Stanley Cup Odds for All 30 NHL Teams After the 2016 All-Star Game

Jonathan Willis@jonathanwillisNHL National ColumnistFebruary 1, 2016

Stanley Cup Odds for All 30 NHL Teams After the 2016 All-Star Game

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    Nam Y. Huh/Associated Press

    We're entering the most exciting part of the NHL regular season as the league's 30 teams come out of their All-Star breaks and prepare for their respective stretch drives. Some are in a dominant position, while others are all but out of it, but the majority fall somewhere in between, hoping to catch fire in February and March and push their way into a favourable position.

    As we did last year, when we pegged the Chicago Blackhawks and Tampa Bay Lightning as the NHL's best bets to win the Cup, we've decided to take a look ahead and to rank each team's championship odds based on what we know today. The sum of all 30 team's odds add up to 100 percent.

    In addition to providing our assessment of the chances of each team making the postseason and then winning four straight playoff rounds, we've also gone more in-depth for the NHL's top 20 teams, taking a look at the path they must travel first to make the playoffs and then to reach the Stanley Cup Final. 

    Read on for the complete list, and as always, feel free to speak out in the comments section to let us know who we are over- and/or underrating. 

    Statistics and news courtesy of NHL.com

30-26: Columbus Blue Jackets-Winnipeg Jets

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    Paul Vernon/Associated Press

    30. Columbus Blue Jackets (4,000-1)

    Columbus is 12 points back of the final wild-card spot in the East, and the team currently holding onto that position (Pittsburgh) has the advantage of three games in hand. The Jackets would need to be almost perfect over their final 31 games, and there's no sign of that happening. 

    29. Buffalo Sabres (3,000-1)

    The Sabres are 11 points back of a playoff berth in the East, and with 50 games played, they have fewer opportunities to make up for lost ground than most of the other teams on this list. Even winning two-thirds of the remaining schedule probably won't get them into the postseason. 

    28. Toronto Maple Leafs (2,500-1)

    The Leafs are one point behind Buffalo in the standings but with two games in hand and thus a slightly better chance of making the playoffs. Even so, it's far more likely that we'll see the team's unrestricted free agents shipped off to more competitive clubs and a post-trade deadline swoon will follow that exodus. 

    27. Edmonton Oilers (2,000-1)

    Our first Western Conference team on this list has the advantage of playing in the Pacific Division, where the threshold for making it into the playoffs is currently lowest.

    Edmonton can also look forward to some help off the injured reserve list when its best defenceman (Oscar Klefbom) and most gifted forward (Connor McDavid) return. It's not likely to be enough. 

    26. Winnipeg Jets (1,000-1)

    Winnipeg is nine points out of the postseason and will need to play nearly 20 percent of its remaining schedule against the Blackhawks, Stars or Blues. There are some four-point games down the stretch, too, and those will be the Jets' best chance to gain ground on the trio of Colorado, Nashville and Minnesota. They probably need to pass two of those three clubs to claim a wild-card spot. 

25-21: Calgary Flames-Vancouver Canucks

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    Gene J. Puskar/Associated Press

    25. Calgary Flames (750-1)

    The Flames have a reasonably easy schedule over their final 34 games, a schedule that includes plenty of opportunity to pick up points at the expense of division rivals. Even so, Calgary is eight points out and the odds are that the team will be selling rather than loading up at the trade deadline. 

    24. Philadelphia Flyers (300-1)

    Philadelphia isn't out of it yet even though the team already shipped out depth pieces in Vincent Lecavalier and Luke Schenn. Five points separate the Flyers from a wild-card berth, and no team has played fewer than the 47 games that Philadelphia has participated in, so there's a chance the club could close that gap.

    23. Ottawa Senators (150-1)

    The Senators are in the thick of the playoff race, sitting just three points back of Pittsburgh, the club currently inhabiting the East's final wild-card slot. Ottawa has some of the worst five-on-five shot metrics in the league, though, and with just 19 regulation/overtime wins (the same as Buffalo), it's easy to be skeptical about the Sens' chances. 

