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LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01:  Lovely Maria #7, ridden by Kerwin D. Clark, leads the field to the finish line to win the 141st running of the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs at Churchill Downs on May 1, 2015 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01: Lovely Maria #7, ridden by Kerwin D. Clark, leads the field to the finish line to win the 141st running of the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs at Churchill Downs on May 1, 2015 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)Rob Carr/Getty Images

Kentucky Derby 2015: Updated Weather Forecast, Odds and Field Predictions

Rory MarsdenMay 2, 2015

The field is set for the 2015 Kentucky Derby. The horses, jockeys, trainers, punters, owners and fans are ready for the off, and all that remains now is for the 141st Run for the Roses to begin.

Saturday's race will be over in a flash, belying the lengthy buildup. But it is the pace and power of the field that makes for the overwhelming excitement at Churchill Downs.

American Pharoah is the favourite to take the first leg of the Triple Crown, with big things expected of Bob Baffert's immense colt.

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Read on for a look at the latest weather forecast for the race along with the most recent odds and projections for how the 10 furlongs will play out.

Time (ET)Temperature (Fahrenheit)Precipitation
5 p.m.75, partly cloudy0 per cent
6 p.m.73, partly cloudy10 per cent
7 p.m.73, partly cloudy10 per cent
No.PostHorseJockeyOddsPredicted Finish
12Ocho Ocho OchoElvis Trujillo25-111-18
23Carpe DiemJohn Velazquez8-16
34MaterialityJavier Castellano16-15
45TencendurManny Franco50-19
56Danzig MoonJulien Leparoux33-14
67MubtaahijChristophe Soumillon12-12
7El KabeirCalvin BorelSCR
88DortmundMartin Garcia18-53
99BoloRafael Bejarano40-111-18
1010Firing LineGary Stevens12-110
11StanfordFlorent GerouxSCR
12International StarMiguel MenaSCR
1311ItsaknockoutLuis Saez33-18
1412Keen IceKent Desormeaux40-111-18
1513FrostedJoel Rosario16-17
1614War StoryJoe Talamo50-111-18
1715Mr. ZRamon Vazquez50-111-18
1816American PharoahVictor Espinoza13-51
1917UpstartJose Ortiz25-111-18
2018Far RightMike Smith40-111-18
2119FrammentoCorey Nakatani66-111-18

American Pharoah to Triumph

It is not the boldest of predictions, picking the favourite to win, but it is very difficult to look past American Pharoah as the winner of the 2015 Derby.

The hype is real surrounding the Bob Baffert-trained colt, with Churchill Downs reporting the kind of testimonials he is receiving:

His eight-length victory in the Arkansas Derby was immense, as he blitzed a field that included Roses rivals Far Right and Mr. Z.   

Pharoah will be ridden by Victor Espinoza, winner of the Derby aboard California Chrome last year. The 42-year-old will have to overcome a wide draw in gate No. 16—a hole that has produced four winners down the years, per KentuckyDerby.com

LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 30:  American Pharoah goes over the track during morning training for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 30, 2015 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Espinoza has the experience to win again, having showed his acumen aboard American Pharoah in Arkansas.

A win for American Pharoah would get tongues wagging about a possible Triple Crown victory, a feat that has not been achieved since Affirmed won the Kentucky Derby, the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes back in 1978.

Pharoah looks to have the ability to go close, and he should get the first leg under his belt on Saturday by winning the Kentucky Derby.

Mubtaahij to Impress

LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 29: Mubtaahij during morning training for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 29, 2015 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

The Dubai-based Mubtaahij is something of an enigma ahead of America's biggest race. Trained by South African Mike de Kock, born in Ireland and ridden by Belgian jockey Christophe Soumillon, the colt adds an international flavour to the lineup of 18.

Quite a place to make a debut on American soil, Mubtaahij could be a competitor at Churchill Downs and will be an unknown for many of those watching on Saturday.

Racing analyst Joe Kristufek likes the look of the UAE Derby winner, tipping Mubtaahij to challenge in a conversation with Bleacher Report:

As Kristufek notes, Mubtaahij's stamina could play a big role when it comes to making the running in the Derby.

He also has an advantage in that he starts from gate No. 7, a decent spot in which to begin the 10-furlong race to the finish.

While Mubtaahij does not look likely to beat American Pharoah and claim the win, a top-three finish is a definite possibility.  

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