Russia’s Soslan Ramonov, a bronze medalist in 2015, has to work his way through the qualification round.

Gold: Frank Marquez Chamizo, Italy

Silver: Ikhtiyor Navruzov, Uzbekistan

Bronze: Soslan Ramonov, Russia

Bronze: Toghrul Asgarov, Azerbaijan

Men’s 97-Kilogram Freestyle

  • Early rounds start at 7:30 a.m. ET
  • Bronze-medal bouts, 1:45 p.m. ET
  • Gold-medal bout, 2:15 p.m. ET

The USA’s Kyle Snyder is the reigning world champion. Runner-up Abdusalam Gadisov (Russia), the 2014 world champion, is not in the draw.

Khetag Gazyumov (Azerbaijan) took bronze at 96 kilograms in 2012, then silver and bronze in the last two world championships.

Gold: Kyle Snyder, United States

Silver: Khetag Gazyumov, Azerbaijan

Bronze: Anzor Boltukaev, Russia

Bronze: Elizbar Odikadze, Georgia

Boxing

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Joe Joyce makes good use of his reach.
Joe Joyce makes good use of his reach.

This year’s ring action ends with four gold-medal bouts.

Women’s middleweight

  • Claressa Shields (USA) vs. Nouchka Fontijn (NED), 1 p.m. ET

Nouchka Fontijn gets another shot at dethroning the defending Olympic and world champion, Claressa Shields, who beat her in the world final earlier this year. The Dutch fighter won a split decision over Li Qian in the semifinals. Shields hasn’t been seriously challenged so far.

Gold: Claressa Shields, United States

Silver: Nouchka Fontijn, Netherlands

Bronze: Dariga Shakimova, Kazakhstan

Bronze: Li Qian, China

Men’s flyweight

  • Shakhobidin Zoirov (UZB) vs. Misha Aloian (RUS), 1:15 p.m. ET

Misha Aloian took bronze in 2012 and followed up with a world championship. He'll likely bring home gold this time around.    

Gold: Misha Aloian, Russia

Silver: Shakhobidin Zoirov, Uzbekistan

Bronze: Hu Jianguan, China

Bronze: Yoel Segundo Finol, Venezuela

Men’s light welterweight

  • Fazliddin Gaibnazarov (UZB) vs. Lorenzo Sotomayor Collazo (AZE), 2 p.m. ET

Fazliddin Gaibnazarov was second in the 2015 world championships. Sotomayor Collazo’s cousin is Cuban high-jump gold medalist Javier Sotomayor.

Gold: Fazliddin Gaibnazarov, Uzbekistan

Silver: Lorenzo Sotomayor Collazo, Azerbaijan

Bronze: Vitaly Dunaytsev, Russia

Bronze: Artem Harutyunyan, Germany

Men’s super heavyweight

  • Tony Yoka (FRA) vs. Joe Joyce (GBR), 2:15 p.m. ET

Joe Joyce is a 30-year-old artist with an interest in the works of Jean-Michel Basquiat. He’s also a 6'6" guy who started his Olympic run with a technical knockout and is eager for his shot at world champion Tony Yoka.

Gold: Joe Joyce, Great Britain

Silver: Tony Yoka, France

Bronze: Filip Hrgovic, Croatia

Bronze: Ivan Dychko, Kazakhstan

Basketball

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Klay Thompson had 22 points in the USA's semifinal win.
Klay Thompson had 22 points in the USA's semifinal win.

Men’s Team

  • Bronze-medal game, Australia vs. Spain, 10:30 a.m. ET
  • Gold-medal game, USA vs. Serbia, 2:45 p.m. ET

The U.S. men have had a few close games in this competition, and they’re going to have a rematch of one of them. Serbia’s Bogdan Bogdanovic had a shot to force overtime in their group-stage game, but the USA held on to win 94-91.

But in a final this team won't let up. A third consecutive medal will go to the United States.

Gold: United States

Silver: Serbia

Bronze: Spain

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