    22. Colorado Avalanche (150-1)

    Colorado currently has a hold on a wild-card spot, but appearances can be deceiving. Once games played are taken into account, the Avs actually fall behind both Nashville and Minnesota. Semyon Varlamov has lifted the team up on to his back the last two months; the question now is whether he can do it for the next two and for four playoff rounds. 

    21. Vancouver Canucks (100-1)

    The Canucks are in the worst position of the five Pacific teams with a realistic shot at one of those division's three playoff berths. Vancouver probably shouldn't be in the race at all, but thanks to four shootout wins in six tries and 11 losses after regulation, a team that has won just 40 percent of its first games is still in the hunt. 

20. Carolina Hurricanes

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    Jay LaPrete/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 75-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Hurricanes are just one point back of the final wild-card spot in the East and two points back of third in the Metropolitan Division. The trouble is that Carolina has already played 51 games, more than any other team in the East, so the gap is actually wider.

    With eight pending free agents on the roster—including star centre Eric Staal—the team may also be tempted to sell some of its current talent. 

    Road to the Cup

    The key here is to finish higher than the final wild-card spot, a berth that will carry with it a first-round match against Washington. Florida currently leads the Atlantic and looks beatable, while the No. 3 hole in the Met would probably mean a first-round series against the Rangers, Islanders or Penguins, and while all are good teams, each has struggled at points this season. 

19. Arizona Coyotes

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    Rick Scuteri/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 70-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Arizona currently holds the No. 3 slot in the Pacific Division. That's the team's best bet, although the Coyotes are also only three points back of both San Jose and Nashville for the No. 2 seed and the second wild-card spot, respectively. 

    Road to the Cup

    Assuming the Coyotes hang onto their current position, their first-round series (most likely against San Jose) looks winnable. After that, it's going to be a matter of playing Oliver Ekman-Larsson a ton and hoping Dave Tippett can come up with a game plan that sees his young roster beat the brutes of the West. 

18. New Jersey Devils

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    Gene J. Puskar/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 60-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    New Jersey's situation is almost identical to Carolina's, except that the Devils have played one fewer game and have one more point. The other wrinkle is that most of the Devils' pending free agents have minimal trade value, reducing the temptation to sell for the long-term good of the franchise. 

    Road to the Cup

    The Devils could make it as either the second or third seed in the Metropolitan Division or as a wild-card team.

    Once in the playoffs, the offence is going to be generated almost entirely by the first and second lines, and the responsibility for winning hockey games is going to fall on the shoulders of Cory Schneider, the NHL's most (only?) underrated elite goalie. 

17. Montreal Canadiens

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    Gene J. Puskar/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 50-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Montreal has slipped out of the playoffs altogether after leading the Atlantic Division in the early part of this season. The team desperately needs to stop the bleeding, which has seen it plummet down the NHL standings. A coaching change and/or the return of Carey Price might make a world of difference. 

    Road to the Cup

    If the Canadiens make the postseason, it's likely to be through a wild-card berth, which will mean fighting an uphill battle. This team has shown it has talent, though, and with a healthy Price—and assuming a change behind the bench—it could be a very scary draw for even a top team. 

16. Nashville Predators

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    Mark Humphrey/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 40-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    At this point, the Predators' only realistic shot is as a wild card, given the eight-point gap separating them from third in the Central. As things stand presently, that means holding off one of Colorado and Minnesota, though competition from the Pacific is not impossible. 

    Road to the Cup

    Claiming the higher of the two wild-card slots is imperative because while a first-round series against Los Angeles would be tough, a win there would give Nashville a second-round matchup against a weaker Pacific opponent. The alternative is the No. 4 seed in the brutally tough Central Division, followed by a Western Conference series against the Pacific winner (most likely Los Angeles). 

15. Pittsburgh Penguins

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    Gene J. Puskar/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 40-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Penguins are 9-3-4 over their last 16 games, and that has propelled the team into the final wild-card berth in the East. Pittsburgh sits only four points back of the Rangers, though, so finishing as high as second in the Met is possible. The addition of a puck-moving defenceman at the trade deadline would help significantly. 

    Road to the Cup

    Assuming that Pittsburgh stays in its own division (which is likely, though not a given), the team will probably have to play the Washington Capitals in one of the first two rounds. That's going to be very tough, and it's not like the Rangers or Islanders are pushovers, either. 

