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Updated Bracketology for 2026 March Madness After UNC, Duke, Arizona Games

Julia StumbaughFeb 28, 2026

The projected seeding for the NCAA men's basketball tournament is coming into focus ahead of the final week of the regular season.

The top two teams in the AP men's poll were both in action early Saturday as No. 1 Duke took on No. 11 UVA and No. 2 Arizona played No. 14 Kansas.

In the evening, No. 18 UNC remained in the mix for a possible No. 4 seed with a win over Virginia Tech while No. 7 Florida throttled Arkansas to reinforce its case as one of the nation's best teams and a contender for a No. 1 seed before conference tournament play beings in March.

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ESPN's Joe Lunardi provided a look at how Saturday's action could impact the selection committee's approach come March 15:

Duke started out the day's action by clinching the top seed in the ACC Tournament with a decisive 77-51 victory over Virginia.

The Blue Devils' win will keep Michigan from ousting Duke for the top overall seed, per Lunardi.

Arizona followed that up by taking one step closer to a No. 1 seed with a blowout victory over Kansas.

Two other projected top seeds, Michigan and UConn, kept their positions intact with commanding wins over Illinois and Seton Hall, respectively.

Houston climbed to a No. 2 seed after beating Colorado, per Lunardi, while Illinois will fall to a No. 3 seed following the loss to Michigan.

The Fighting Illini weren't the only No. 2 seed to lose over the last few days. Iowa State also lost to Texas Tech on Saturday, following Purdue's Thursday defeat by Michigan State.

Texas A&M is projected to be in a bit of danger after a defeat by Texas, per Lunardi. New Mexico climbed into the Last Four In while knocking San Diego State into the First Four Out with a win over the Aztecs on Saturday.

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