Last Tuesday, I wrote my Week One preview and predictions. I will be doing this (like every other writer on the planet) each week.
Week Two is going to be a little bit different, because, quite frankly, I did such a bad job at picking against the spread (5-10) that I honestly have no business picking that way anymore.
If I worked in Vegas and did that badly last weekend, I would have fired myself.
I did much better picking straight up, finishing 9-6. I would have done better had Cincinnati not blown the game in the final seconds of the fourth quarter, and my upset special of the week, the Oakland Raiders over the San Diego Chargers, would have been a massive victory for me had Darren Sproles not scored with 18 seconds left.
My biggest win, which I took some heat for, was the Philadelphia Eagles beating the Carolina Panthers 31-10. I even got emails from Eagles fans telling me how crazy I was, and it turns out they beat them even worse than that.
So, without further ado, here are my Week Two picks, minus the point spread.
Panthers (0-1) at Falcons (1-0)
The Atlanta Falcons looked impressive in their Week One victory against the Miami Dolphins, while the Carolina Panthers looked like last year's Detroit Lions. Losing Tony Gonzalez will hurt Atlanta, but not losing Jake Delhomme has hurt the Panthers worse.
Falcons win 27-12.
Vikings (1-0) at Lions (0-1)
The bad news for the Minnesota Vikings is they have to open the 2009 season with two road games. The good news is the games are against the Cleveland Browns and Detroit Lions.
The Vikings will abuse Matthew Stafford like they did Brady Quinn, and this game will be as big of a beatdown as last week.
Vikings win 34-14.
Bengals (0-1) at Packers (1-0)
Both teams played exciting games last week, each coming out at opposite ends. Cincy lost a heartbreaker against Denver, while Green Bay won against longtime rival Chicago.
The biggest concern in Cincinnati should be that they were unable to produce points against a weak Denver defense. Cincinnati is supposed to be able to put points on the board, and if they can't, they won't win.
Packers win 28-17.
Texans (0-1) at Titans (0-1)
The Tennessee Titans lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, but they showed that the loss of Albert Haynesworth was not as bad as people believed it would be. They still have one of the toughest defenses in the NFL.
The Houston Texans could not manage to beat the rookie-led New York Jets at home and have no chance of beating the Titans on the road in their home opener.
Titans win big 34-7.
Raiders (0-1) at Chiefs (0-1)
Both the Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs impressed me in their losses last week against the Baltimore Ravens and Chargers, respectively. I would like to make either of these teams my upset pick of the week, but this game would not be an upset regardless of who wins.
The Chiefs put a lot of points against a great Baltimore defense last week, and I think they can do it again against the Raiders.
Chiefs win 21-17.
Patriots (1-0) at New York Jets (1-0)
As much slack as I am going to take from New England Patriots fans about this, either Tom Brady is not fully healed from his injury or he is playing scared.
He played great in the clutch last week, leading two TD drives in the last two minutes of the game. But against a weak Buffalo defense, he should have never needed them.
The Jets seem to have a chip on their shoulder now that Rex Ryan is the coach, and they are looking to knock off the Patriots.
Jets win 31-28.
Saints (1-0) at Eagles (1-0)
This would have been my game of the week had Donovan McNabb not been injured. The strength of the two teams is going to be fun to watch, as the New Orleans Saints' offense, one of the most potent in the NFL, takes on one of the best defenses in the NFL.
The real issue is, can Kevin Kolb or Jeff Garcia put any points on the board against the Saints' defense? I am not sure, but we know that the Saints will put some up against Philadelphia.
Saints win 24-10.
Rams (0-1) at Redskins (0-1)
After I picked the Washington Redskins as my upset team of the week last week, they let me down. I was ready to pick almost anyone against them; it's just the St. Louis Rams are so bad, I have a hard time picking them to beat anyone.
I am going to go with the Redskins again this week, but if they lose to the Rams, I am not going to pick them to win another game this year, even if they play the Lions!
Redskins win 17-7.
Cardinals (0-1) at Jaguars (0-1)
Arizona lost a heartbreaker to the San Francisco 49ers last week and are in danger of going 0-2. The Jacksonville Jaguars impressed me in their tough-fought loss to the Indianapolis Colts. The Jags go home, and the Cardinals travel cross-country, and they are not good at winning on the East Coast.
Jaguars win 21-20.
Seahawks (1-0) at 49ers (1-0)
Both teams were impressive in their Week One victories, and this is the hardest game for me to pick this week.
The Seattle Seahawks spanked a much worse team than the 49ers beat but handled the Rams like good teams should. The 49ers upset the NFC Champs.
This Week Two matchup could have implications in the division down the road as a tiebreaker between the teams, so this is one of the most important games of Week Two.
I am going with the 49ers because the game is in San Francisco.
49ers win 27-24.
Buccaneers (0-1) at Bills (0-1)
Playing on the road on Monday night against Tom Brady in his return from injury, the Buffalo Bills impressed me. Had Leodis McKelvin not fumbled the kickoff in the last two minutes of the game, the Bills would have upset the Patriots and cast doubt across Patriot nation.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers got manhandled at home against the Dallas Cowboys.
Bills win 21-13.
Ravens (1-0) at Chargers (1-0)
One of the best games of the week. The Ravens were unimpressive against the Chiefs last week, while the Chargers struggled against the Raiders.
The Ravens' defense will have to perform better against the Chargers than they did against the Chiefs, or they will have no chance of beating the Chargers.
Chargers win 28-17.
Steelers (1-0) at Bears (0-1)
Both teams lost their defensive leaders in Week One, as the Steelers lost Troy Polamalu for three to six weeks (MCL sprain) and the Bears lost defensive captain Brian Urlacher for the season (fractured wrist).
The Steelers' defense may have lost some of its spark, but the Bears lost possibly the best player on their team.
Steelers win 31-14.
Browns (0-1) at Broncos (1-0)
I said before the season started, these were going to be two of the worst teams in the NFL this season, and I still believe it.
I was more impressed with the Browns against the Vikings than I was with the Broncos against the Bengals. The Browns' defense held AP, at least in the first half, and there is no one on the Broncos that is even close to as good as AP.
Browns win 24-10.
Giants (1-0) at Cowboys (1-0)
The Cowboys open their new stadium against one of their biggest rivals. I would think in scheduling they would have requested someone like the Lions or Redskins to open their new massive stadium.
Instead of a cupcake, they will take on the Giants, and I think it will turn out to be a mistake. The Giants' defense is considerably better than the Buccaneers', and they are not going to move the ball like they did last week.
Giants win in my upset special 24-19.
Monday Night Football
Colts (1-0) at Dolphins (0-1)
After losing in Week One to the Falcons, the Dolphins have to beat the Colts in order to avoid going 0-2 and causing panic in Miami.
The Colts looked less than impressive against the Jaguars last weekend, barely squeaking by what many considered (myself included) a much weaker team.
Is it that the Colts are not the same without Tony Dungy as coach? Was Miami a one-year wonder? We will find out on Monday Night Football.
Miami wins 21-17.