14. Minnesota Wild

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    Paul Vernon/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 30-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Like Nashville, the Wild are pretty much committed to winning a wild-card slot if they want to play in the postseason. Minnesota currently has a small disadvantage in total points but a slight edge in games played, giving it the best points percentage of the three teams currently battling for those two wild-card berths. 

    Road to the Cup

    Also like Nashville, the preferred road here is a first-round series with the Kings. Los Angeles is tough, but taking the Pacific division route almost guarantees an easier second-round matchup and allows the Central to kill off three of its four contenders before that inevitable meeting in the Western Conference Finals. 

13. Anaheim Ducks

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    Christine Cotter/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 30-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Anaheim is two points back of the No. 3 slot in the Pacific and has two games in hand on the Coyotes. After starting the season 1-7-2, the Ducks are now 21-11-5 over their last 37 games. Third in the division seems likely, and second isn't out of the question. All that, of course, depends on keeping the club's current run going. 

    Road to the Cup

    A first-round date with the Sharks is likely, regardless of whether Anaheim finishes second or third in the division. That won't be easy, but the path gets tougher afterward; based on recent history, Los Angeles and Chicago are the most likely opponents in the second and third rounds, respectively. 

12. Detroit Red Wings

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    Paul Sancya/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 28-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Wings are one of three teams in the Atlantic separated by just a single point, with Florida five points ahead and Montreal and Ottawa six points in the rear-view mirror. First in the division isn't out of the question; neither is falling out of the playoffs entirely.

    Having said that, the likelihood is that Detroit finishes somewhere between second and fourth in the Atlantic. 

    Road to the Cup

    Right now it looks like any of the three finishes we've outlined would mean staying in the Atlantic for playoff seeding, which would be good news for the Red Wings, who are 10-4-2 against their own division.

    The only team in the East that has been significantly better than Detroit during the regular season has been Washington, and the Red Wings wouldn't need to face the Capitals until the third round (if at all). 

11. San Jose Sharks

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    Marcio Jose Sanchez/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 25-1

    Road to the Playoffs 

    The Sharks have been on fire lately, with an 8-0-2 record over their last 10 games. They currently hold second place in the Pacific, with a three-point lead and a game in hand on the Coyotes and a five-point lead on Anaheim and Vancouver. 

    Road to the Cup

    The red-hot Ducks appear to be the likeliest first-round opponent for the Sharks, though San Jose can guarantee itself home-ice advantage with a strong finish. Winning through to the Western Conference Final probably means going through Los Angeles in the second round, after which it will likely be a matter of playing one of three terrifying teams from the Central. 

10. Florida Panthers

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    Wilfredo Lee/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 25-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Panthers aren't quite a stone-cold lock for the playoffs, but they're close, with an eight-point edge on the ninth-place team in the East (New Jersey). They currently have a five-point lead on Tampa Bay and Detroit for first in the division.

    As I explained in the last edition of the B/R power rankings, however, there's a very real chance the team's shooting percentage falls. 

    Road to the Cup

    Assuming Florida hangs onto first in the Atlantic, it won't face anyone through the first two rounds that has been better than the Cats in the regular season. Having said that, the Panthers' 24 regulation/overtime wins is basically the same as any team they're likely to face early on, and there won't be a shootout in the postseason. 

9. New York Rangers

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    Frank Franklin II/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 20-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Rangers don't have much chance of catching Washington in first place, but they currently hold second in the Metropolitan and stand a decent chance of holding off the quartet of teams currently within five points of them. Home ice and a reasonably favourable matchup in the first round is the goal. 

    Road to the Cup

    Either second or third in the Met will mean a tough first-round series but a winnable one. After that, it will probably be a matter of knocking off the Capitals to advance to the Eastern Conference Final.

    This is familiar ground for New York, which has won three Game 7s against Washington in the last four seasons. 

8. St. Louis Blues

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    Paul Sancya/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 20-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Blues are third in the Central but in no danger of missing the playoffs; seven points separate them from fourth-place Colorado. Unfortunately, the Stars are three points ahead and have two games in hand, so starting the postseason on the road seems probable. 

