Week 6 College Football Picks: Bet Top Big 12 Teams TCU, Baylor, Oklahoma

The Big 12 is often criticized for featuring high-scoring teams without playing much defense. Some of that is apparently justified, as the conference's two best teams—the TCU Horned Frogs and the Baylor Bears—were left out of the College Football Playoff field last year in favor of the eventual national champion Ohio State Buckeyes.

This season, No. 2 TCU (5-0) and No. 3 Baylor (4-0) are both on a mission to do whatever it takes to ensure they stay among the top four teams in the country until the very end.

That means not only winning but winning impressively until they meet each other on November 27. Winning impressively translates to running up the score whenever possible and often beating expectations set by oddsmakers in covering the spread.

The Horned Frogs have a tough matchup with the Kansas State Wildcats (3-1) on Saturday at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan. However, this type of game will bring out the best in TCU this time of year, as the team is 5-0 against the spread in its past five October games, according to the OddsShark College Football Database.

The Wildcats fell to the Horned Frogs 41-20 on the road last season as 6.5-point underdogs and will lose again by double digits here.

The Bears are enormous 44-point road favorites visiting the Kansas Jayhawks (0-4), according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. The spread will not matter much in this game because Kansas is so bad and will have trouble scoring two touchdowns.

In fact, that’s the exact number of points the Jayhawks have scored in their past two meetings with Baylor while giving up an average of 59.5. A similar result will happen this time around, so take the Bears to bury Kansas in Lawrence.

The 10th-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (4-0) might be the third-best team in the Big 12 right now, and they will face the struggling Texas Longhorns (1-4) in the annual Red River Rivalry game.

The Sooners have failed to cover both of the last two meetings. However, the Longhorns are just 1-6 straight up and ATS in their past seven games overall. The current form of each team gives a significant advantage to favored Oklahoma, so look for a blowout over hapless Texas in Dallas.