    Road to the Cup

    The Central Division is an ugly place to play hockey this year. The Blues could conceivably have to play Dallas, Chicago, Los Angeles and Washington (in that order) and would need to win all of those series without home-ice advantage. St. Louis is a good team, but that's an awfully tough road to travel. 

7. New York Islanders

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    Gary Wiepert/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 18-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Only a single point separates New York from New Jersey in the Met, so a strong stretch drive is absolutely vital. However, the Isles also have two games in hand on the Rangers and are only three points back in the standings. One concern is that the back half of their schedule is heavy in road games. 

    Road to the Cup

    Assuming the Isles hang onto third or climb to second in their division, a first-round series against the Rangers is winnable and would keep travel to an absolute minimum, leaving them fresher for later rounds. Washington is the Goliath in the Met; New York took that team to seven games last spring. 

6. Boston Bruins

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    Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 16-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Only one point separates Boston from second in the Atlantic, and only two points keep them ahead of New Jersey and in the postseason. The East is tough to predict this year, but with a strong finish, the Bruins can be confident of a favourable slot in their division. 

    Road to the Cup

    Outside of Washington, no team in the East has been clearly better than the Bruins this season. As long as the club manages to avoid the No. 8 seed in the conference, it stands a decent chance of cutting through a bunch of very comparable opponents. 

5. Tampa Bay Lightning

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    David Zalubowski/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 14-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Bolts have won eight of their last nine games and pushed their way into second in the Atlantic. The Panthers are vulnerable in first, but there's no margin for error, as a slide now could push the Lightning out of the playoffs entirely. Amid all this, the team will need to make a decision on pending free-agent Steven Stamkos. 

    Road to the Cup

    Tampa Bay won its way through the East last season and took the Blackhawks to six games before falling in the Final. Washington looks tougher this year, but there isn't a team in the conference that a hot Lightning club couldn't beat. 

4. Dallas Stars

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    Winslow Townson/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 12-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Dallas is 12 points up on bubble team Minnesota, so the Stars don't really have to worry about a playoff spot. Playoff positioning is rather important, though; Dallas currently sits three points back of Chicago with three games in hand, and finishing in first in the Central would make life easier in the postseason. 

    Road to the Cup

    A strong run to close out the year would force the Blues and Blackhawks to play each other in Round 1 and allow Dallas a comparatively easy wild-card opponent. A poor run to finish the year would mean facing St. Louis and possibly even starting on the road. 

3. Chicago Backhawks

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    Mark Humphrey/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 10-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    A red-hot run, combined with a collapse by Dallas, has pushed Chicago into first in the Central. The Stars have three games in hand and are only three points back, though, so a strong performance down the stretch is important if Chicago is to get the most favourable first-round opponent. 

    Road to the Cup

    There isn't an easy road through the Central, but if Chicago manages to hang onto first, it can take on a comparatively weak wild-card team before having to worry about the winner of St. Louis-Dallas. A rematch with Los Angeles in the Western Conference Final is likely if the Hawks make it that far. 

2. Los Angeles Kings

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    Gerry Broome/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 10-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    The Kings are seven points up on second-place San Jose for first in the Pacific and 12 points ahead of fourth-place Anaheim. Barring disaster down the stretch, they will enter the playoffs in first place.

    Road to the Cup

    Los Angeles is playoff tested and through the first two rounds can look forward to facing teams with a lot more to prove. A wild-card opponent in the first round, followed by whoever else emerges in the league's weakest division means the Kings may have a better chance of advancing to the conference finals than any other team in the league.

1. Washington Capitals

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    Alex Brandon/Associated Press

    Stanley Cup Odds: 10-1

    Road to the Playoffs

    Washington is first in the East and has an 11-point lead on second-place Florida. Making the playoffs isn't a legitimate concern at this point; even winning the division is practically a given. 

    Road to the Cup 

    There are some decent clubs competing for a wild-card spot in the East, but based on the standings right now, the Capitals can look forward to three opponents of roughly comparable caliber as they try to advance to the Final. There won't be any easy series, but Washington will enter each as a heavy favourite.

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